TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Atlas FC win on 2026-03-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$66,099

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,099 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed Yes40c29,631$11,759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,758.551,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No60c20,625$12,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,346.648,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8488…588cbacked Yes50c8,793$4,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,396.468321.7%18 W · 65 L-12.7wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-46.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No50c7,263$3,642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,621.33,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes50c6,173$3,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,100.218530.6%26 W · 59 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No64c6,057$3,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,165.585,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No57c2,932$1,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,263.22,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked No51c2,349$1,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,161.476055%33 W · 27 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No73c2,136$1,557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.547756%267 W · 210 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No50c1,319$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.1637851.3%194 W · 184 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Yes39c1,232$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.037722.1%17 W · 60 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes39c1,206$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.2946530.3%141 W · 324 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed No51c1,137$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.212450%12 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes50c1,011$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.5419239.1%75 W · 117 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e79…56dcbacked Yes50c993$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.51241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+32.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes26c843.79$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.9584943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No74c843.51$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.6941256.6%233 W · 179 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked No51c826.31$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.3117049.4%84 W · 86 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No51c626.06$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.849535.4%175 W · 320 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No50c580.99$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.991,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No51c513.97$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.613,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes50c499.66$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.8312331.7%39 W · 84 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed Yes40c465$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.773138.7%12 W · 19 L-3.7wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-37.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes50c445$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.976543.1%28 W · 37 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No60c444.88$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.051,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f6e…84b4backed No51c430.79$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.092157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21f5…c161backed Yes29c415.35$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1206949.3%34 W · 35 L+9.1wins+0.13per pick36cpaid+25.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5fb4…90f3backed No52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.624261.9%26 W · 16 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Yes64c369$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.0716740.1%67 W · 100 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No52c353.37$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.191,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x23c0…77babacked No50c322.42$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.212100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+87.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes40c283$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.5111334.5%39 W · 74 L-9.3wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No50c250$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1251,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No22c239.5$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.161,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No73c236.62$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.9836757.5%211 W · 156 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8f6…4f7fbacked No50c221.65$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.836759.7%40 W · 27 L+6.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+34.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed No56c219.64$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.644141.5%17 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No50c213.29$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.91,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No51c211.08$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.5850746.7%237 W · 270 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No61c200.86$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.3935758%207 W · 150 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+22.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc095…1a8fbacked Yes50c200.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02b1…c764backed Yes49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981275%9 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+26.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x44b6…98b4backed Yes14c182.26$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.596141%25 W · 36 L-6.8wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-24.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd983…d92dbacked Yes20c170$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick27cpaid-46.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No50c167.96$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.741,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e09…0901backed No51c163.63$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.181050%5 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x724c…1521backed No63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.731464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No50c158$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.212,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x862a…d26bbacked No51c157.5$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.18850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbe2…5981backed No50c140.2$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.12171.4%15 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+37.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x700f…a69bbacked Yes35c140$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick42cpaid-66%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed No55c127.27$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.278451.2%43 W · 41 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-15.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xca75…6c97backed Yes49c120.18$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.892437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc00…79f8backed No52c115.38$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.38757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a25…bb6bbacked No54c115.14$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.712564%16 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+24.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8725…d370backed No51c111.44$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.443847.4%18 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed No50c110.34$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.179759.8%58 W · 39 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes22c103.41$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1871619.7%141 W · 575 L-49.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xaf15…bc03backed No67c102.91$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.081776.5%13 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.18per pick58cpaid+42.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked No54c102.32$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.644353.5%23 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a1…79afbacked Yes49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+23.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed No49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517149.3%35 W · 36 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x736d…c635backed Yes50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-44.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5039853%211 W · 187 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e72…54f0backed No51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.048263.4%52 W · 30 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed No50c97.92$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.7423542.1%99 W · 136 L-13.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes36c92.56$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.2194848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe868…7c4fbacked Yes15c74.42$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115944.1%26 W · 33 L+6.3wins+0.11per pick33cpaid+36.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed No25c70$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.510442.3%44 W · 60 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes49c67.35$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3320142.3%85 W · 116 L-0.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2be6…e054backed Yes51c66.47$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.152133.3%7 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-25.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f4e…19e9backed Yes50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bba…6596backed No51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.821952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7e0…a433backed Yes47c52.71$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510826.9%29 W · 79 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x087f…2ebfbacked No65c50.83$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.653253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x76a3…2aa6backed No65c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+30.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed No50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2517143.9%75 W · 96 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeca1…57e4backed Yes51c46.57$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.751838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-33.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No57c46.18$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.7281740.8%333 W · 484 L+20.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes78c45.61$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.4482434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes26c45.45$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8618338.8%71 W · 112 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-31.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed No49c42.98$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.929454.3%51 W · 43 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ebf…2da0backed No55c42.01$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0611262.5%70 W · 42 L+11.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+21%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1872…bcabbacked No51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.221764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+17.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a83…635bbacked No62c37.11$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked No58c32$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.358763.2%55 W · 32 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes37c32$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.755042%21 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-26.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed No50c31.3$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6528231.6%89 W · 193 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Yes32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104738.3%18 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d19…bf25backed Yes49c30.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511849.2%58 W · 60 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69ac…03e9backed No65c30.54$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.692755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159854.1%53 W · 45 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1537355.2%206 W · 167 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked No49c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.317560.6%106 W · 69 L+11.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No51c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.767548%324 W · 351 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed No51c29.42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.424847.9%23 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x843e…e477backed No54c27.75$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.762352.2%12 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick57cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa66f…f5a3backed No50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104946.9%23 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9304…8d92backed Yes50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked No51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.818452.2%96 W · 88 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.