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Asian League · resolved market

Vissel Kōbe vs. Sanfrecce Hiroshima: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$31,157
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$36,848

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,157 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under45c11,126$4,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,976.125,96346%2,744 W · 3,219 L+46.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59e8…c5e8backed Over69c5,565$3,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,725.13666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over57c1,329$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5737255.6%40 W · 32 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fb4…d481backed Over35c1,005$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.246360.3%38 W · 25 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under30c931.41$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.3193446.1%431 W · 503 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Over43c799.97$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.981625%4 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-31.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over36c699.11$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.4314629.5%43 W · 103 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7aab…15c5backed Over35c571.43$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.431361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.18per pick43cpaid+42.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa69c…890ebacked Over35c518.62$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.211833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Over51c459.32$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.3214037.1%52 W · 88 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under31c408.36$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.2712750.4%64 W · 63 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2605…2b17backed Over66c381.17$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.1712100%12 W · 0 L+4.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+67.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Over80c375$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7512962%80 W · 49 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+20.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under39c368.2$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.231,12646.3%521 W · 605 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb6c…d38ebacked Over48c360$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over67c343.2$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.221367.6%144 W · 69 L0.0wins0.00per pick68cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under42c317.08$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.5122656.6%128 W · 98 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over67c300.51$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.1734659.8%207 W · 139 L+49.2wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+33.7%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over68c292.6$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.6337662.5%235 W · 141 L+61.2wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+35.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Under14c290$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.66729.9%20 W · 47 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15011441.2%47 W · 67 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Over61c245.71$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.713161.3%19 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-4.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x47f9…4731backed Over64c240$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.121154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under31c226.48$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.569056.7%51 W · 39 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x08f0…2000backed Over48c220$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.71366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+41.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe24f…0c5abacked Over36c200$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+40.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa529…677ebacked Over36c198.19$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.195561.8%34 W · 21 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick69cpaid-9.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Over51c195.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.8610640.6%43 W · 63 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under56c195.11$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.3162652.6%329 W · 297 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7299…31f3backed Over53c186.83$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.836737.3%25 W · 42 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,08041.7%450 W · 630 L-15.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4035…5e54backed Over70c165$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.55156.9%29 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over36c152.78$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.7810335%36 W · 67 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+6.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8725…4806backed Over58c152.29$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.011250%6 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over60c151.14$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.6239861.8%246 W · 152 L+56.9wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+33.2%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under43c149.77$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.1811654.3%63 W · 53 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over60c148.87$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.8342725.8%110 W · 317 L-34.1wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-40.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd162…72aabacked Over35c142.36$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+184.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under37c138.27$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.161,31956.7%748 W · 571 L+64.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3d12…cc43backed Over52c135.75$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.752025%5 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-42.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Under37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013846.4%64 W · 74 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdae3…cf78backed Under32c126.97$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+62.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd06f…0263backed Over69c122.14$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.131540%6 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over41c121.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.958254.9%45 W · 37 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over53c119.89$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2333552.8%177 W · 158 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9817…28bcbacked Over35c117.06$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.095451.9%28 W · 26 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Under30c111.4$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.569552.6%50 W · 45 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7b8c…31c3backed Under31c106.24$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.571471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+16.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1edf…2392backed Over47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531656.3%9 W · 7 L+3.3wins+0.21per pick36cpaid+90.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Over72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2818647.3%88 W · 98 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x447d…bd4abacked Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505226.9%14 W · 38 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-32.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under26c89.19$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.191,65150.9%840 W · 811 L+5.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over69c87.89$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8928040.4%113 W · 167 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under34c85.67$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1314153.2%75 W · 66 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0922…d953backed Under54c79.42$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.51540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03c0…9f76backed Over63c79.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.37650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under54c77.57$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.5839058.2%227 W · 163 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed62…6f83backed Over52c76.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+90.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over72c69.77$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.776650%33 W · 33 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under51c65.32$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.291,35745.5%617 W · 740 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under55c65.22$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0514557.2%83 W · 62 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2502…87e5backed Under43c64.78$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-31.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x700f…a69bbacked Over42c60$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.8520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-52.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c1d…d05ebacked Over34c55.43$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.43580%4 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.52per pick28cpaid+187.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over45c55$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.016431.3%20 W · 44 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under43c51.93$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.554860.4%29 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e96…f2debacked Under30c50.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.26425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-47.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc52f…d64abacked Over56c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+35.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over69c44$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.641,99154.1%1,078 W · 913 L+29.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2463…f5b5backed Over58c40$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.88359%49 W · 34 L-0.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over70c38.6$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5622555.1%124 W · 101 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed Over71c35.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.235947.5%28 W · 31 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f51…45c6backed Over73c33.36$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under54c32.44$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.688448.8%41 W · 43 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over73c27.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.48363.9%53 W · 30 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over69c27.3$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.4677056.2%433 W · 337 L+40.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d30…077dbacked Over58c24.14$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.141145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9a9…7876backed Over59c23.02$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.422100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+84.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf09b…5971backed Over54c22.04$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.19450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+35.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Over69c19.99$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.23666.7%24 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaf9…1646backed Over71c18.58$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.393680.6%29 W · 7 L+4.9wins+0.14per pick67cpaid+19.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.