Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Slovakia (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1402bd2d7ccecb2490d3380d7b99a4295f73f12048cc37ff2dc67f9c3cb67fcc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maltaof Slovakia, Malta
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,187
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,898
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,187 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Malta | 54c | 2,462$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,137.27 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Malta | 38c | 2,172$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,346.58 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe2…9645backed Slovakia | 61c | 1,646$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Slovakia | 39c | 1,251$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.36 | 92 | 30.4%28 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Slovakia | 48c | 1,217$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.92 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Slovakia | 59c | 644.07$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Slovakia | 73c | 550.75$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 294 | 63.3%186 W · 108 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Malta | 41c | 538.53$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.7 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Malta | 29c | 483.81$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.67 | 847 | 38.8%329 W · 518 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…4e1fbacked Slovakia | 77c | 389.61$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Malta | 40c | 333.66$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.08 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Malta | 40c | 320.56$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.51 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Malta | 39c | 306.96$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.05 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Slovakia | 66c | 286.31$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.49 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Slovakia | 64c | 280.3$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.04 | 233 | 45.1%105 W · 128 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Slovakia | 60c | 264.77$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.29 | 239 | 40.6%97 W · 142 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Malta | 42c | 264.32$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.38 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Malta | 42c | 238.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.91 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fca…1938backed Malta | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Malta | 49c | 209.65$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.58 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Malta | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Slovakia | 48c | 182.04$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.97 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5127…de1ebacked Slovakia | 59c | 168.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aba…1910backed Slovakia | 60c | 167.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 106 | 67.9%72 W · 34 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cad…0758backed Slovakia | 59c | 167.1$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.59 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b11…6f75backed Slovakia | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 77.2%44 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Slovakia | 68c | 155.86$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.82 | 432 | 46.8%202 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32be…6da7backed Slovakia | 60c | 151.13$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.44 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Slovakia | 60c | 147.21$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.33 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Slovakia | 67c | 140.53$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.16 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Malta | 56c | 135.18$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.85 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…11b4backed Slovakia | 78c | 128.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 277 | 67.9%188 W · 89 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Slovakia | 59c | 125.88$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.27 | 815 | 54.8%447 W · 368 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Malta | 41c | 120.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01ae…55f8backed Slovakia | 56c | 107.86$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…6da4backed Slovakia | 58c | 101.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.58 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Malta | 40c | 99.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 465 | 25.4%118 W · 347 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Slovakia | 59c | 89.66$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.9 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Malta | 42c | 84.17$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.87 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…a8e5backed Slovakia | 60c | 83.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb305…a400backed Slovakia | 23c | 82.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 333 | 45.3%151 W · 182 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Malta | 39c | 75.21$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.93 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2458…bd24backed Malta | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Slovakia | 61c | 69.43$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.35 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14c8…c192backed Slovakia | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Malta | 44c | 56.81$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.81 | 160 | 40.6%65 W · 95 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…6516backed Slovakia | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Slovakia | 61c | 49.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Slovakia | 66c | 46.05$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.29 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e82…7ab7backed Malta | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 171 | 49.1%84 W · 87 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcadd…c7e6backed Malta | 38c | 44.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Slovakia | 61c | 41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 233 | 63.5%148 W · 85 L | +19.8wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Malta | 42c | 40.32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 418 | 57.9%242 W · 176 L | +14.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Malta | 44c | 39.23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Slovakia | 67c | 38.69$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 192 | 57.8%111 W · 81 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed Malta | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 356 | 19.4%69 W · 287 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…6468backed Slovakia | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +6.0wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Malta | 41c | 35.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.96 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Malta | 42c | 35.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 116 | 58.6%68 W · 48 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07d9…c160backed Slovakia | 59c | 35.59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Slovakia | 56c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Malta | 41c | 35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 235 | 52.8%124 W · 111 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8724…b082backed Slovakia | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea6…dcf5backed Slovakia | 60c | 33.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.24per pick | 61cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x610d…6c37backed Slovakia | 59c | 31.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe57c…b99bbacked Slovakia | 59c | 31.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Slovakia | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 467 | 43.3%202 W · 265 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Malta | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 203 | 30.5%62 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Slovakia | 38c | 27.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Malta | 42c | 25.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Slovakia | 49c | 25.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 341 | 2.9%10 W · 331 L | -132.4wins | -0.39per pick | 42cpaid | -94%equal weight | 10-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Malta | 61c | 25.51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.91 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Slovakia | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x967b…46babacked Slovakia | 58c | 19.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71a2…e17dbacked Slovakia | 71c | 17.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 62 | 71%44 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Slovakia (-1.5)this page
- Slovakia vs. Malta: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Slovakia vs. Malta: O/U 0.5Over won
- Slovakia vs. Malta: O/U 1.5Over won
- Slovakia vs. Malta: O/U 2.5Over won
- Slovakia vs. Malta: O/U 3.5Under won
- Slovakia vs. Malta: O/U 4.5Under won
- Slovakia vs. Malta: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Slovakia (-2.5)Malta won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.