TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Pcific Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Natus Vincereof Natus Vincere, Pcific Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$96,231
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$109,635

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,231 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4980…5709backed Pcific Esports17c9,984$1,653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,652.5732245.7%147 W · 175 L+52.2wins+0.16per pick29cpaid+40.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x16bc…decabacked Pcific Esports23c7,843$1,834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,834.2915431.2%48 W · 106 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed Natus Vincere77c6,800$5,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5649644.8%43 W · 53 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Pcific Esports20c5,000$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.6941734.8%145 W · 272 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Natus Vincere74c4,893$3,619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,274.2853159.1%314 W · 217 L+41.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x257e…ca61backed Natus Vincere62c4,816$2,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,846.2922344.4%99 W · 124 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Pcific Esports14c2,520$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.7426738.2%102 W · 165 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Pcific Esports23c2,480$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.4940945.7%187 W · 222 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed Pcific Esports7c2,097$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.055444.4%24 W · 30 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8ef…2864backed Natus Vincere76c1,965$1,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.675952.5%31 W · 28 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e5e…7315backed Natus Vincere77c1,871$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.273046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked Pcific Esports23c1,413$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32529733.3%99 W · 198 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb777…3ff9backed Natus Vincere80c1,350$1,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.55349.1%26 W · 27 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Pcific Esports15c1,051$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.851,27632.1%409 W · 867 L-67.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd385…34fbbacked Natus Vincere53c977.6$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.473655.6%20 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Pcific Esports29c956.5$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.3953355.3%295 W · 238 L+24.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Pcific Esports30c913.51$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.1115147%71 W · 80 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x03c5…5f61backed Pcific Esports23c780$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.46229%18 W · 44 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-29.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa390…c7d9backed Pcific Esports14c766.64$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.337920.3%16 W · 63 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc8e…37d1backed Pcific Esports14c731.45$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.42835.7%10 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Natus Vincere61c700$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.4124250.4%122 W · 120 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Pcific Esports22c599.99$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13286747.5%412 W · 455 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1393…ba33backed Natus Vincere78c586.73$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.084365.1%28 W · 15 L+7.1wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+40.6%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Natus Vincere76c560.2$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.3625453.5%136 W · 118 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c2b…825ebacked Pcific Esports19c531.45$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006154.1%33 W · 28 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Natus Vincere76c517$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.7228252.5%148 W · 134 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed Natus Vincere76c506.07$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.4662156.4%350 W · 271 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf647…0ccbbacked Natus Vincere78c505.56$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.224955.1%27 W · 22 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+33.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bfb…8beabacked Natus Vincere76c505.15$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.243060%18 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Natus Vincere76c501$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.2420160.2%121 W · 80 L+13.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb4c…f815backed Natus Vincere76c500$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1201747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x571f…1d37backed Natus Vincere70c499.98$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1502955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Natus Vincere78c495.33$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.311,24749.6%619 W · 628 L-2.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Natus Vincere73c460.61$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.0360154.2%326 W · 275 L+24.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b44…fcfcbacked Pcific Esports23c446.9$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.79714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick41cpaid-79.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Pcific Esports16c438.16$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.0246326.6%123 W · 340 L-26.0wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-38.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe466…6938backed Natus Vincere80c420.75$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Pcific Esports20c420.75$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.1517948.6%87 W · 92 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65e6…42dcbacked Pcific Esports14c365.9$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519737.1%36 W · 61 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ed1…fd2abacked Pcific Esports23c360$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.822440.2%90 W · 134 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe559…b262backed Natus Vincere76c353.51$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.841181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.25per pick57cpaid+57.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8ec7…4a76backed Natus Vincere72c350$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.1514959.7%89 W · 60 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cd3…226ebacked Pcific Esports20c321$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.7416420.1%33 W · 131 L-20.1wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-49.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb0d2…0ffebacked Natus Vincere78c300$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Natus Vincere77c300$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6934443.3%149 W · 195 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb758…4699backed Pcific Esports14c299.94$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.698852.3%46 W · 42 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4627…7c23backed Pcific Esports24c279.17$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6722955%126 W · 103 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5c8…84a6backed Pcific Esports49c263.04$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13023151.9%120 W · 111 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Natus Vincere75c262$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.5350944.6%227 W · 282 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc22e…eab8backed Pcific Esports23c255.43$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607544%33 W · 42 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x560c…9cffbacked Natus Vincere78c250$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551233.3%4 W · 8 L-3.6wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-52.