Fifa International · resolved market
Austria vs. Korea Republic: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe18478c5415b0bf02687f4d186f77f06a7db627013fcc8674d0213e81aac81a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,821
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,923
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,821 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd0e…e212backed Over | 57c | 15,203$8,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,665.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe7…b777backed Under | 43c | 6,744$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,844.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed Under | 43c | 4,960$2,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,827.47 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d0…0a05backed Under | 43c | 3,142$1,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,790.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Over | 58c | 2,378$1,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,382.2 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc72d…fc21backed Under | 41c | 2,120$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250.93 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | +12.1wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Over | 31c | 1,730$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.36 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 43c | 1,622$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.8 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9cb…bdcdbacked Over | 59c | 850.9$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 42c | 647.79$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.72 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 69c | 510.76$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.12 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 40c | 478.99$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.59 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 59c | 394.73$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.52 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 57c | 356.63$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.06 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 59c | 337.54$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.15 | 328 | 55.8%183 W · 145 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Under | 77c | 334$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.82 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Over | 56c | 300$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc04…f726backed Over | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -5.0wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 54c | 299.53$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.78 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b7…d2e3backed Over | 48c | 265.81$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.59 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Over | 47c | 255.32$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 57c | 210.53$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 56c | 198.3$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.27 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c19…859cbacked Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c04…03febacked Over | 58c | 148.24$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.98 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e01…0875backed Under | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9db…dd44backed Over | 49c | 104$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 46c | 100.02$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.01 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Over | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 159 | 45.3%72 W · 87 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1669…1363backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Over | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 85 | 72.9%62 W · 23 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0f…c7e8backed Over | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 121 | 28.1%34 W · 87 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 43c | 61.07$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.26 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Over | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Over | 59c | 51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x118d…0d42backed Under | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 35cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 74c | 39.36$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.18 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -7.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 43c | 32.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbed…6221backed Under | 67c | 29.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x858e…a4abbacked Over | 59c | 28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed Under | 41c | 26.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +21.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Over | 58c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8724…b082backed Over | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8de7…61c0backed Over | 49c | 22.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 363 | 29.8%108 W · 255 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…d390backed Over | 60c | 18.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Austria vs. Korea Republic: O/U 2.5this page
- Austria vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Austria vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5Under won
- Austria vs. Korea Republic: O/U 3.5Under won
- Austria vs. Korea Republic: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Austria (-1.5)Korea Republic won
- Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5)Austria won
- Spread: Korea Republic (-2.5)Austria won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.