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Premier League · resolved market

Will Real Madrid win the 2023-24 Champions League?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$207,109
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$210,129

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $207,109 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 222 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd27c…c081backed Yes76c18,746$14,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,572.2862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick70cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7b3…246abacked Yes73c11,452$8,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,051.025646.4%26 W · 30 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-9.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x07ad…4c0cbacked Yes12c10,000$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,850520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid+73.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5bbd…9ec2backed Yes16c9,171$1,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,666.36633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick17cpaid+168.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7e…4562backed No72c9,000$6,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,5104250%21 W · 21 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5095…c97cbacked Yes75c5,903$4,427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,475.82333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-55.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ea…cbf1backed No26c5,781$1,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5031625%4 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-41.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x49b6…170cbacked Yes17c4,830$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,002.041618.8%3 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-38.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe95e…61f2backed Yes75c4,666$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,166.56650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+44.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdd7…0b65backed No29c4,186$1,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,214.01616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xff3f…2b67backed Yes73c2,810$2,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.13560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick71cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7666…5040backed Yes73c2,581$1,884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.8250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x296d…70f9backed No25c2,494$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628.31333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+38.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0c0…b40bbacked No26c2,137$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.56333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick18cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa14b…b944backed Yes14c2,015$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,741.642437.5%9 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+26.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x745b…ff04backed Yes16c1,900$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5962231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c69…ae23backed Yes75c1,879$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97af…9bc6backed Yes75c1,467$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96c4…bfdebacked No2c1,464$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.28277.4%2 W · 25 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick7cpaid+9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8219…f1fabacked Yes16c1,310$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,096.45438.9%21 W · 33 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+25.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x34ae…d4ddbacked Yes75c1,111$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.95683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick63cpaid+17.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e70…9047backed Yes12c1,110$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$978.781936.8%7 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+30.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb20…a151backed No28c1,071$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005742.1%24 W · 33 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid+24.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Yes71c948.87$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.1722744.5%101 W · 126 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36be…e312backed Yes75c835.49$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb12a…8d19backed Yes12c833.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.33250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+316.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1470…608abacked Yes12c833.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.33250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+316.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd712…d185backed Yes73c776.18$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8177…edc7backed No29c500$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14520%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e43…43dfbacked Yes75c500$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x114f…f117backed Yes72c486.06$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe87f…b995backed Yes11c466.67$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.671020%2 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick14cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x688b…dd32backed No26c400$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-34.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe39b…67e6backed Yes74c374.32$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.321457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda8e…85cfbacked No26c365.35$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7c8…65c0backed Yes75c359.77$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96a4…12e2backed No28c356.96$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9540%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x70b7…9a3cbacked No31c345.99$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.731338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick28cpaid+24.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2891…7c09backed No29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2280…3df3backed Yes12c330.74$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.053933.3%13 W · 26 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf038…1391backed Yes66c313.73$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.73540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-42.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcae4…3069backed No29c300$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+55.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e00…d922backed Yes67c299.94$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa20a…e53fbacked Yes75c297.25$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d70…9418backed Yes74c272.14$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.76250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1fc…013ebacked Yes75c271.67$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.871241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-22.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8240…cbfabacked Yes74c270.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.27862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad79…e227backed No26c267.31$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-33.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8946…1b70backed Yes75c266.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.67425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-66.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5024…0e5cbacked Yes12c250$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick15cpaid+316.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf86c…ba99backed Yes31c246.67$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.0712959.7%77 W · 52 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa025…135dbacked Yes75c226.65$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b42…22abbacked No26c217.15$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.4660%0 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5ce…4677backed No29c213.79$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7cc…4952backed Yes72c208.33$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.331758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+22.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19d0…9d70backed Yes12c208.33$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.33366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+224.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5256…0494backed No25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick30cpaid+43.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae55…ab22backed Yes75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x103b…dd43backed Yes75c198.81$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4683…9346backed Yes12c195.42$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.97366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick17cpaid+351.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xca46…0da3backed No26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9cc…29b3backed No26c188.46$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4920%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x360d…47d8backed Yes75c173.32$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8fe…7537backed No29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+18.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb75…f329backed Yes12c166.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.671020%2 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+83.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dac…9a31backed Yes76c161.61$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeac6…d0b8backed Yes47c156.09$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.77771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.37per pick35cpaid+129.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5899…cc34backed Yes75c153.33$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb599…deb6backed Yes75c150.91$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71f1…a6c8backed Yes13c150$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick11cpaid+275%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82c7…457bbacked Yes75c146.65$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x788d…bf0dbacked Yes75c146.64$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfaf2…729ebacked No41c146.34$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9a6…515bbacked Yes15c145.83$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.83250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick11cpaid+231.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c34…474abacked Yes75c143.99$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0977…f06bbacked Yes75c143.01$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d25…ceedbacked Yes75c142.64$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9cb…24b6backed Yes72c142.32$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.85366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32d4…35eabacked Yes12c141.67$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.672100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+388.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b87…cdcbbacked Yes75c141.51$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d50…76a1backed Yes75c139.99$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ae9…b994backed Yes75c139.71$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0c0…79ddbacked No28c139.64$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.1250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad38…73ccbacked Yes75c137.96$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f0a…c06dbacked Yes15c137.89$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.892100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+317%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc2b…4979backed Yes75c135.99$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef7a…a1f7backed Yes75c135.71$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x584e…e943backed Yes73c135.62$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe94b…29b0backed Yes74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6398…4690backed Yes74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8da1…f189backed Yes74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2be9…4ca0backed Yes74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b55…7283backed Yes75c134.11$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b77…2eb0backed Yes75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf27d…1352backed Yes75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf8d…6bdfbacked Yes75c131.63$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.91616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.24per pick41cpaid-77.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0917…5f02backed Yes75c130.81$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.72100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+51.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7093…c7f9backed Yes75c120$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x12f4…6609backed Yes74c106.76$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.762100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6165…2256backed Yes73c104.11$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.