Asian League · resolved market
FC Seoul vs. Bucheon FC 1995: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56d298ebfdf14dc490619e084e8dee5086a92da4c845dcf15025acd2636b1c8b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,738
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,421
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,738 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2fb…610cbacked No | 57c | 1,761$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.51 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 64c | 947$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.26 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b0…7b16backed Yes | 47c | 701.97$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.93 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 64c | 489.2$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.11 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 54c | 484.28$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.77 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf01…6e5bbacked Yes | 46c | 372.32$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.27 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 43c | 329.68$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.76 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6115…ab1fbacked Yes | 47c | 323.74$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 43c | 239.55$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.01 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…97b8backed No | 64c | 210.07$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.62 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed No | 53c | 187.45$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.06 | 139 | 49.6%69 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4277…3154backed Yes | 48c | 145.04$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.03 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -33%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 43c | 114.51$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.24 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 43c | 93.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.81 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Yes | 43c | 78.23$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.64 | 155 | 49%76 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x654d…ba8fbacked No | 52c | 57.7$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.7 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -52%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 68c | 51.71$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.68 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked No | 64c | 41.77$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 375 | 59.2%222 W · 153 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 57c | 39.59$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 53c | 29.87$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed No | 53c | 21.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 117 | 64.1%75 W · 42 L | +11.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7770…f99bbacked No | 59c | 18.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Seoul vs. Bucheon FC 1995: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- FC Seoul vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Seoul vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Seoul vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Seoul vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Seoul (-1.5)FC Seoul won
- Spread: FC Seoul (-2.5)FC Seoul won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.