TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Vissel Kōbe vs. Sanfrecce Hiroshima: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$26,769
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$31,221

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,769 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under64c1,692$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.715,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Over24c1,481$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,130.219542.1%40 W · 55 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe24f…0c5abacked Over44c1,409$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$786.7560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+40.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Under58c1,379$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8001127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-46.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9ae8…cb64backed Under56c1,300$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6394…9749backed Over45c857.89$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.893432.4%11 W · 23 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-30.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Under58c694.78$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4005250%26 W · 26 L-5.3wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x26eb…22d0backed Over44c601.93$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.534341.9%18 W · 25 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over44c568.27$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.2814429.2%42 W · 102 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd06f…0263backed Over44c504.61$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.611540%6 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb595…5922backed Over70c351.67$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.566692.4%61 W · 5 L+17.8wins+0.27per pick65cpaid+44.5%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over43c323.06$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.4422555.1%124 W · 101 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe02…dababacked Under66c303.03$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd28…dbf0backed Under54c283.98$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.35333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Under65c246.67$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.072045%9 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c19…859cbacked Over42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.11050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d30…077dbacked Over26c228.57$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.571145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under75c205.48$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.0862652.6%329 W · 297 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9de7…485cbacked Under54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Over45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1106060%36 W · 24 L+5.8wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc3d4…591ebacked Over46c199.62$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x189a…ff38backed Over46c198.25$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b09…595dbacked Under54c198$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0429…056ebacked Under54c197$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9796…9032backed Over45c195.6$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.491533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-28.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64d9…4d19backed Over46c194.42$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.992100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+99.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xede8…97a8backed Over46c193.46$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over47c193.02$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.37149.3%35 W · 36 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+17.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d3f…f09abacked Under54c193$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18e2…8462backed Under54c192$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc52f…d64abacked Over30c189$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.42560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+35.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32b1…7867backed Over46c188.35$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.712100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick47cpaid+115.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under62c187.9$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.9339058.2%227 W · 163 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20d6…1d96backed Under54c187$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3851…496cbacked Over46c184.58$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2e5…4a16backed Over46c182.65$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07c2…83c1backed Over46c180.75$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6954…3674backed Under54c180$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b2d…109fbacked Under54c179$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.66250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd13a…4d77backed Over46c177.38$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf32…3be6backed Under54c176$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1956…7c4bbacked Over46c175.54$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.79250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe70a…19c0backed Under54c173$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ce5…af2ebacked Over44c164.97$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.052138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-22.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Over62c162.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.393161.3%19 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-4.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Over44c148.99$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.9534050.9%173 W · 167 L+19.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over18c140.56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.5610335%36 W · 67 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+6.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over20c140.19$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.738448.8%41 W · 43 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under63c129.99$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.3911654.3%63 W · 53 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under63c127.16$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.6122656.6%128 W · 98 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf60…79c5backed Over46c124.25$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.11330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under60c123.71$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.731,11746.2%516 W · 601 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b8c…31c3backed Under56c114.96$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.911471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+16.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over45c112.06$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.4693446.1%431 W · 503 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under65c103.28$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.914557.2%83 W · 62 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x08f0…2000backed Over46c102.17$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.17366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+41.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe438…d8adbacked Under55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.526749.4%132 W · 135 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Over57c96.88$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6612242.6%52 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe44c…f15cbacked Over47c89.87$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.663100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+77.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under57c89.6$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.679056.7%51 W · 39 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under63c83.84$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.191,35645.5%617 W · 739 L+15.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdae3…cf78backed Over45c76.56$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.74366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+62.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over34c69.91$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.3642625.8%110 W · 316 L-33.7wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-40%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Under54c61.05$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.853850%19 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+13.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over31c58.8$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.6777056.2%433 W · 337 L+40.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed Over43c58.12$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.95947.5%28 W · 31 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9817…28bcbacked Over44c52.2$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.235451.9%28 W · 26 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over43c47.56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.111,44335.3%509 W · 934 L-36.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under58c46.55$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd45…f2aabacked Under55c43.78$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.08250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6c3…a6e8backed Under70c39.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282650%13 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a47…cfbbbacked Over44c34.2$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.22857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+25%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5ce…e232backed Under63c33.62$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.18520%1 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.39per pick59cpaid-72.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x85ee…efffbacked Over47c32.96$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfccc…2547backed Under55c32.82$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed Over46c30.11$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.268864.8%57 W · 31 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6e1…6579backed Under56c29.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.830%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3edb…aa1ebacked Under56c29.98$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8930%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x186b…4b16backed Over46c29.48$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under55c28.69$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8512750.4%64 W · 63 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9226…9f39backed Under56c27.02$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1320%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0e7…eeb1backed Over42c26.19$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.191656.3%9 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa36b…1d89backed Over46c25.74$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0722…fceebacked Over42c24.12$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.991250%6 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef92…f133backed Under65c19.09$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.47333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae02…7ed0backed Under56c17.9$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.