TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Inter win the 2023-24 Champions League?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$27,155
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$18,530

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,155 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes6c4,252$257 inLost-$257.2615328.8%44 W · 109 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick31cpaid+4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c99…3477backed Yes9c4,084$368 inLost-$367.53250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+81.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bbd…9ec2backed Yes9c3,777$340 inLost-$339.9633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick17cpaid+168.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x745b…ff04backed Yes7c2,425$180 inLost-$1802231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc19c…f184backed Yes5c2,000$100 inLost-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fbd…d449backed Yes9c555.56$50 inLost-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaeb2…acf7backed Yes10c499.4$50 inLost-$49.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dc0…8b2fbacked Yes8c250$20 inLost-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2708…108cbacked Yes5c200$10 inLost-$10250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef94…502ebacked Yes8c125$10 inLost-$101816.7%3 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-67.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.