South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Atlas FC vs. Querétaro FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcce36cc4ab9dc3ea807abdcfef82956bf3a1edeaa8d47296b7668ddfcd4ae952
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,543
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,543 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 50c | 7,852$3,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,907.36 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 55c | 7,334$4,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,266.31 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 38c | 613.82$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.58 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 42c | 590.19$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.86 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 27c | 564.82$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.32 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 55c | 459$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.8 | 77 | 22.1%17 W · 60 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked No | 70c | 357.14$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 126 | 45.2%57 W · 69 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 36c | 306.16$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.24 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 27c | 212.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.49 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 27c | 150$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.5 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 71c | 148.61$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.51 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 27c | 125$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.25 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked No | 28c | 120$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.15 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 27c | 98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.54 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 71c | 95$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 27c | 93$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.89 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 46c | 89.89$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.36 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 55c | 82.87$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.78 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 49c | 67$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.96 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 27c | 66$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.18 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed No | 50c | 62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.82 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 61c | 61.17$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.71 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 28c | 60.71$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.71 | 201 | 42.3%85 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked No | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 113 | 34.5%39 W · 74 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1465…9f10backed No | 70c | 57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 70cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6e…c865backed No | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa784…3605backed Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 61c | 47.75$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.44 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed Yes | 33c | 45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.15 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 40c | 44.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.01 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked No | 69c | 38.61$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.58 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked No | 69c | 37.23$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.58 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86d0…904ebacked No | 66c | 36.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x363e…ae45backed No | 75c | 23.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 54c | 18.72$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Atlas FC vs. Querétaro FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Atlas FC win on 2026-03-21?No won
- Will Querétaro FC win on 2026-03-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.