Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC Porto vs. CD Tondela: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x571cc2030cc701f9f763468a86ed537d5ba57902ac640dabe4990d6ac5f0bf06
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,240
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,439
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,240 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 31c | 7,417$2,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,269.3 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…d4bfbacked Over | 70c | 7,305$5,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,191.5 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.24per pick | 62cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 35c | 2,924$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.87 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 54c | 2,452$1,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.15 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad6…caadbacked Over | 75c | 2,194$1,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.3 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +5.7wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +109%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 36c | 1,975$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.64 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Under | 29c | 1,724$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 132 | 44.7%59 W · 73 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 30c | 1,126$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.84 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 70c | 800$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 269 | 49.8%134 W · 135 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 18c | 736.06$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.52 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 73c | 568.88$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.04 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 13c | 479.8$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.73 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5833…4893backed Over | 79c | 300$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 42c | 295.19$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.62 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c7…c8e5backed Over | 55c | 293.1$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 30c | 277.42$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.66 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 55c | 265.36$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.41 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Under | 20c | 187$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 123 | 19.5%24 W · 99 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 80c | 172.9$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.58 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x654d…ba8fbacked Under | 19c | 157.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 18c | 125$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 79c | 124.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 80c | 123.5$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 205 | 72.2%148 W · 57 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 78c | 108.76$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 77c | 98.62$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 70c | 98.2$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.46 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e3…4bd5backed Over | 80c | 93.86$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.77 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4d…1a1fbacked Over | 54c | 90.04$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.42 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc454…8c31backed Under | 21c | 87.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x610d…6c37backed Over | 71c | 80.67$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.39 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d76…6fd4backed Under | 32c | 75.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 66.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.22 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…84c5backed Over | 55c | 66.18$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.83 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 18c | 62.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Under | 32c | 59.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa0…441abacked Over | 54c | 57.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.68 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 80c | 55.58$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 75 | 80%60 W · 15 L | +12.7wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Over | 53c | 45.84$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | -10.8wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 72c | 44.44$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 135 | 73.3%99 W · 36 L | +24.7wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 70c | 42.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 278 | 64.4%179 W · 99 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Over | 53c | 35.39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.63 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 80c | 35.32$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aea…34b7backed Over | 53c | 33.81$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed Under | 31c | 32.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Under | 39c | 30.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe57c…b99bbacked Over | 71c | 30.63$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 57c | 29.65$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 79c | 29.26$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0079…b852backed Over | 55c | 28.31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c08…0d49backed Over | 71c | 26.81$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cf…0425backed Over | 70c | 25.25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 55c | 24.82$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 89 | 69.7%62 W · 27 L | +13.3wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Under | 47c | 24.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Over | 65c | 24.66$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 56c | 23.37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 347 | 60.8%211 W · 136 L | +33.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…fddbbacked Over | 54c | 22.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 69cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbf…f4e6backed Over | 60c | 17.03$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.81 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Porto vs. CD Tondela: O/U 1.5this page
- FC Porto vs. CD Tondela: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Porto vs. CD Tondela: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Porto vs. CD Tondela: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Porto vs. CD Tondela: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Porto (-1.5)FC Porto won
- Spread: FC Porto (-2.5)CD Tondela won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.