Premier League · resolved market
Will Dortmund win the 2023-24 Champions League?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8bdedacf316c8df762d0864a32f17bd4a764a1bcdf6fa917b5910eb44e2fc69
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $188,246
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $116,617
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $188,246 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0b48…0c7ebacked Yes | 1c | 23,522$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96c4…bfdebacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa14b…b944backed Yes | 3c | 14,848$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.47 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Yes | 26c | 13,689$3,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,521.06 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd78…e773backed Yes | 10c | 7,726$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.57 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd7…0b65backed Yes | 27c | 5,446$1,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,488.08 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf98…41bcbacked Yes | 26c | 3,949$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef0…20cbbacked Yes | 25c | 3,841$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.69 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c14…5106backed Yes | 3c | 3,565$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff3f…2b67backed No | 73c | 3,436$2,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.65 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4618…4774backed Yes | 11c | 2,762$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa096…aa97backed Yes | 25c | 1,780$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…bc78backed Yes | 25c | 1,778$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…ef25backed Yes | 26c | 1,417$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -75%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4825…007dbacked Yes | 25c | 1,389$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.64 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e70…d91dbacked No | 74c | 1,351$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f4…49e7backed Yes | 18c | 1,300$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.7 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 4c | 1,295$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.84 | 153 | 28.8%44 W · 109 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2280…3df3backed Yes | 29c | 1,195$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.5 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c6b…4225backed Yes | 24c | 1,185$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8319…73acbacked Yes | 26c | 1,001$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4c…532bbacked Yes | 10c | 919.46$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.63 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +40%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb3…05e5backed Yes | 9c | 918.6$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed No | 72c | 888$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.1 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…e720backed Yes | 25c | 885.14$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x352d…9796backed Yes | 25c | 790.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce63…0a6dbacked Yes | 30c | 742.17$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc03e…68f7backed Yes | 26c | 705.77$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00c1…5b99backed Yes | 26c | 683.46$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b7…9a3cbacked Yes | 14c | 659.45$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.25 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc04b…1424backed Yes | 20c | 600$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef61…c705backed Yes | 4c | 555.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdce7…eca5backed Yes | 25c | 525.36$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Yes | 8c | 503.95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 129 | 59.7%77 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb163…3d0ebacked Yes | 30c | 500.67$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77a2…7cbfbacked Yes | 5c | 500.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8946…1b70backed Yes | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf24f…15b2backed Yes | 26c | 490$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.58 | 99 | 36.4%36 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a5…4366backed Yes | 4c | 465.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x673d…6191backed Yes | 25c | 426.8$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3155…3b7cbacked Yes | 25c | 418.07$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeac6…d0b8backed Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.37per pick | 35cpaid | +129.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e29…024dbacked Yes | 25c | 408.62$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a87…d88ebacked Yes | 25c | 398.34$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b44…820ebacked Yes | 25c | 395.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a6…38c0backed Yes | 25c | 393.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…cb78backed Yes | 25c | 392.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2891…7c09backed Yes | 25c | 392.13$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ece…812ebacked Yes | 26c | 384.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef94…502ebacked Yes | 3c | 350$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0329…e67ebacked Yes | 29c | 343.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a6…b11bbacked Yes | 30c | 321.37$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47f0…dc09backed Yes | 26c | 314.71$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe87f…b995backed Yes | 8c | 300.88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…cbc1backed Yes | 25c | 300$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5b…2924backed No | 75c | 281.33$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb25…a21dbacked Yes | 25c | 277.15$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb5…8b87backed Yes | 29c | 248.51$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.76 | 59 | 23.7%14 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7666…5040backed Yes | 25c | 235.29$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x088d…18e8backed No | 75c | 230$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9f…d2b9backed Yes | 25c | 220$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.44 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa117…1aa9backed Yes | 12c | 219.83$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.16 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9add…f8d6backed Yes | 25c | 217.39$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x943b…a8e6backed Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…758dbacked Yes | 12c | 211.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8021…e730backed Yes | 48c | 206.64$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9140…cf5ebacked No | 74c | 202.7$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.2 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0310…f346backed Yes | 25c | 200$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -55%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x914a…7e92backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +130.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde0c…dcb2backed Yes | 25c | 196.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00ba…cf2fbacked Yes | 25c | 196.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ea…3235backed Yes | 25c | 196.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedcf…c7a1backed Yes | 26c | 194.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75c7…d75fbacked Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1321…9482backed Yes | 30c | 170.74$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.71 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…fc5fbacked No | 74c | 169.35$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2748…e795backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3695…2051backed Yes | 25c | 164.71$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ddd…621fbacked Yes | 26c | 154.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7f…7215backed Yes | 10c | 151.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb992…7920backed Yes | 25c | 150$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa004…5c79backed Yes | 25c | 150$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2426…f2edbacked Yes | 25c | 150$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc86d…dcbcbacked Yes | 26c | 144.05$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5400…df5ebacked Yes | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4960…7a11backed Yes | 49c | 135.67$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…b883backed No | 75c | 135.28$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0be8…b851backed No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc4…caf6backed No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ff…9e4bbacked No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b3…5843backed No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b12…c40fbacked No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff25…0543backed No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…b50bbacked Yes | 26c | 134.59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x174b…4035backed No | 74c | 134.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eae…1eebbacked No | 75c | 133.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x807a…2b5bbacked Yes | 25c | 121.03$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb243…fd14backed Yes | 25c | 118.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1042…48f4backed Yes | 30c | 117.85$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Dortmund win the 2023-24 Champions League?this page
- Will Arsenal win the 2023-24 Champions League?No won
- Will Atletico Madrid win the 2023-24 Champions League?No won
- Will Barcelona win the 2023-24 Champions League?No won
- Will Bayern win the 2023-24 Champions League?No won
- Will Inter win the 2023-24 Champions League?No won
- Will Man City win the 2023-24 Champions League?No won
- Will Napoli win the 2023-24 Champions League?No won
- Will PSG win the 2023-24 Champions League?No won
- Will PSV win the 2023-24 Champions League?No won
- Will Porto win the 2023-24 Champions League?No won
- Will Real Madrid win the 2023-24 Champions League?Yes won
- Will Real Sociedad win the 2023-24 Champions League?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.