Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: FC Porto (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad755a3650b93cbffe19d199048c8d1cd584ec86aca8cb5d602405a776af7a55
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FC Portoof FC Porto, CD Tondela
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,345
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,794
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,345 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed CD Tondela | 39c | 1,685$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.01 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed FC Porto | 62c | 1,500$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.95 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed CD Tondela | 49c | 929.12$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.32 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed FC Porto | 64c | 764.96$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.78 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked CD Tondela | 37c | 756.73$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.64 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked FC Porto | 64c | 643.68$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.79 | 136 | 62.5%85 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked FC Porto | 47c | 581.51$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.49 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x077f…ca20backed FC Porto | 42c | 578.63$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.38 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 39cpaid | -76%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked CD Tondela | 36c | 569.74$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.93 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed CD Tondela | 41c | 467.07$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.58 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e2…0d29backed CD Tondela | 39c | 432.36$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed CD Tondela | 36c | 407$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.35 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked CD Tondela | 38c | 404.45$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.69 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked FC Porto | 62c | 395.61$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.34 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99ec…0da5backed FC Porto | 65c | 387.8$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked FC Porto | 45c | 379.69$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.46 | 123 | 19.5%24 W · 99 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc02a…b43fbacked FC Porto | 57c | 350$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.5 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed FC Porto | 61c | 320.2$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.88 | 132 | 44.7%59 W · 73 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9531…18ffbacked FC Porto | 56c | 239.92$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.57 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb03…9732backed FC Porto | 64c | 229.31$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc304…2c49backed CD Tondela | 49c | 197.76$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.9 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed FC Porto | 60c | 180$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.4 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf479…0fe3backed FC Porto | 64c | 171.93$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed CD Tondela | 36c | 168.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.74 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked FC Porto | 63c | 145.12$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.69 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x848f…4e46backed FC Porto | 61c | 122.74$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.53 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2062…6be2backed FC Porto | 42c | 114.9$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.64 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +4.4wins | +0.30per pick | 44cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked CD Tondela | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 182 | 41.8%76 W · 106 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed CD Tondela | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0c…0852backed FC Porto | 64c | 97.84$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d84…a7bdbacked CD Tondela | 43c | 96.58$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.53 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed CD Tondela | 36c | 89.67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.28 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed FC Porto | 62c | 87.88$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.98 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked CD Tondela | 33c | 81.58$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked CD Tondela | 37c | 78.83$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.33 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked FC Porto | 70c | 78.18$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.24 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a5…2563backed FC Porto | 63c | 77.6$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…007bbacked FC Porto | 63c | 77.6$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked CD Tondela | 49c | 77.16$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.81 | 256 | 53.1%136 W · 120 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed FC Porto | 64c | 76.44$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked FC Porto | 51c | 69.05$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed FC Porto | 67c | 68.36$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked CD Tondela | 38c | 63.34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.07 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked FC Porto | 64c | 61.15$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.01 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f23…075fbacked FC Porto | 63c | 55.73$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.62 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c8…d506backed CD Tondela | 38c | 50.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed CD Tondela | 48c | 50.13$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 198 | 60.1%119 W · 79 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb64c…393dbacked FC Porto | 44c | 43.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…f6e1backed CD Tondela | 43c | 43.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed CD Tondela | 37c | 43.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd53c…5194backed FC Porto | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…ced8backed FC Porto | 42c | 39.07$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…6727backed FC Porto | 63c | 38.8$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d8…49a3backed FC Porto | 63c | 38.8$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8804…5f52backed FC Porto | 63c | 38.8$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc164…55e7backed FC Porto | 63c | 38.8$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed FC Porto | 63c | 38.8$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -60%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf875…256cbacked FC Porto | 44c | 32.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f47…742ebacked CD Tondela | 45c | 32.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed CD Tondela | 51c | 31.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf263…e9c1backed FC Porto | 62c | 26.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.91 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed CD Tondela | 56c | 26.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x089e…6e0ebacked FC Porto | 63c | 23.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72bd…d37abacked FC Porto | 63c | 20.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77e6…0ae1backed CD Tondela | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed FC Porto | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 123 | 61%75 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed FC Porto | 65c | 19.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 189 | 40.2%76 W · 113 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed FC Porto | 64c | 19.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.08 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62d4…7fc9backed FC Porto | 63c | 19.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FC Porto (-1.5)this page
- FC Porto vs. CD Tondela: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Porto vs. CD Tondela: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Porto vs. CD Tondela: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Porto vs. CD Tondela: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Porto vs. CD Tondela: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Porto (-2.5)CD Tondela won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.