Tennis · resolved market
Bucaramanga: Frazier Rengifo vs Carlos Maria Zarate
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1daf7a2f72edb07568ff4f632523cc9e43348be660700fafbc68f7012dd6d7ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Carlos Maria Zarateof Frazier Rengifo, Carlos Maria Zarate
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,301
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,301 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Frazier Rengifo | 20c | 1,756$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.2 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Frazier Rengifo | 8c | 1,459$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.54 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc414…d870backed Frazier Rengifo | 3c | 999.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Frazier Rengifo | 15c | 670$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bf…b02dbacked Carlos Maria Zarate | 77c | 649.35$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.35 | 591 | 65.3%386 W · 205 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Frazier Rengifo | 23c | 614.74$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.66 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Frazier Rengifo | 2c | 579.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 51 | 13.7%7 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -36%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Frazier Rengifo | 3c | 324.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 246 | 37.4%92 W · 154 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x482c…4da1backed Frazier Rengifo | 24c | 249.86$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.17 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdac5…263bbacked Frazier Rengifo | 14c | 205.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.84 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f6…a5eebacked Carlos Maria Zarate | 79c | 202.53$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.53 | 599 | 54.9%329 W · 270 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Carlos Maria Zarate | 79c | 199$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.82 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x463e…fa8ebacked Carlos Maria Zarate | 78c | 164.1$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.1 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed Carlos Maria Zarate | 77c | 163.21$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.54 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x726a…196bbacked Carlos Maria Zarate | 79c | 160$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.4 | 33 | 84.8%28 W · 5 L | +9.8wins | +0.30per pick | 55cpaid | +51%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Frazier Rengifo | 20c | 159$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.65 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Frazier Rengifo | 16c | 152.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Frazier Rengifo | 15c | 149.4$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Carlos Maria Zarate | 80c | 114$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 967 | 55.3%535 W · 432 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Frazier Rengifo | 15c | 92.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 465 | 56.1%261 W · 204 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc45…2957backed Carlos Maria Zarate | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d1d…3f8dbacked Carlos Maria Zarate | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Frazier Rengifo | 23c | 62.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c06…bbeebacked Frazier Rengifo | 18c | 59.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a4…3926backed Carlos Maria Zarate | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 593 | 66.8%396 W · 197 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Carlos Maria Zarate | 79c | 20.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 341 | 48.1%164 W · 177 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed Carlos Maria Zarate | 79c | 18.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 308 | 53.6%165 W · 143 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Carlos Maria Zarate | 80c | 18.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.77 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Carlos Maria Zarate | 79c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2363…4691backed Carlos Maria Zarate | 77c | 15.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.58 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.