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed Pcific Esports9c248$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.324932.7%16 W · 33 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-30.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Pcific Esports21c246.85$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.661,60845.2%727 W · 881 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd96…11a3backed Pcific Esports21c241.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.742740.7%11 W · 16 L-4.1wins-0.15per pick56cpaid-33.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3fcc…9f91backed Pcific Esports12c233.27$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9260022.7%136 W · 464 L-26.3wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5747…7fdfbacked Pcific Esports44c227.61$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10062856.4%354 W · 274 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Pcific Esports12c222.19$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.593049.4%459 W · 471 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7100…c12abacked Pcific Esports16c187.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304235.7%15 W · 27 L-4.4wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-37.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Natus Vincere77c179.9$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.3884838.2%324 W · 524 L-50.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8d29…872abacked Pcific Esports14c139.39$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed Pcific Esports22c134$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4818641.4%77 W · 109 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Pcific Esports23c132.66$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.041,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Pcific Esports27c132.09$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.4970043.7%306 W · 394 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27b4…ebb0backed Natus Vincere78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.21560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid-22.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80ac…6ac9backed Natus Vincere78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.211643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-20.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x21dd…e4f5backed Pcific Esports21c127.14$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.26854.4%37 W · 31 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40bf…0197backed Pcific Esports24c126.92$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-31.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Natus Vincere79c124.75$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.83759.5%22 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Natus Vincere76c116$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.845147.1%24 W · 27 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd63…a39abacked Pcific Esports19c114.96$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226432.8%21 W · 43 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72da…9b77backed Pcific Esports21c113.64$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.953844.7%17 W · 21 L+4.1wins+0.11per pick34cpaid+31.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x565c…585abacked Natus Vincere78c112.36$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.725768.4%39 W · 18 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf632…6dcbbacked Pcific Esports14c110.36$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9320%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Natus Vincere76c104.78$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.1519040%76 W · 114 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa8…efa7backed Natus Vincere64c103$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.231553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2eba…0f3abacked Natus Vincere78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2219751.8%102 W · 95 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+18.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3109…ff47backed Natus Vincere78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224259.5%25 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2892…71ddbacked Pcific Esports23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2316839.3%66 W · 102 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Pcific Esports27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2738548.6%187 W · 198 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Pcific Esports25c99.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6638950.6%197 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb71e…641abacked Natus Vincere69c98$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.93441.2%14 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-26.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Natus Vincere74c98$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7399846%459 W · 539 L-27.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Pcific Esports12c95$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1981134.9%283 W · 528 L-60.9wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-34.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Natus Vincere76c92.48$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.246347.1%218 W · 245 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Natus Vincere79c82.5$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7366650.8%338 W · 328 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b0c…4d9cbacked Pcific Esports14c81.36$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.392740.7%11 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd3d…e430backed Natus Vincere76c78.49$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.495269.2%36 W · 16 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x528a…12f1backed Natus Vincere49c71.33$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.387143.7%31 W · 40 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5dc8…e209backed Pcific Esports23c70.83$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.518251.2%42 W · 40 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-4.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xade6…c465backed Pcific Esports28c67.85$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2865347.3%309 W · 344 L-18.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Natus Vincere76c57.2$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8293148.1%448 W · 483 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cd6…3806backed Natus Vincere76c53.77$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94bb…02ccbacked Natus Vincere76c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+61.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb14c…7355backed Natus Vincere53c47.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.176735.8%24 W · 43 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Natus Vincere77c45$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3194361.2%577 W · 366 L+58.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x09b7…5f6bbacked Natus Vincere71c40.85$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8510061%61 W · 39 L+9.6wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+22.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfce8…2686backed Natus Vincere78c38.46$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.4618465.2%120 W · 64 L-0.6wins0.00per pick66cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Natus Vincere77c34.93$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.9913661%83 W · 53 L+14.8wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+24.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Natus Vincere78c34$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4824551%125 W · 120 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Natus Vincere80c31$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.21,49046.6%695 W · 795 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.