Fifa International · resolved market
Sweden vs. Greece: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e1abacefeba13400e5945ac3fb9e5f21ea8f753b855ea7d79979fa193e70c48
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,891
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,131
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,891 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbbc2…10dcbacked Yes | 56c | 4,819$2,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,136.16 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 37c | 4,696$1,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,739.35 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7984…638abacked No | 45c | 1,023$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.99 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | -15.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 37c | 934.97$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.9 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…ce0abacked Yes | 75c | 457.57$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.57 | 50 | 74%37 W · 13 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 46c | 431.4$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.44 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 30c | 396.28$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.53 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 28c | 372.75$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.8 | 190 | 26.3%50 W · 140 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 66c | 361.17$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.8 | 205 | 60%123 W · 82 L | +17.0wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…c26abacked Yes | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 131 | 48.1%63 W · 68 L | +10.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 45c | 307.05$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.49 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed No | 45c | 297.78$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.58 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 56c | 248.86$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88ed…8300backed Yes | 55c | 247.64$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.64 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d96…7c16backed No | 46c | 241.68$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.17 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebc…01c6backed No | 39c | 230.77$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 45c | 208.17$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.24 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…8ddabacked Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 224 | 66.1%148 W · 76 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 45c | 170.66$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.55 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b99…8f62backed Yes | 69c | 153.84$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.69 | 190 | 47.4%90 W · 100 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Yes | 55c | 126.25$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.81 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed No | 13c | 120.51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 88 | 17%15 W · 73 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 44c | 109.03$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.97 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ca…da6abacked Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 44c | 99.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 45c | 96.26$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.32 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 56c | 94.64$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.64 | 414 | 51.4%213 W · 201 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 56c | 94.64$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.64 | 355 | 49.9%177 W · 178 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 53c | 93.23$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.82 | 315 | 54.6%172 W · 143 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16e5…f7a7backed Yes | 56c | 92.86$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.86 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 65c | 85.63$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.97 | 551 | 53%292 W · 259 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 41c | 63.27$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.87 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e3…3792backed Yes | 54c | 62.8$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.89 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d63…aa21backed No | 47c | 61.7$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked No | 19c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 74c | 56.76$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 524 | 41.4%217 W · 307 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdecb…e058backed Yes | 65c | 50.46$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.66 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6096…c7f5backed No | 45c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 45c | 49.51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd6…3806backed No | 40c | 46.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a19…2a91backed Yes | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 32c | 45.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed No | 46c | 43.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 235 | 52.8%124 W · 111 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc08c…4b12backed No | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 45c | 42.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 44c | 42.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf6…ceebbacked No | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab9b…3483backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7079…58e8backed Yes | 63c | 36.05$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +30%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 370 | 57.3%212 W · 158 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed No | 45c | 35.55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb2…82e5backed No | 44c | 34.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf945…6c15backed Yes | 54c | 33.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 52 | 75%39 W · 13 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a1…4ca0backed No | 47c | 31.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -5.7wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Yes | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 236 | 65.3%154 W · 82 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…23ffbacked No | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 162 | 40.1%65 W · 97 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…7e67backed No | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 177 | 37.9%67 W · 110 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x924d…d117backed Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd3…14b2backed Yes | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…db19backed Yes | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…5d44backed Yes | 76c | 25.58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…bbbabacked Yes | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | +34.7wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +61%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…5b98backed Yes | 56c | 23.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.39 | 187 | 64.2%120 W · 67 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57bd…1c8cbacked Yes | 56c | 20.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cc…2e39backed Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 102 | 65.7%67 W · 35 L | +11.2wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sweden vs. Greece: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Greece (-1.5)Sweden won
- Spread: Greece (-2.5)Sweden won
- Spread: Sweden (-1.5)Greece won
- Spread: Sweden (-2.5)Greece won
- Sweden vs. Greece: O/U 0.5Over won
- Sweden vs. Greece: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sweden vs. Greece: O/U 2.5Over won
- Sweden vs. Greece: O/U 3.5Over won
- Sweden vs. Greece: O/U 4.5Under won
- Sweden vs. Greece: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.