Fifa International · resolved market
Brazil to score first vs. Japan?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21668c8590156a69158c69963cad5c0b3dec77ea54796363e904c3b2adf0d3c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $266,422
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $276,103
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $266,422 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 196 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 2c | 99,910$1,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,937.91 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f01…ba0bbacked Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe7…1ea9backed Yes | 0c | 21,020$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -92.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 64c | 10,109$6,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,460.17 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…b3b4backed No | 37c | 8,799$3,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,529.53 | 203 | 33.5%68 W · 135 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 36c | 8,622$3,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,518.02 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77d1…1c30backed Yes | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +34%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb87b…3626backed Yes | 63c | 6,000$3,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,780 | 245 | 26.5%65 W · 180 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 37c | 4,397$1,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,783.55 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3a…55babacked No | 37c | 4,311$1,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,716.09 | 150 | 44%66 W · 84 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes | 64c | 4,000$2,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,560 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked No | 39c | 3,600$1,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,197.97 | 327 | 65.7%215 W · 112 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed No | 50c | 3,437$1,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,718.59 | 201 | 86.1%173 W · 28 L | +46.2wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…914ebacked Yes | 63c | 3,238$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,039.93 | 152 | 40.8%62 W · 90 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09dd…7e13backed Yes | 62c | 3,000$1,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,868 | 379 | 44.1%167 W · 212 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc09…3079backed Yes | 63c | 2,201$1,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,386.91 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Yes | 63c | 2,001$1,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,253.46 | 1,063 | 31.7%337 W · 726 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 52c | 1,986$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.8 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked No | 36c | 1,798$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.46 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 38c | 1,755$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.68 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Yes | 61c | 1,714$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.86 | 981 | 34.8%341 W · 640 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea8…b084backed Yes | 61c | 1,500$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910 | 232 | 40.5%94 W · 138 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Yes | 1c | 1,315$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 37c | 1,288$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.84 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6694…ea6fbacked Yes | 62c | 1,273$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.99 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 37c | 1,109$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.04 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 38c | 1,029$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.64 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x863a…e495backed No | 37c | 989.63$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.62 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcc54…4582backed Yes | 61c | 983.61$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 163 | 19.6%32 W · 131 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…a6babacked Yes | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 352 | 44%155 W · 197 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…af29backed No | 50c | 800.4$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.2 | 98 | 62.2%61 W · 37 L | +20.5wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 41c | 702.3$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.69 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 35c | 666.06$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.94 | 407 | 36.6%149 W · 258 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da6…9ac4backed Yes | 63c | 659$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.17 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed No | 39c | 629.93$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.17 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed No | 37c | 599$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.37 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd09d…b15dbacked Yes | 62c | 564.52$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 165 | 49.1%81 W · 84 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88f2…a6c1backed Yes | 41c | 549.36$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.26 | 199 | 44.7%89 W · 110 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 50c | 523.61$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.13 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa095…6040backed Yes | 18c | 521.08$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.66 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 14cpaid | -76%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 39c | 500$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.5 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e43…6583backed Yes | 63c | 500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabfe…8527backed Yes | 64c | 482.81$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Yes | 67c | 447.76$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 169 | 57.4%97 W · 72 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 36c | 405.18$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.31 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 8c | 403.73$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.78 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x511b…f6dabacked Yes | 62c | 403.23$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ec…a234backed Yes | 64c | 402.36$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.23 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed Yes | 63c | 400$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 224 | 49.6%111 W · 113 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1e…5bb5backed No | 49c | 389$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.54 | 457 | 40.3%184 W · 273 L | -28.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 38c | 375.77$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.5 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 45c | 372.02$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.77 | 357 | 34.5%123 W · 234 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x461e…5ce2backed Yes | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x318d…e94cbacked Yes | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 174 | 62.1%108 W · 66 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8a…6da5backed Yes | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 62c | 305.98$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.82 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ac…f764backed Yes | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6944…4c38backed Yes | 63c | 299.4$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.62 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 39c | 288.71$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.14 | 350 | 35.7%125 W · 225 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 36c | 275.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.58 | 722 | 47.2%341 W · 381 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e5…9623backed No | 37c | 266.3$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.77 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34b2…735ebacked Yes | 64c | 256.88$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.4 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb24…d79fbacked Yes | 64c | 250$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x801f…d27bbacked Yes | 62c | 241.94$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 44c | 228.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.22 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7852…1a68backed Yes | 64c | 218.75$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 60c | 208$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…9756backed Yes | 64c | 204.6$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…bbbabacked No | 50c | 200.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.2 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | +34.7wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +61%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Yes | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 698 | 26.1%182 W · 516 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 36c | 200$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Yes | 63c | 200$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed No | 36c | 200$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.13 | 166 | 33.7%56 W · 110 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…0e7abacked Yes | 63c | 199.5$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.69 | 456 | 27.9%127 W · 329 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c88…455dbacked Yes | 35c | 170.09$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +97.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…3776backed Yes | 20c | 165.74$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.82 | 47 | 17%8 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e5…d1f0backed Yes | 60c | 163.89$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.33 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf2…326abacked Yes | 67c | 163.21$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 117 | 49.6%58 W · 59 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c62…5805backed Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0415…0ae5backed Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 87 | 59.8%52 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1367…5e02backed Yes | 63c | 158.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf387…61c0backed No | 40c | 156.27$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.81 | 349 | 64.5%225 W · 124 L | +73.5wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +123.1%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8e…9665backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 284 | 44.4%126 W · 158 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4961…218abacked Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 38c | 154.64$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.88 | 342 | 38.6%132 W · 210 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa271…cc3fbacked Yes | 64c | 154.28$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.74 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c2e…5e69backed Yes | 64c | 150$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dff…6743backed No | 38c | 147.37$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.37 | 346 | 46%159 W · 187 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7439…8feebacked Yes | 63c | 129.04$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.3 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5166…c580backed Yes | 64c | 125$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa48…c39abacked Yes | 61c | 121.8$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 53c | 117$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed No | 74c | 108$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.77 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 35c | 106.01$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.49 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 37c | 104.98$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.77 | 363 | 35.8%130 W · 233 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…ecadbacked Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8635…003ebacked No | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccb…6cb3backed Yes | 29c | 99.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 176 | 45.5%80 W · 96 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7844…24dfbacked Yes | 64c | 94.31$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.36 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…cefbbacked Yes | 24c | 93.48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.74 | 293 | 41%120 W · 173 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brazil to score first vs. Japan?this page
- Brazil vs. Japan: Neither team to score first?No won
- Japan to score first vs. Brazil?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.