Premier League · resolved market
Will PSG win the 2023-24 Champions League?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68d711d801b0b7e674a71bc2ad6805031c802bbee42fa12aa74b053f6c505c80
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $116,248
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,422
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,248 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5bbd…9ec2backed Yes | 6c | 24,537$1,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,567.47 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 17cpaid | +168.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ce…be8cbacked Yes | 8c | 17,906$1,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,492.26 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fce…6a98backed Yes | 8c | 5,686$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa14b…b944backed Yes | 10c | 4,969$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.19 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9736…5bc5backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 7c | 1,156$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.83 | 153 | 28.8%44 W · 109 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed Yes | 8c | 914$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.12 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8219…f1fabacked Yes | 7c | 700$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d90…85aabacked Yes | 28c | 577.68$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.75 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1470…608abacked Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86f0…be32backed Yes | 11c | 295.36$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.49 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…3f8bbacked Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf8…6e92backed Yes | 7c | 250$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e70…9047backed Yes | 27c | 194.39$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.81 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fe…74dbbacked Yes | 28c | 192.86$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef61…c705backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x905f…ad6bbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa8…5fffbacked Yes | 12c | 120.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffa1…cd34backed Yes | 23c | 90$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c1…56f0backed No | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e28…a93abacked No | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will PSG win the 2023-24 Champions League?this page
- Will Arsenal win the 2023-24 Champions League?No won
- Will Atletico Madrid win the 2023-24 Champions League?No won
- Will Barcelona win the 2023-24 Champions League?No won
- Will Bayern win the 2023-24 Champions League?No won
- Will Dortmund win the 2023-24 Champions League?No won
- Will Inter win the 2023-24 Champions League?No won
- Will Man City win the 2023-24 Champions League?No won
- Will Napoli win the 2023-24 Champions League?No won
- Will PSV win the 2023-24 Champions League?No won
- Will Porto win the 2023-24 Champions League?No won
- Will Real Madrid win the 2023-24 Champions League?Yes won
- Will Real Sociedad win the 2023-24 Champions League?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.