Fifa International · resolved market
Austria vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcfe2ac6048dc9ad0455572b458ba7f01666eb6493ec683b7ef97cb84fdb15b94
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,674
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,613
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,674 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 36c | 5,402$1,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,443.41 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…d4bfbacked Over | 70c | 3,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.97 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf73d…8ef8backed Over | 61c | 1,401$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.62 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…98e9backed Over | 79c | 1,263$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.09 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Over | 49c | 1,100$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.18 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 21c | 804.37$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.85 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 55c | 427.99$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.6 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 68c | 367.65$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 30c | 347.87$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.79 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 45c | 341.59$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.72 | 258 | 65.9%170 W · 88 L | +40.1wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 64c | 259.14$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.25 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 87 | 34.5%30 W · 57 L | -8.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -32%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 43c | 160.47$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 50c | 159.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 504 | 50.2%253 W · 251 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 65c | 156.64$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.82 | 69 | 73.9%51 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Over | 71c | 145$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.39 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 30c | 129.02$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.84 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 32c | 123.65$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.23 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 36c | 119.58$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.08 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 38c | 113.94$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.37 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 57c | 112.08$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.71 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 159 | 45.3%72 W · 87 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 30c | 96.73$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.71 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 68c | 88$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.84 | 340 | 56.5%192 W · 148 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x610d…6c37backed Over | 71c | 85.27$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.54 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 45c | 84.68$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.11 | 289 | 64.4%186 W · 103 L | +42.6wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 45c | 73.72$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.17 | 356 | 58.7%209 W · 147 L | +35.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 26c | 63.08$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.83 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 45c | 61.53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.85 | 387 | 45%174 W · 213 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 70c | 61.34$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.94 | 637 | 45.4%289 W · 348 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Over | 69c | 55.57$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.34 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 68c | 55$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 374 | 58.8%220 W · 154 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…b4d5backed Over | 71c | 49.69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.31 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 77c | 48.91$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.66 | 481 | 47.8%230 W · 251 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b14…5301backed Over | 33c | 40.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5db…b42dbacked Over | 71c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 75cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe57c…b99bbacked Over | 73c | 38.64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.21 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 153 | 41.2%63 W · 90 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 68c | 36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c08…0d49backed Over | 73c | 35.63$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41c8…424fbacked Over | 71c | 26.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbed…6221backed Under | 80c | 24.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.88 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Under | 58c | 23.15$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 69c | 20.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf962…5cb1backed Over | 80c | 14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Austria vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5this page
- Austria vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Austria vs. Korea Republic: O/U 2.5Under won
- Austria vs. Korea Republic: O/U 3.5Under won
- Austria vs. Korea Republic: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Austria (-1.5)Korea Republic won
- Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5)Austria won
- Spread: Korea Republic (-2.5)Austria won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.