Fifa International · resolved market
Austria vs. Korea Republic: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4bda497064057d6a537c356ed6b2bfc3b2f6b880cbc9f7d2d4824290fa10de9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,260
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,976
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,260 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 32c | 1,880$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.21 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed Under | 64c | 1,173$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.28 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +21.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 68c | 867.27$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.91 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Over | 36c | 694$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.84 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 454 | 21.4%97 W · 357 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 5c | 499.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 35c | 446.78$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.96 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 35c | 374.52$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.08 | 328 | 55.8%183 W · 145 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 25c | 247.28$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.56 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…a66cbacked Under | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac4…a601backed Under | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 65c | 146.99$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.9 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 33c | 110.25$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.38 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 35c | 90.58$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.7 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 20c | 78.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Under | 65c | 50.05$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.52 | 167 | 58.7%98 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 481 | 47.8%230 W · 251 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 35c | 37.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 363 | 29.8%108 W · 255 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed Under | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Over | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Under | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 153 | 64.7%99 W · 54 L | +13.6wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Austria vs. Korea Republic: O/U 3.5this page
- Austria vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Austria vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5Under won
- Austria vs. Korea Republic: O/U 2.5Under won
- Austria vs. Korea Republic: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Austria (-1.5)Korea Republic won
- Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5)Austria won
- Spread: Korea Republic (-2.5)Austria won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.