Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Austria (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf6188594927430b1fd5503e4b5cfa398a485b59b5f5e681a8cfc27aadbe9241
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Korea Republicof Austria, Korea Republic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,510
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,418
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,510 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Korea Republic | 69c | 864.58$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.03 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Austria | 40c | 832.65$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.85 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Korea Republic | 60c | 747.01$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.37 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Austria | 33c | 574.4$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.78 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Austria | 40c | 430.89$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 163 | 42.9%70 W · 93 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Austria | 36c | 265.85$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.71 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb1…8436backed Austria | 39c | 219.32$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.46 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Korea Republic | 60c | 188.44$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.38 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Korea Republic | 60c | 187.94$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.18 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Korea Republic | 74c | 161.42$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.79 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Korea Republic | 59c | 122.6$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.52 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d14…ff3ebacked Austria | 41c | 110.08$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Korea Republic | 61c | 108.56$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.56 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0f…c7e8backed Austria | 38c | 105$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 121 | 28.1%34 W · 87 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e78…ccd1backed Austria | 39c | 77.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.28 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +4.4wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Korea Republic | 66c | 59.03$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.07 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x983c…dd56backed Austria | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked Korea Republic | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72bd…d37abacked Austria | 39c | 25.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 181 | 39.2%71 W · 110 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Korea Republic | 62c | 24.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.44 | 246 | 53.3%131 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Korea Republic | 62c | 23.32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 414 | 51.4%213 W · 201 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Korea Republic | 69c | 20.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…72ebbacked Korea Republic | 62c | 17.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Korea Republic | 62c | 17.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 86 | 59.3%51 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Korea Republic | 62c | 17.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 237 | 49.8%118 W · 119 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Austria (-1.5)this page
- Austria vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Austria vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5Under won
- Austria vs. Korea Republic: O/U 2.5Under won
- Austria vs. Korea Republic: O/U 3.5Under won
- Austria vs. Korea Republic: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5)Austria won
- Spread: Korea Republic (-2.5)Austria won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.