Fifa International · resolved market
Sweden vs. Greece: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x733e8cdc443a51871fe5b999e2833e683d13a3989680838db7cfefab3afc2476
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,535
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,555
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,535 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 20c | 2,491$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 161 | 16.1%26 W · 135 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1530…6aaabacked Over | 78c | 1,417$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.59 | 161 | 63.4%102 W · 59 L | +25.7wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over | 74c | 1,318$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.57 | 304 | 65.1%198 W · 106 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Over | 77c | 1,300$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299 | 226 | 39.4%89 W · 137 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 22c | 1,221$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.26 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 18c | 1,114$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.55 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 24c | 783.65$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.64 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe2…9645backed Over | 75c | 663.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.23 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 18c | 539.53$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.12 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 80c | 513.51$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.7 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 79c | 509.53$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.87 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Under | 21c | 475.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf0…72cebacked Under | 22c | 454.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 24c | 345.22$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.26 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed Under | 24c | 309.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 315 | 53%167 W · 148 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 23c | 304.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.9 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…5d3abacked Over | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 145 | 68.3%99 W · 46 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9762…73fbbacked Over | 76c | 248.16$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.56 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 20c | 238.93$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.94 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 79c | 223.15$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.86 | 258 | 65.9%170 W · 88 L | +40.1wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 28c | 220$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 72c | 220$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Over | 76c | 203.95$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 169 | 65.1%110 W · 59 L | +14.6wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Under | 24c | 201.32$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.32 | 413 | 44.1%182 W · 231 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under | 13c | 191.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 190 | 26.3%50 W · 140 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Over | 76c | 165.18$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.18 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 24c | 151$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.53 | 848 | 44.3%376 W · 472 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 25c | 129.66$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.42 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Over | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 66 | 71.2%47 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f50…fbf2backed Under | 21c | 95.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa31a…d023backed Under | 26c | 87.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 23c | 80$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 397 | 46.3%184 W · 213 L | -28.9wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 23c | 77.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9836…5765backed Under | 26c | 75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b11…6f75backed Over | 75c | 66.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 57 | 77.2%44 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0aba…1910backed Over | 75c | 66.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 106 | 67.9%72 W · 34 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…a8e5backed Over | 75c | 59.66$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.91 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 77c | 55.97$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.07 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Over | 79c | 55.65$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.69 | 201 | 86.1%173 W · 28 L | +46.2wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…7e67backed Under | 19c | 53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 177 | 37.9%67 W · 110 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2e…c5d2backed Over | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 24c | 45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a18…a0f3backed Over | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7c…4394backed Over | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x610d…6c37backed Over | 76c | 25.26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe57c…b99bbacked Over | 76c | 25.26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x686b…ea8fbacked Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 79c | 17.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.59 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked Over | 74c | 14.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.79 | 146 | 53.4%78 W · 68 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sweden vs. Greece: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Greece (-1.5)Sweden won
- Spread: Greece (-2.5)Sweden won
- Spread: Sweden (-1.5)Greece won
- Spread: Sweden (-2.5)Greece won
- Sweden vs. Greece: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Sweden vs. Greece: O/U 0.5Over won
- Sweden vs. Greece: O/U 2.5Over won
- Sweden vs. Greece: O/U 3.5Over won
- Sweden vs. Greece: O/U 4.5Under won
- Sweden vs. Greece: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.