Fifa International · resolved market
Ecuador to score first vs. Mexico?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xabf081bf83f39f44777d78c3810647bd39dfb9811c5caf7d28c151ae510b3a94
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,846
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,062
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,846 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 34c | 8,085$2,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,748.9 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 67c | 8,013$5,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,681.98 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 66c | 4,454$2,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500.1 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 13c | 3,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 245 | 39.6%97 W · 148 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 66c | 1,282$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.82 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 34c | 1,271$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.98 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 66c | 1,036$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.4 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Yes | 33c | 915.24$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.28 | 657 | 37.4%246 W · 411 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 33c | 790.48$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.86 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ec…2892backed Yes | 34c | 718.03$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.13 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…3c9dbacked Yes | 36c | 600$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.82 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 33c | 583.04$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.01 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 67c | 498.44$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.7 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x929c…fe32backed Yes | 34c | 308.82$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 290 | 18.6%54 W · 236 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbe…b6d8backed Yes | 34c | 291.18$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 40 | 12.5%5 W · 35 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 28c | 263.37$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.52 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7e…6be6backed Yes | 36c | 194.38$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 177 | 36.7%65 W · 112 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed Yes | 11c | 181$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 339 | 37.5%127 W · 212 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed No | 68c | 165.03$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.09 | 847 | 38.8%329 W · 518 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed No | 67c | 150$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 402 | 39.8%160 W · 242 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…0d48backed Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 87 | 32.2%28 W · 59 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc43a…fb09backed Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98d7…f41abacked No | 67c | 127.78$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.94 | 257 | 48.6%125 W · 132 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 9c | 118.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1e…5bb5backed Yes | 12c | 118$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 457 | 40.3%184 W · 273 L | -28.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…ecadbacked Yes | 23c | 89.46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…efffbacked No | 65c | 88.71$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.9 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 71c | 86.59$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 33c | 85.25$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.13 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 32c | 83.86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…db44backed No | 66c | 74.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.24 | 197 | 60.4%119 W · 78 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd469…40b0backed Yes | 34c | 70.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 66c | 69.97$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.08 | 244 | 43%105 W · 139 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked No | 66c | 69.21$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa096…47d4backed Yes | 34c | 59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x914a…1c86backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b3…7239backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e3…b615backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 632 | 29.3%185 W · 447 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb44a…51a7backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 307 | 32.9%101 W · 206 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcade…07d9backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 66c | 55.68$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.93 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 66c | 49.59$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.86 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 66c | 40.39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.73 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2763…abe6backed Yes | 35c | 28.91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 66c | 23.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 333 | 37.8%126 W · 207 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…4442backed No | 67c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 420 | 48.8%205 W · 215 L | +18.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58a7…6456backed No | 67c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2157…923cbacked No | 67c | 20.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5522…7695backed No | 67c | 20.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 66c | 20.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.94 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…745cbacked No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 214 | 33.2%71 W · 143 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b32…90bdbacked No | 65c | 19.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 199 | 44.2%88 W · 111 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4941…b03cbacked No | 69c | 16.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 101 | 66.3%67 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 65c | 15.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ecuador to score first vs. Mexico?this page
- Mexico to score first vs. Ecuador?Yes won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Neither team to score first?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.