Fifa International · resolved market
South Africa vs. Canada: Draw at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb63887e1423d60d9f4700976a42d536470aad62e4d1342c17a471effde2d8e1b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $267,511
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $317,890
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $267,511 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 211 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 41c | 41,733$16,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,938.68 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 63c | 39,849$25,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,712.31 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36a7…b6e9backed No | 53c | 23,957$12,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,696.64 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 35c | 22,883$7,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,907.27 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1d…1a19backed Yes | 47c | 20,718$9,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,980.54 | 60 | 21.7%13 W · 47 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc82f…66a7backed No | 55c | 11,914$6,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,552.45 | 332 | 35.5%118 W · 214 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 50c | 10,958$5,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,494.65 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 45c | 10,386$4,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,712.3 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0e…d06abacked Yes | 47c | 6,580$3,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,493.36 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 55c | 5,547$3,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,036.59 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed No | 2c | 5,417$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 421 | 26.4%111 W · 310 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked No | 6c | 5,060$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.56 | 515 | 14.2%73 W · 442 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…9762backed No | 35c | 4,896$1,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,706.89 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45e4…3c69backed Yes | 45c | 4,444$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,444.44 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 55c | 4,378$2,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,402.4 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dae…fff9backed Yes | 44c | 4,000$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,240 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 45c | 3,738$1,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,061.01 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03b8…b4aebacked Yes | 59c | 3,730$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530.16 | 233 | 53.2%124 W · 109 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 52c | 3,600$1,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,858 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 56c | 3,461$1,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,926.13 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9356…e52bbacked Yes | 45c | 3,333$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,833.33 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 44c | 3,154$1,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,766.24 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76aa…eff9backed No | 28c | 2,708$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.26 | 257 | 53.3%137 W · 120 L | +23.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Yes | 55c | 2,460$1,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.87 | 122 | 48.4%59 W · 63 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ed…4418backed Yes | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.22 | 124 | 28.2%35 W · 89 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…4d2bbacked Yes | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4520…9182backed Yes | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 151 | 46.4%70 W · 81 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…10fcbacked No | 16c | 1,778$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.36 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 33c | 1,705$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.87 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 49c | 1,618$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.79 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf274…443ebacked Yes | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.54 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +26%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb37…f9bbbacked Yes | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.36 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd00…d1afbacked Yes | 65c | 1,056$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.62 | 455 | 28.4%129 W · 326 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…70c5backed Yes | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.99 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 56c | 899.95$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.97 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…fa68backed No | 8c | 899.25$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.04 | 172 | 23.3%40 W · 132 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd7…dc83backed Yes | 47c | 828.68$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.2 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3131…a35dbacked Yes | 45c | 810.62$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.84 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c73…6dafbacked Yes | 66c | 761.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.67 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Yes | 56c | 761.61$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.53 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 56c | 715.76$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.99 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Yes | 64c | 675.19$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.59 | 350 | 34.3%120 W · 230 L | -24.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2952…f50dbacked Yes | 44c | 558.14$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.56 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…3287backed Yes | 44c | 543.66$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.45 | 210 | 48.6%102 W · 108 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed No | 56c | 499.94$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.97 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…9bddbacked Yes | 56c | 496.25$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.25 | 626 | 33.9%212 W · 414 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…577ebacked No | 10c | 468.46$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.91 | 82 | 12.2%10 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 55c | 454$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.7 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 55c | 454$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.7 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 43c | 444.53$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.85 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…17c5backed No | 32c | 441.49$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.37 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 56c | 438.76$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.58 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b6…022cbacked Yes | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe867…93d2backed Yes | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe4cb…a366backed No | 54c | 408.89$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.8 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0e…2a0ebacked Yes | 79c | 400$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 342 | 47.7%163 W · 179 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…efffbacked Yes | 46c | 349.98$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.99 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 14c | 337.97$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b7…5bdcbacked Yes | 79c | 333$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.93 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e49…f1afbacked No | 18c | 331.38$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.68 | 455 | 36.9%168 W · 287 L | -26.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e5…f52cbacked Yes | 44c | 329.55$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.55 | 153 | 45.8%70 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd57…4c90backed Yes | 74c | 329.53$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.16 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 67cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed Yes | 60c | 321.98$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.79 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x374e…87c9backed Yes | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.15 | 185 | 50.3%93 W · 92 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59a8…eb4ebacked Yes | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.15 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 452 | 48.9%221 W · 231 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed8…7c2fbacked No | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 485 | 26.8%130 W · 355 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 55c | 258.98$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.42 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Yes | 49c | 250$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 586 | 42.8%251 W · 335 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1617…d790backed No | 43c | 230.54$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.14 | 248 | 43.1%107 W · 141 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x597b…a872backed Yes | 59c | 228.91$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.85 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd883…714ebacked Yes | 44c | 227$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.12 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 479 | 35.1%168 W · 311 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x192e…d738backed Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes | 60c | 215.83$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.33 | 465 | 62.2%289 W · 176 L | +42.0wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 20c | 213.69$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.95 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…c62cbacked Yes | 44c | 213.64$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.64 | 206 | 30.1%62 W · 144 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 55c | 213.07$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.96 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 27c | 207.9$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.18 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d47…25c5backed Yes | 59c | 203.22$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.22 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Yes | 61c | 202.36$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.92 | 560 | 22.7%127 W · 433 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33e…2bacbacked Yes | 53c | 188.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.67 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf91…4c43backed No | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 56 | 19.6%11 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…7843backed No | 15c | 187.03$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.13 | 236 | 45.3%107 W · 129 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecc…415abacked Yes | 55c | 182$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 287 | 47%135 W · 152 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…421bbacked Yes | 45c | 163.33$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.83 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2540…6becbacked No | 14c | 157.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 245 | 40.4%99 W · 146 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204b…f3c9backed Yes | 61c | 152.59$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.76 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 54c | 150$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.8 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed No | 27c | 149.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 20c | 145.32$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x355f…1847backed Yes | 56c | 143.04$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.04 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed No | 56c | 142.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddc4…23abbacked Yes | 70c | 142.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.02 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3936…c1c8backed No | 54c | 140.87$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed No | 55c | 140$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.47 | 1,421 | 47.8%679 W · 742 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…3256backed Yes | 77c | 129.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.49 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 66cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba46…6ac5backed Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 45 | 82.2%37 W · 8 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 71cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1a…5243backed Yes | 77c | 121.14$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 55c | 117.44$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.59 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- South Africa vs. Canada: Draw at halftime?this page
- Canada leading at halftime?No won
- South Africa leading at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.