Fifa International · resolved market
Mexico to score first vs. Ecuador?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe45972a2fbd64995ba61eb1661c95520d023856734f84ab4fe251b0cb00bcdb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,652
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,581
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,652 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe3cb…ac21backed No | 48c | 8,291$3,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,992.93 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 48c | 6,871$3,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,265.45 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 53c | 5,986$3,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,796.24 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 47c | 3,007$1,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,416.85 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa850…f1babacked No | 50c | 2,928$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,457.72 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed No | 47c | 2,803$1,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,317.42 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 53c | 2,695$1,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,266.65 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 53c | 2,588$1,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.57 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 51c | 2,300$1,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 36c | 1,937$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.86 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Yes | 50c | 1,924$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.93 | 657 | 37.4%246 W · 411 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…a6babacked Yes | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 352 | 44%155 W · 197 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2067…7350backed Yes | 53c | 1,132$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.08 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe00…e985backed Yes | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 179 | 50.3%90 W · 89 L | +12.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…eac7backed Yes | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 47c | 907.97$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.74 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 29c | 817.55$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.55 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…efffbacked No | 48c | 778.33$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.6 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2888…0fe4backed Yes | 52c | 738.11$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.29 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Yes | 53c | 704.28$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.01 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 57c | 678.84$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.71 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e8…904cbacked Yes | 54c | 574.07$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.07 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b1…e789backed Yes | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | +14.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33a1…2a16backed Yes | 61c | 556.49$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.49 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf387…61c0backed Yes | 73c | 516$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.47 | 349 | 64.5%225 W · 124 L | +73.5wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +123.1%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…4d2bbacked Yes | 50c | 483.92$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.37 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 4c | 430.11$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 13c | 425$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.1 | 339 | 37.5%127 W · 212 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 24c | 404.55$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.75 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77d5…732ebacked Yes | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked No | 48c | 353.85$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.85 | 1,240 | 43.7%542 W · 698 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc5…a303backed Yes | 52c | 346.15$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.15 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1e…5bb5backed No | 29c | 327.51$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.98 | 457 | 40.3%184 W · 273 L | -28.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…5ec8backed Yes | 52c | 307.69$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.69 | 83 | 20.5%17 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5c…91fcbacked No | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Yes | 69c | 297.81$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.32 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 51c | 296.4$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.24 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f7…8bf1backed Yes | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 48c | 260$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 48c | 259.98$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.79 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 47c | 241.57$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.25 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 14c | 229$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.23 | 340 | 35%119 W · 221 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 13c | 224$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.95 | 351 | 36.8%129 W · 222 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x362a…d6b4backed Yes | 69c | 217.39$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.39 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 48c | 207.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.69 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd00…d1afbacked No | 12c | 203$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 455 | 28.4%129 W · 326 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 48c | 200.77$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.67 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed No | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 311 | 56.6%176 W · 135 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x257a…b42abacked Yes | 62c | 198.39$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.39 | 165 | 24.2%40 W · 125 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9048…d351backed Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 148 | 41.9%62 W · 86 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 18c | 191.04$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.88 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed Yes | 70c | 191$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.24 | 357 | 34.5%123 W · 234 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…9756backed Yes | 56c | 190.28$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.65 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11cd…e5a8backed Yes | 54c | 185.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.74 | 140 | 30%42 W · 98 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked No | 47c | 185.55$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.21 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbeb…2ba4backed Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 127 | 15%19 W · 108 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Yes | 51c | 171.74$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.7 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Yes | 51c | 171$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.63 | 244 | 43%105 W · 139 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00b9…4ca6backed No | 47c | 165.36$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.72 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dff…6743backed No | 48c | 164.58$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 346 | 46%159 W · 187 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10bb…4091backed Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b7f…4fc9backed Yes | 52c | 153.85$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.85 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.25per pick | 39cpaid | +163.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed No | 47c | 149.95$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.48 | 572 | 52.4%300 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 51c | 149.9$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.45 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07de…9ca2backed Yes | 51c | 147.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.06 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfef0…7708backed Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba34…32b8backed Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 261 | 51.7%135 W · 126 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 71c | 146$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.34 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed No | 48c | 138.23$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.54 | 847 | 38.8%329 W · 518 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d7…f41abacked No | 48c | 125.92$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.87 | 257 | 48.6%125 W · 132 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 51c | 120$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.18 | 333 | 37.8%126 W · 207 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x370c…6929backed Yes | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 159 | 23.3%37 W · 122 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0c…4eb3backed Yes | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 179 | 30.7%55 W · 124 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bdc…3a4ebacked No | 49c | 108.48$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.15 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd05c…ade7backed Yes | 53c | 107.55$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.55 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +8.1wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 14c | 106$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 335 | 38.8%130 W · 205 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda85…41aabacked Yes | 50c | 105.24$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e2…32d8backed Yes | 50c | 104.96$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92a9…e971backed Yes | 53c | 103.77$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.77 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…f22cbacked Yes | 68c | 102.94$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.94 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…6d30backed No | 48c | 102.08$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 119 | 33.6%40 W · 79 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf718…97e7backed Yes | 52c | 101.92$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.92 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 42c | 100.2$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.12 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5266…aac8backed Yes | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 206 | 51.9%107 W · 99 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb018…8891backed Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c3…e4c9backed Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 123 | 65.9%81 W · 42 L | +13.5wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed No | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.99 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0cb…ac14backed Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x935d…72f4backed Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec2…7ba2backed Yes | 52c | 95.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.96 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fc…022bbacked Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 91 | 29.7%27 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5719…abbdbacked Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc24…4002backed Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0de5…c4f5backed Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 27cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea3d…6bdebacked Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1497…e110backed Yes | 61c | 90.16$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.16 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…ecadbacked Yes | 54c | 80$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…815fbacked Yes | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed No | 47c | 79$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.13 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 51c | 78$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.51 | 319 | 45.5%145 W · 174 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mexico to score first vs. Ecuador?this page
- Ecuador to score first vs. Mexico?No won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Neither team to score first?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.