Fifa International · resolved market
Sweden vs. Greece: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3f685835d7fc6afbbc5de38ef7400dee5c8d06d43d7fcf1f90044e0025298d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $605,050
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $716,531
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $605,050 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3496…8fc4backed Over | 52c | 250,000$131,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118,999.94 | 170 | 34.7%59 W · 111 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Under | 48c | 205,832$98,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98,707.32 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 48c | 26,524$12,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,697.39 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4c…1f30backed Over | 52c | 23,800$12,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,396.5 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 10,140$4,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,526.38 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…509dbacked Under | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 45c | 7,226$3,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,285.93 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 48c | 5,606$2,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,718.06 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d85…197fbacked Under | 49c | 4,729$2,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,315.28 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32aa…c56ebacked Under | 50c | 4,050$2,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,024 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 49c | 4,015$1,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,033.76 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 43c | 3,448$1,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,475.79 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 45c | 3,374$1,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,855.89 | 228 | 13.2%30 W · 198 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 38c | 3,072$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.28 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Under | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 232 | 55.2%128 W · 104 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 48c | 2,851$1,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,366.23 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 48c | 2,072$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.53 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1530…6aaabacked Over | 70c | 1,868$1,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.42 | 161 | 63.4%102 W · 59 L | +25.7wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 54c | 1,781$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.54 | 617 | 50.6%312 W · 305 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…d2dcbacked Under | 54c | 1,743$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.24 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0145…35d0backed Over | 69c | 1,606$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.79 | 148 | 66.9%99 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd586…7c9bbacked Under | 48c | 1,037$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Under | 51c | 999.93$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.96 | 144 | 33.3%48 W · 96 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Over | 53c | 877.19$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.28 | 372 | 42.5%158 W · 214 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 49c | 870.85$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.85 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked Over | 58c | 865.83$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.36 | 594 | 53.4%317 W · 277 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 48c | 824.54$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.55 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd881…af24backed Under | 52c | 809.49$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.93 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 37c | 808.53$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.61 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 32c | 776.54$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 161 | 16.1%26 W · 135 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 49c | 604.08$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.08 | 217 | 47.9%104 W · 113 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb143…f649backed Under | 52c | 579.99$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.6 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 49c | 569.24$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.97 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…ce0abacked Over | 57c | 514.6$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.28 | 50 | 74%37 W · 13 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 49c | 509.3$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.39 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 47c | 504.5$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.39 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8433…9738backed Over | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4871…0742backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 52c | 480.71$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 12c | 456.4$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.94 | 855 | 50.6%433 W · 422 L | +54.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 42c | 450.47$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.92 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x140e…cf85backed Under | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d06…755bbacked Under | 54c | 397.39$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.59 | 197 | 44.2%87 W · 110 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa69…02c1backed Under | 38c | 394.71$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 437 | 37.8%165 W · 272 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Over | 53c | 378.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.5 | 124 | 41.9%52 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Under | 14c | 365.56$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 50c | 364.22$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.41 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 73c | 360.4$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.28 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca09…d50ebacked Under | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…4806backed Over | 60c | 336$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.4 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 53c | 326.27$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.35 | 414 | 51.4%213 W · 201 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…9ee4backed Over | 67c | 325.37$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.37 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7b…eac6backed Over | 63c | 315$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.48 | 174 | 59.8%104 W · 70 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Over | 61c | 309.68$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.03 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c6…52bcbacked Over | 48c | 305.75$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.99 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Over | 47c | 302.13$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.13 | 302 | 20.2%61 W · 241 L | -15.6wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 49c | 301.23$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.47 | 848 | 44.3%376 W · 472 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 59c | 295.16$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.02 | 258 | 65.9%170 W · 88 L | +40.1wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 52c | 293.23$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.5 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 49c | 284.99$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.99 | 504 | 50.2%253 W · 251 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 49c | 280.89$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.25 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Over | 48c | 275$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143 | 426 | 40.1%171 W · 255 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2666…ade6backed Over | 55c | 266.98$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.14 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 38c | 265.79$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 351 | 50.7%178 W · 173 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e52…cbb9backed Over | 63c | 234.92$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x004c…ab0cbacked Over | 70c | 232.01$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.8 | 111 | 70.3%78 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Under | 30c | 232$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 444 | 35.4%157 W · 287 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…286abacked Under | 50c | 230$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 174 | 47.1%82 W · 92 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under | 48c | 220.36$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.77 | 190 | 26.3%50 W · 140 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4571…a952backed Under | 42c | 214.29$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…f7c2backed Over | 47c | 211.7$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.2 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 137 | 46.7%64 W · 73 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…d413backed Under | 39c | 205.18$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 48c | 204$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.92 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 331 | 20.8%69 W · 262 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7210…4bb5backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +78.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 399 | 51.6%206 W · 193 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Under | 48c | 200$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.8 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…8380backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66f7…c691backed Over | 64c | 191.79$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.27 | 87 | 73.6%64 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Under | 51c | 190.79$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.3 | 489 | 37%181 W · 308 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…af1bbacked Under | 51c | 182.35$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64c4…1018backed Over | 51c | 180$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.2 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Under | 51c | 166.67$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 73c | 164.38$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.38 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35b8…898abacked Under | 52c | 163.46$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…5b98backed Over | 53c | 154.37$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.2 | 187 | 64.2%120 W · 67 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 48c | 150$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked Under | 35c | 147.16$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.74 | 515 | 14.2%73 W · 442 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 61c | 146.3$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.28 | 289 | 64.4%186 W · 103 L | +42.6wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x27ec…579dbacked Under | 37c | 136.3$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.04 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 39cpaid | -78.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Under | 36c | 134.92$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.57 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x500b…b1a1backed Under | 46c | 129.6$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…760ebacked Under | 51c | 118$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.14 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 46c | 117.5$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 327 | 40.7%133 W · 194 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 51c | 111.14$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.13 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfccf…2aefbacked Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 55c | 109$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.95 | 334 | 43.4%145 W · 189 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sweden vs. Greece: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Greece (-1.5)Sweden won
- Spread: Greece (-2.5)Sweden won
- Spread: Sweden (-1.5)Greece won
- Spread: Sweden (-2.5)Greece won
- Sweden vs. Greece: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Sweden vs. Greece: O/U 0.5Over won
- Sweden vs. Greece: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sweden vs. Greece: O/U 3.5Over won
- Sweden vs. Greece: O/U 4.5Under won
- Sweden vs. Greece: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.