Fifa International · resolved market
Hungary vs. Slovenia: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd01fb083cf83f7e2b8a6fd5e3150a82a0c25928313d5a5288408226e03b21af6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,446
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,206
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,446 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb6d0…9b55backed Over | 59c | 16,731$9,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,831.15 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 2,019$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.67 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…677ebacked Over | 70c | 1,596$1,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117.47 | 100 | 68%68 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…d4bfbacked Over | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.67 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc7…43e5backed Over | 26c | 1,109$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.98 | 138 | 30.4%42 W · 96 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…b624backed Over | 33c | 999.94$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.98 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 46c | 867.46$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.83 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 35c | 714.29$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 30c | 499.14$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.4 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 57c | 465.2$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 57c | 459.48$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.67 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 33c | 419.72$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.22 | 246 | 53.3%131 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 68c | 365.08$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 200 | 67.5%135 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 41c | 343.38$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.22 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 30c | 307.87$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.51 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 30c | 306.46$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.77 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 33c | 296.57$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.7 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 28c | 291.74$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.98 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 52c | 273.37$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.52 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Over | 65c | 256$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.59 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over | 43c | 232.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Under | 67c | 228.52$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.27 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…9ee4backed Over | 60c | 226.67$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 44c | 198.83$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.06 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa396…0019backed Over | 32c | 186.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 30c | 183.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.79 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc493…9200backed Over | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 66c | 151.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.45 | 255 | 54.5%139 W · 116 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed Under | 66c | 151.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.3 | 154 | 48.1%74 W · 80 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…0263backed Over | 57c | 148.72$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.77 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c65…6b11backed Under | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 28c | 141.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.1 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01ee…6ab0backed Over | 64c | 138.73$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.79 | 127 | 63.8%81 W · 46 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Over | 33c | 130$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.89 | 189 | 26.5%50 W · 139 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 110 | 27.3%30 W · 80 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked Over | 66c | 126$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.58 | 335 | 55.5%186 W · 149 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 165 | 35.2%58 W · 107 L | +15.3wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x610d…6c37backed Over | 66c | 105.04$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.33 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…665fbacked Over | 33c | 100.52$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.69 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1edf…2392backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -39%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 159 | 45.3%72 W · 87 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…cc43backed Over | 32c | 84.38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec45…6ba6backed Over | 18c | 79.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb941…6d97backed Over | 39c | 77.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa2…b8e3backed Under | 40c | 72.41$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.37 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1f…ea7abacked Over | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 60c | 65$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 504 | 50.2%253 W · 251 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb277…c7eebacked Under | 56c | 62.11$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.53 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9317…5a5fbacked Over | 66c | 59.29$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.94 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Over | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 153 | 41.2%63 W · 90 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9da…f7d9backed Over | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 41c | 53.48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.54 | 341 | 44.3%151 W · 190 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Under | 54c | 51.85$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe1…e700backed Under | 59c | 50.73$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7f…0abbbacked Over | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b0b…94d1backed Under | 44c | 48.47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe57c…b99bbacked Over | 66c | 46.51$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.7 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed Over | 32c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 69c | 41$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.41 | 289 | 64.4%186 W · 103 L | +42.6wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…db61backed Under | 44c | 39.76$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.39 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 64c | 38.07$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.79 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Over | 72c | 36.08$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.98 | 110 | 60%66 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f38…39f2backed Over | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Under | 39c | 35.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…4f06backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c08…0d49backed Over | 66c | 34.87$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Over | 37c | 30.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 260 | 47.3%123 W · 137 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 108 | 68.5%74 W · 34 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 71c | 28.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…c7acbacked Over | 59c | 26.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 64 | 71.9%46 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 55c | 24.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa64c…34f2backed Under | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Under | 61c | 18.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.18 | 205 | 61%125 W · 80 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hungary vs. Slovenia: O/U 1.5this page
- Hungary vs. Slovenia: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Hungary vs. Slovenia: O/U 2.5Under won
- Hungary vs. Slovenia: O/U 3.5Under won
- Hungary vs. Slovenia: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Hungary (-1.5)Slovenia won
- Spread: Slovenia (-1.5)Hungary won
- Spread: Slovenia (-2.5)Hungary won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.