CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs Nemiga (BO1) - IEM Beijing: Global Open Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef5af8caef1d1cf19d60af2ff182e82480558261e30710c93dda0d517775ad02
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nemigaof QUAZAR, Nemiga
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,246
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,103
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,246 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf84d…8830backed Nemiga | 66c | 1,250$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.99 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +7.8wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked QUAZAR | 34c | 1,029$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 526 | 36.5%192 W · 334 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked QUAZAR | 34c | 799.47$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.51 | 174 | 48.3%84 W · 90 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked QUAZAR | 32c | 784.5$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.04 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Nemiga | 68c | 782.24$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.64 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed QUAZAR | 33c | 567.84$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.05 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…ca3fbacked QUAZAR | 20c | 525.05$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.56 | 358 | 47.5%170 W · 188 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Nemiga | 68c | 419.12$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.12 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked QUAZAR | 7c | 392.93$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.81 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Nemiga | 64c | 392$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.12 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked QUAZAR | 15c | 335.76$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.72 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nemiga | 79c | 279.97$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.99 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed QUAZAR | 31c | 265.92$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.43 | 288 | 43.1%124 W · 164 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbabc…f7a4backed Nemiga | 67c | 252.8$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.42 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed QUAZAR | 32c | 235$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3226…cd75backed Nemiga | 68c | 235$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed QUAZAR | 33c | 234.68$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.44 | 465 | 55.1%256 W · 209 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…70e3backed Nemiga | 67c | 223.83$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.86 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked QUAZAR | 32c | 168.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.08 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Nemiga | 70c | 167.1$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.32 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked QUAZAR | 25c | 123.6$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.89 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5440…f13bbacked QUAZAR | 23c | 122.17$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 119 | 52.1%62 W · 57 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Nemiga | 67c | 115.82$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.22 | 143 | 44.1%63 W · 80 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5e…abbabacked Nemiga | 69c | 111.88$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Nemiga | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Nemiga | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed QUAZAR | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Nemiga | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 185 | 49.2%91 W · 94 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Nemiga | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a1…d6e6backed Nemiga | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…0b73backed Nemiga | 69c | 71.01$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.01 | 171 | 53.2%91 W · 80 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed QUAZAR | 30c | 66.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed QUAZAR | 33c | 54.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +6.8wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2d…b69dbacked QUAZAR | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked QUAZAR | 30c | 39.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Nemiga | 67c | 38.96$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 488 | 51.8%253 W · 235 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x277b…31fabacked QUAZAR | 29c | 36.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked QUAZAR | 33c | 36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Nemiga | 69c | 30.45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.44 | 758 | 33.4%253 W · 505 L | -48.9wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5540…9c18backed Nemiga | 68c | 30.29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Nemiga | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.11 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Nemiga | 79c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 457 | 48.1%220 W · 237 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35f5…d7c4backed Nemiga | 67c | 15.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.24 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7523…68a0backed Nemiga | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889d…d981backed Nemiga | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 60cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.