Asian League · resolved market
FC Seoul vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9cfeeacd1d6b87ac3ea3d8f6fb6e6d46acc549c77e95ec485998d00913e71858
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,587
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,594
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,587 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224a…d4bfbacked Over | 65c | 5,253$3,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,838.53 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 65cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 35c | 3,109$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.79 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 35c | 1,112$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.05 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 69c | 688.57$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.61 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 35c | 540.91$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.32 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 35c | 540.04$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.02 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Under | 31c | 479.3$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.58 | 98 | 25.5%25 W · 73 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Under | 32c | 395.19$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.46 | 136 | 31.6%43 W · 93 L | -13.8wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Over | 66c | 392.79$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.05 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c74…0d16backed Over | 71c | 287.25$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.6 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 68c | 245.7$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.62 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 57c | 200$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 260 | 52.7%137 W · 123 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d84…a7bdbacked Under | 43c | 192.57$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.76 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 31c | 191.72$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.43 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 35c | 182.78$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.97 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 69c | 135$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.85 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1155…2315backed Over | 70c | 117.84$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.35 | 64 | 79.7%51 W · 13 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 69cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 24c | 109.76$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.87 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x610d…6c37backed Over | 66c | 88.77$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 31c | 73.91$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…b9debacked Over | 69c | 71.12$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 35c | 70.07$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Under | 35c | 57.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa7…303dbacked Under | 34c | 49.11$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 34c | 42.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…8568backed Under | 36c | 41.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe57c…b99bbacked Over | 66c | 36.58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Over | 64c | 29.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c08…0d49backed Over | 66c | 24.84$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e24…24fbbacked Over | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Over | 71c | 19.65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 88 | 64.8%57 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e45…8d92backed Over | 66c | 19.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x582a…a781backed Over | 77c | 14.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.16 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Seoul vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 1.5this page
- FC Seoul vs. Bucheon FC 1995: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Seoul vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Seoul vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Seoul vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Seoul (-1.5)FC Seoul won
- Spread: FC Seoul (-2.5)FC Seoul won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.