Fifa International · resolved market
South Africa leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0953c16f0d1ba0e79d048c9e6f337496cbaba265add5423baca74dda392bab32
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $138,357
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $131,168
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $138,357 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 14c | 33,704$4,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,744.8 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…c18cbacked Yes | 0c | 22,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +192.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d0…95babacked Yes | 17c | 6,785$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153.49 | 83 | 16.9%14 W · 69 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 15c | 5,636$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.39 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 15c | 4,058$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.33 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc51f…5dc6backed Yes | 17c | 2,941$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 11c | 2,620$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.51 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6b…96e1backed Yes | 11c | 1,642$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.87 | 258 | 21.3%55 W · 203 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd00…d1afbacked Yes | 3c | 1,056$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.43 | 455 | 28.4%129 W · 326 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes | 14c | 999.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Yes | 11c | 898.31$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.52 | 350 | 34.3%120 W · 230 L | -24.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf91…4c43backed Yes | 9c | 716.73$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 56 | 19.6%11 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 8c | 712.66$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.59 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 14c | 707.44$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.14 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1b…9876backed Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 327 | 33%108 W · 219 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd456…d8d5backed Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64f4…b38ebacked Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9516…0bcbbacked Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 562 | 40.6%228 W · 334 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5952…db2fbacked Yes | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 118 | 26.3%31 W · 87 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 16c | 525.5$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.08 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Yes | 14c | 512$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.68 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ae…8eadbacked Yes | 15c | 500.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.15 | 355 | 14.4%51 W · 304 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Yes | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…fe6bbacked Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b5…f95bbacked Yes | 17c | 487.09$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.73 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd2…21ebbacked Yes | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 103 | 5.8%6 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -66%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1156…6cd6backed Yes | 8c | 426.45$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.41 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed Yes | 60c | 403.22$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabf3…4807backed Yes | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Yes | 15c | 369.04$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.61 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1633…1e55backed Yes | 15c | 339$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.85 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c0…b876backed Yes | 18c | 337.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 105 | 32.4%34 W · 71 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…b217backed Yes | 17c | 300.47$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Yes | 15c | 300.19$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.06 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 14c | 274.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.44 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…9bddbacked Yes | 12c | 212.92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 626 | 33.9%212 W · 414 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6664…1891backed Yes | 15c | 180$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4f…88f0backed Yes | 14c | 169.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed No | 38c | 150$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 38c | 143.22$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.8 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x323b…df9abacked Yes | 17c | 141.18$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 79 | 19%15 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89e6…5501backed Yes | 15c | 122$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 230 | 36.1%83 W · 147 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Yes | 10c | 114.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6343…943bbacked Yes | 17c | 110$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 133 | 31.6%42 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4372…6a96backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 269 | 21.6%58 W · 211 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 14c | 82.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90a…06b7backed Yes | 14c | 81.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Yes | 16c | 80$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Yes | 14c | 75.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 15c | 72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x565f…e7dfbacked Yes | 16c | 62.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 169 | 43.8%74 W · 95 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…4e2fbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -44%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2289…5080backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x056a…22f7backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 208 | 14.4%30 W · 178 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…3de3backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- South Africa leading at halftime?this page
- Canada leading at halftime?No won
- South Africa vs. Canada: Draw at halftime?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.