Fifa International · resolved market
Hungary vs. Slovenia: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59460a65ec1d9380716de1e7f6528ffdab087db1d32f44769341256d109a1a19
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,531
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,282
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,531 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9970…09bebacked Over | 45c | 7,243$3,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,248.35 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 30cpaid | -74%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 78c | 6,224$4,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,377.77 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 57c | 3,491$1,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,497.44 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Over | 45c | 3,334$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc7…43e5backed Over | 11c | 3,220$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.45 | 138 | 30.4%42 W · 96 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 55c | 2,854$1,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275.52 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 55c | 2,012$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.84 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf62a…aecfbacked Over | 28c | 1,530$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Under | 57c | 701.75$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.75 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…62eabacked Under | 55c | 694.99$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.75 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 73c | 681.67$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.13 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92e8…bde5backed Over | 44c | 586.36$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3504…6f84backed Over | 44c | 564.4$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e5…878abacked Over | 44c | 550.58$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 70c | 548.08$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.4 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x568e…65e6backed Over | 44c | 546.1$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a6c…b36abacked Under | 56c | 529.54$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.89 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.5wins | +0.39per pick | 50cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…a7c1backed Under | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 70c | 511.75$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.29 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 45c | 502.83$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 454 | 28%127 W · 327 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc9f…f2bbbacked Under | 56c | 463.99$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96e1…2808backed Under | 56c | 446$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Over | 43c | 441.56$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.9 | 143 | 23.8%34 W · 109 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 47c | 426.81$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ddc…fae1backed Under | 56c | 410.99$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e79…ed46backed Under | 56c | 381.99$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.07 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -33%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 54c | 366$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.36 | 328 | 55.8%183 W · 145 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Over | 46c | 349.99$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 264 | 54.5%144 W · 120 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 55c | 346.35$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.86 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…0263backed Over | 42c | 261.1$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.89 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 55c | 227.71$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.47 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5788…b08cbacked Over | 24c | 217.39$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 69c | 215.99$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.21 | 237 | 49.8%118 W · 119 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x373b…1107backed Over | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed Over | 43c | 191.09$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.17 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +21.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 65c | 189.97$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.41 | 246 | 53.3%131 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 62c | 178.97$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.56 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 54c | 154.34$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 72c | 126.93$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.74 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 55c | 121$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.59 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6108…b26abacked Over | 38c | 118.42$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 159 | 45.3%72 W · 87 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 54c | 91.03$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.82 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 71c | 84.78$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 55c | 75.2$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.64 | 436 | 53.7%234 W · 202 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 56c | 69$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Over | 43c | 63$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.09 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 44c | 56.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 451 | 20.6%93 W · 358 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Under | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 85 | 72.9%62 W · 23 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Over | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3319…ba79backed Under | 58c | 49.6$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.69 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9c…1700backed Under | 73c | 47.81$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.91 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Over | 44c | 47.04$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9db…dd44backed Over | 44c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 45c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 363 | 29.8%108 W · 255 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe24f…d68abacked Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…5403backed Under | 57c | 43.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.68 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec45…6ba6backed Under | 57c | 43.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.68 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4458…d13bbacked Over | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 200 | 67.5%135 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Over | 36c | 33.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f36…5d0abacked Over | 44c | 31.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 73c | 31.04$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 341 | 44.3%151 W · 190 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 467 | 43.3%202 W · 265 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 79c | 29.06$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 823 | 48.8%402 W · 421 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c72…fd26backed Over | 44c | 28.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb277…c7eebacked Under | 76c | 24.44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.81 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6da7…762abacked Under | 48c | 21.55$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 52c | 20.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 200 | 50%100 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x092f…3f69backed Under | 58c | 19.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hungary vs. Slovenia: O/U 2.5this page
- Hungary vs. Slovenia: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Hungary vs. Slovenia: O/U 1.5Under won
- Hungary vs. Slovenia: O/U 3.5Under won
- Hungary vs. Slovenia: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Hungary (-1.5)Slovenia won
- Spread: Slovenia (-1.5)Hungary won
- Spread: Slovenia (-2.5)Hungary won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.