TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Sweden vs. Greece: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$101,473
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$120,755

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,473 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3496…8fc4backed Under77c15,000$11,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,549.9917034.7%59 W · 111 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under73c14,638$10,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,627.64,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbb3…ff2ebacked Under0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10825%2 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick18cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Over24c7,861$1,895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,966.1917748%85 W · 92 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+24.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Over20c6,400$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,119.9422813.2%30 W · 198 L+0.7wins0.00per pick13cpaid+30.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1530…6aaabacked Over23c6,210$1,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,810.4916163.4%102 W · 59 L+25.7wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+44.8%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over26c6,000$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,459.9645421.4%97 W · 357 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed Over23c5,802$1,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,467.6220186.1%173 W · 28 L+46.2wins+0.23per pick63cpaid+49.1%equal weight73+0.20 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Over36c5,610$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,609.9731644.9%142 W · 174 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under68c3,982$2,716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,715.992,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under68c2,884$1,969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,969.371,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under57c2,655$1,516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,515.782,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over23c2,174$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,673.9159453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over28c2,080$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,505.613,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6d1…286abacked Over47c1,447$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762.917447.1%82 W · 92 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe471…34c0backed Under67c1,028$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.078138.3%31 W · 50 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid+0.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over31c971.63$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671.6389443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Under72c959.1$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.3363151.5%325 W · 306 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd1f…9136backed Under67c807.1$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.193759.5%22 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Under75c799.99$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.9622041.4%91 W · 129 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Under71c676.06$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48022551.6%116 W · 109 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-3.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Over49c600$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3067943%34 W · 45 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-20.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8725…4806backed Over51c592$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.081361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+16.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over29c505.59$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.661,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa163…ce0abacked Over54c496.29$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.295074%37 W · 13 L+5.9wins+0.12per pick62cpaid+19%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2666…ade6backed Over53c491.09$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.816346%29 W · 34 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbed3…2811backed Under66c454.81$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300922.2%2 W · 7 L-3.3wins-0.37per pick59cpaid-70.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over35c404.79$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.221,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over28c400$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28843826.3%115 W · 323 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under72c395.67$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.881,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over28c392.86$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.8610330.1%31 W · 72 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over26c328.83$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.9887651.1%448 W · 428 L+25.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over27c299$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.2719026.3%50 W · 140 L-10.1wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-32.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc338…974ebacked Over37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.2719746.2%91 W · 106 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf94c…4484backed Under53c261.06$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick64cpaid-43.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f7a…0f82backed Over25c260$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19511135.1%39 W · 72 L-9.4wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-22.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Under77c258.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20039648.7%193 W · 203 L-23.6wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-15.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under63c257.69$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.122,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over27c232.02$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.453,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ee7…f36ebacked Under80c231.25$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18511253.6%60 W · 52 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ebc…01c6backed Under66c227.27$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid+19.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under71c209.96$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.964,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4571…a952backed Under51c205.88$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1053850%19 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20a3…0fcabacked Under7c205.08$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.36137.7%1 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick7cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over18c200$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16433120.8%69 W · 262 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e46…5737backed Under73c200$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1469454.3%51 W · 43 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a51…f305backed Over28c200$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14418827.7%52 W · 136 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26ca…da6abacked Under71c200$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1426958%40 W · 29 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33c0…4c07backed Under63c177.64$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.111050%5 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under73c168.06$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.232,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Under72c164.63$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.3124448.4%118 W · 126 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under70c149.99$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.51,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under69c144.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10061750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over28c143.08$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.0236329.8%108 W · 255 L-17.4wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe062…a496backed Over54c142.27$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.132365.2%15 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over40c140$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.850450.2%253 W · 251 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x488c…a2dabacked Under73c136.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015364.7%99 W · 54 L+13.6wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+16.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4912…c24ebacked Under75c132.47$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-28.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0bcf…04fcbacked Under79c126.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007147.9%34 W · 37 L-7.3wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-19.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under72c124.99$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.350833.3%169 W · 339 L-35.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-40.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6aa1…a420backed Over40c119.65$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.7912631%39 W · 87 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7066…50e5backed Over51c117.65$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.6512250%61 W · 61 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Over27c116.07$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.7320330.5%62 W · 141 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd73…4da1backed Over21c116$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.6419713.7%27 W · 170 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-43.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4ee…e425backed Over29c112.63$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.777824.4%19 W · 59 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Over28c107.14$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.1425727.2%70 W · 187 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under72c107$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.041,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d1c…8408backed Under68c104.41$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7115156.3%85 W · 66 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Over28c101$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.7223732.1%76 W · 161 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Under58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581,30644.7%584 W · 722 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa681…8b89backed Over49c99.99$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5127028.9%78 W · 192 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x98cb…26bcbacked Under68c97.54$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.332937.9%11 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-22.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x82c0…02fdbacked Over33c90.91$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.917424.3%18 W · 56 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+33.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d16…4e1fbacked Under77c89.51$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.923669.4%25 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over28c88.29$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.2945120.6%93 W · 358 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over14c80.8$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.5285550.6%433 W · 422 L+54.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Under63c78.02$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5414647.3%69 W · 77 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Under54c69.32$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.3251514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under80c60.04$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.871,45953.9%787 W · 672 L-6.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a5a…3427backed Under79c60$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.431553%167 W · 148 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+34.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9991…36b8backed Under58c59.03$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.1619257.8%111 W · 81 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe36a…ae58backed Over31c58.96$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.547653.9%41 W · 35 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58e4…3876backed Under74c54.37$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4011749.6%58 W · 59 L-6.8wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb481…4db8backed Over38c52.63$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.636253.2%33 W · 29 L+6.1wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+22.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa8cf…0351backed Under80c50$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick76cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed Under69c50$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.515655.1%86 W · 70 L-10.5wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over39c49.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.225455.9%142 W · 112 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under72c45.65$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.8783153.3%443 W · 388 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7d2…abfbbacked Under64c45.18$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.724148.8%20 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed Under70c44.5$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1647546.1%219 W · 256 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over29c42$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.824,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19d8…965abacked Under71c41$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9112252.5%64 W · 58 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66f7…c691backed Over50c40.6$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.38773.6%64 W · 23 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick68cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf05b…3c59backed Over42c40.48$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4816547.9%79 W · 86 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f2c…9d16backed Over35c40.22$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2228240.8%115 W · 167 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42e7…d4ccbacked Under75c40$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011965.5%78 W · 41 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Under80c39$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1711860.2%71 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x27ec…579dbacked Under61c37.71$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.031010%1 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.29per pick39cpaid-78.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x91a8…0c80backed Under65c35.31$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over51c34.84$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0715247.4%72 W · 80 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.