Asian League · resolved market
FC Seoul vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4aa474d99a927805a03dd58c62e53c8b6200c54932201a9f4f1630334feb961f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,048
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,809
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,048 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 63c | 999.98$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.99 | 98 | 25.5%25 W · 73 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Over | 43c | 999.96$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.98 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed Under | 57c | 803.29$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.87 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Over | 45c | 494.24$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.83 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 28c | 463.26$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.98 | 2,456 | 37.9%931 W · 1,525 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed Under | 55c | 430.08$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.55 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -4.5wins | -0.34per pick | 50cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 56c | 427.68$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.63 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 38c | 405.29$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.51 | 1,662 | 36.2%602 W · 1,060 L | -34.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Over | 73c | 404.3$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.16 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 38c | 371.02$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.17 | 1,319 | 56.7%748 W · 571 L | +64.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76e4…febcbacked Over | 44c | 362.95$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.25 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 55c | 271.59$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.33 | 1,116 | 49.5%552 W · 564 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Under | 58c | 251.44$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.59 | 136 | 31.6%43 W · 93 L | -13.8wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 43c | 189.41$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.14 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c74…0d16backed Over | 45c | 174.04$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.89 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…572dbacked Over | 44c | 142.76$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.95 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 55c | 142.27$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.67 | 341 | 50.7%173 W · 168 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cd…607ebacked Over | 73c | 134.81$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.88 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.41per pick | 55cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Under | 18c | 134.61$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997a…4cbebacked Over | 73c | 123.59$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.81 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 56c | 108.2$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.59 | 1,766 | 50.2%887 W · 879 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 37c | 104.02$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.49 | 216 | 43.5%94 W · 122 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c6…20f2backed Under | 57c | 97.42$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 43c | 89.49$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.01 | 843 | 42.2%356 W · 487 L | +19.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2494…17b3backed Under | 45c | 86.78$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.72 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 44c | 85.39$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.82 | 398 | 61.8%246 W · 152 L | +56.9wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…e90dbacked Over | 59c | 84.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.74 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 44c | 79.63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.59 | 155 | 49%76 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 42c | 78.92$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.77 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 43c | 74.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.75 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510e…b8e0backed Under | 56c | 69.54$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 42c | 60.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.98 | 1,991 | 54.1%1,078 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 56c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 56c | 52.27$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.27 | 396 | 49.7%197 W · 199 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf08…12a3backed Under | 56c | 52.16$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 57c | 51.27$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…5891backed Over | 43c | 49.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.49 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +6.0wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 43c | 44.92$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…6c60backed Over | 44c | 43.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…974ebacked Over | 40c | 43.38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.03 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 26c | 42.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 1,357 | 45.5%617 W · 740 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Under | 58c | 42.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Under | 58c | 42.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2be0…6deebacked Under | 38c | 33.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 57c | 33.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 57c | 33.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 57c | 33.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Under | 57c | 33.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 64 | 67.2%43 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under | 57c | 33.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 246 | 56.9%140 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 57c | 33.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…15efbacked Under | 56c | 29.56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4765…0483backed Under | 57c | 19.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Under | 56c | 19.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 88 | 64.8%57 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Seoul vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 2.5this page
- FC Seoul vs. Bucheon FC 1995: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Seoul vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Seoul vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Seoul vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Seoul (-1.5)FC Seoul won
- Spread: FC Seoul (-2.5)FC Seoul won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.