MLB · resolved market
Houston Astros vs. Athletics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6ae415e7b4758c0842a9f153335b245e717bb7cdf54fdabbb744343d932776e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Houston Astrosof Houston Astros, Athletics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $161,278
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $167,763
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $161,278 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Houston Astros | 53c | 23,612$12,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,043.41 | 216 | 56.5%122 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Athletics | 52c | 19,424$10,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,100.48 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Houston Astros | 70c | 14,129$9,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,195.59 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Athletics | 49c | 13,962$6,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,841.49 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Athletics | 51c | 11,271$5,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,748.22 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x258d…0302backed Athletics | 51c | 9,870$5,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,033.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Athletics | 33c | 8,960$2,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,956.88 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Houston Astros | 65c | 8,593$5,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,979.64 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Houston Astros | 55c | 7,822$4,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,541.76 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Athletics | 50c | 7,030$3,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,514.97 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Houston Astros | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Houston Astros | 48c | 5,208$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,708.16 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Houston Astros | 49c | 4,921$2,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,509.74 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Houston Astros | 48c | 4,308$2,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,240.17 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3507…afd0backed Houston Astros | 67c | 3,822$2,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Athletics | 18c | 2,936$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.45 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Athletics | 50c | 2,910$1,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,455 | 246 | 51.6%127 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ac…61e8backed Athletics | 50c | 2,910$1,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,455 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Athletics | 50c | 2,425$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.5 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Houston Astros | 50c | 2,222$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed Houston Astros | 51c | 2,007$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.53 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Athletics | 23c | 1,948$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.8 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Athletics | 21c | 1,913$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.58 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb59…fb90backed Athletics | 47c | 1,833$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.42 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e2…8a9bbacked Athletics | 50c | 1,746$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873 | 141 | 56%79 W · 62 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Houston Astros | 51c | 1,573$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.33 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Athletics | 50c | 1,544$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.57 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Houston Astros | 66c | 1,462$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.17 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb3…4091backed Houston Astros | 52c | 1,453$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.47 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -10.9wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Houston Astros | 49c | 1,311$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.68 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Houston Astros | 49c | 1,311$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.68 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…b250backed Athletics | 46c | 1,295$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.14 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Houston Astros | 52c | 1,251$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.13 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Houston Astros | 72c | 1,136$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.15 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Houston Astros | 49c | 1,084$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.91 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Athletics | 17c | 951.58$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.53 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Athletics | 30c | 944.97$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.65 | 92 | 19.6%18 W · 74 L | -7.6wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4137…ac7cbacked Houston Astros | 50c | 927.59$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Athletics | 13c | 919.02$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.1 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Houston Astros | 73c | 853.15$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.64 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Athletics | 32c | 826.22$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.05 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…8eadbacked Houston Astros | 49c | 791.15$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.49 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -6.3wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Athletics | 35c | 571.67$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.04 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed Athletics | 46c | 568.95$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.72 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaa…3858backed Houston Astros | 51c | 506.23$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.05 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7f…824bbacked Houston Astros | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +10.6wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Houston Astros | 52c | 499.47$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.75 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7c…7a19backed Athletics | 46c | 486.93$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.99 | 117 | 49.6%58 W · 59 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Athletics | 20c | 430.98$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.67 | 163 | 51.5%84 W · 79 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Athletics | 23c | 415.75$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.21 | 65 | 13.8%9 W · 56 L | -7.2wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f75…df7fbacked Houston Astros | 66c | 406.68$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.27 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Houston Astros | 75c | 401.88$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.69 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Houston Astros | 79c | 397.81$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.4 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd64d…28a6backed Athletics | 46c | 390.21$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.5 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c9…1cdabacked Athletics | 11c | 385.81$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…2c42backed Houston Astros | 49c | 365.98$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.65 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Houston Astros | 70c | 342.99$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.28 | 157 | 40.1%63 W · 94 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4650…f3f0backed Houston Astros | 61c | 334$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.26 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Houston Astros | 69c | 327.13$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.41 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Athletics | 50c | 310.4$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.2 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3373…50c4backed Athletics | 5c | 301.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Houston Astros | 49c | 300$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c31…ebdbbacked Houston Astros | 50c | 297.94$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.23 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…a919backed Athletics | 48c | 248.26$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.16 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Houston Astros | 63c | 235.79$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.49 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Athletics | 52c | 216.65$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.66 | 664 | 48.2%320 W · 344 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Houston Astros | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed Houston Astros | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Athletics | 50c | 197.88$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.94 | 133 | 51.9%69 W · 64 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Athletics | 50c | 194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 569 | 46.9%267 W · 302 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85a7…d9f3backed Athletics | 50c | 194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Houston Astros | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.25 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…bc54backed Houston Astros | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.25 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Houston Astros | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.65 | 180 | 48.3%87 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Athletics | 50c | 185.64$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.62 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Houston Astros | 80c | 185.14$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.74 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Athletics | 32c | 171$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.03 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Athletics | 47c | 161.38$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.85 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Houston Astros | 51c | 150$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…a69bbacked Houston Astros | 51c | 145.59$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.34 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +7.1wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Houston Astros | 48c | 112.88$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Athletics | 46c | 111.29$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.14 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Athletics | 49c | 106.83$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.35 | 312 | 50%156 W · 156 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Houston Astros | 70c | 103.39$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.69 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed Athletics | 48c | 100.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.44 | 261 | 51%133 W · 128 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Houston Astros | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Athletics | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3636…ab7cbacked Houston Astros | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Houston Astros | 77c | 98.62$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 656 | 51.2%336 W · 320 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8890…cefbbacked Houston Astros | 51c | 97.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.56 | 509 | 62.9%320 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Houston Astros | 51c | 96.15$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.12 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Athletics | 16c | 94.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Houston Astros | 53c | 91.68$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.09 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Athletics | 28c | 90.63$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.58 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Athletics | 37c | 88.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.92 | 767 | 52.3%401 W · 366 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Athletics | 14c | 83.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffae…adaebacked Athletics | 50c | 83.42$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.71 | 589 | 43.1%254 W · 335 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed Houston Astros | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 157 | 57.3%90 W · 67 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf9…66dcbacked Houston Astros | 51c | 79.25$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.83 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c92…5567backed Houston Astros | 49c | 79.13$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.36 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Houston Astros vs. Athleticsthis page
- Houston Astros vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-3.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-9.5)Houston Astros won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.