Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Slovakia (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26b1b3201fb07ba247f7e25fcb42f665b3b1dd48b6a74906b54433050a1f658a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maltaof Slovakia, Malta
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,171
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,459
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,171 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Malta | 60c | 6,092$3,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,461.24 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Slovakia | 41c | 5,392$2,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,212.32 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Slovakia | 31c | 1,296$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.43 | 92 | 30.4%28 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Slovakia | 6c | 1,008$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.05 | 168 | 33.9%57 W · 111 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66e5…d3c7backed Slovakia | 36c | 1,000$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.11 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…3c2dbacked Malta | 68c | 503$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.96 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Slovakia | 39c | 463.03$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.51 | 239 | 40.6%97 W · 142 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Slovakia | 31c | 429.27$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.03 | 847 | 38.8%329 W · 518 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Malta | 69c | 323.06$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.15 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9e…3a21backed Slovakia | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Slovakia | 53c | 272.72$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.47 | 518 | 59.8%310 W · 208 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Malta | 66c | 271.7$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.77 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Malta | 65c | 263.86$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.52 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Malta | 65c | 246$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.1 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Slovakia | 39c | 239.09$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.59 | 233 | 45.1%105 W · 128 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Malta | 60c | 227.97$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.27 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf22b…8f84backed Malta | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Malta | 65c | 162.69$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.13 | 418 | 57.9%242 W · 176 L | +14.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Slovakia | 31c | 157$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.36 | 203 | 30.5%62 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Malta | 12c | 135$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Slovakia | 19c | 127$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Malta | 64c | 106$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.16 | 815 | 54.8%447 W · 368 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Malta | 50c | 100.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.69 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Malta | 71c | 100.39$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.11 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Malta | 64c | 99.54$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.6 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Malta | 75c | 95$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.67 | 379 | 50.1%190 W · 189 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Malta | 60c | 79.32$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.83 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Slovakia | 37c | 69.29$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.64 | 512 | 50.4%258 W · 254 L | +31.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Slovakia | 31c | 52.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Malta | 65c | 50.24$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x372e…4ed8backed Malta | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Malta | 67c | 49.51$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Slovakia | 33c | 44.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Slovakia | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 514 | 29.4%151 W · 363 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Malta | 48c | 40.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Slovakia | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0e…c7a6backed Malta | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed Malta | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 137 | 45.3%62 W · 75 L | -14.9wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fc…617abacked Slovakia | 37c | 37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Malta | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 160 | 40.6%65 W · 95 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Malta | 74c | 33.94$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Malta | 63c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa636…dfe9backed Malta | 65c | 30.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Slovakia | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Slovakia | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Malta | 80c | 24.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Malta | 63c | 23.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.71 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8b…9cd7backed Malta | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 138 | 58.7%81 W · 57 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15ba…f30dbacked Malta | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 248 | 37.1%92 W · 156 L | -12.5wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Slovakia | 67c | 17.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 158 | 59.5%94 W · 64 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Slovakia (-2.5)this page
- Slovakia vs. Malta: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Slovakia vs. Malta: O/U 0.5Over won
- Slovakia vs. Malta: O/U 1.5Over won
- Slovakia vs. Malta: O/U 2.5Over won
- Slovakia vs. Malta: O/U 3.5Under won
- Slovakia vs. Malta: O/U 4.5Under won
- Slovakia vs. Malta: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Slovakia (-1.5)Malta won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.