Tennis · resolved market
Bucaramanga: Valerio Aboian vs Garrett Johns
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd03ebb7428fa5ba7367c01ce51ca1afc71dc0b8c1742e0394889e60ef0b71411
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Garrett Johnsof Valerio Aboian, Garrett Johns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,031
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,031 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Valerio Aboian | 8c | 9,928$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.8 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe63e…525abacked Valerio Aboian | 5c | 8,045$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8735…41bbbacked Valerio Aboian | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78fc…8c88backed Valerio Aboian | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Garrett Johns | 63c | 2,013$1,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.76 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x969b…db70backed Valerio Aboian | 1c | 1,818$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 0%0 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Valerio Aboian | 11c | 1,774$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.7 | 151 | 17.9%27 W · 124 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Valerio Aboian | 43c | 1,752$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.89 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Valerio Aboian | 1c | 1,300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 82 | 1.2%1 W · 81 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23ec…759fbacked Valerio Aboian | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 63 | 0%0 W · 63 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Valerio Aboian | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 138 | 9.4%13 W · 125 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 4cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a4…ebccbacked Valerio Aboian | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 4cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc48a…c6c4backed Valerio Aboian | 10c | 1,000$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Garrett Johns | 61c | 881.05$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.37 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedd1…45a9backed Valerio Aboian | 1c | 800$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 41 | 14.6%6 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Garrett Johns | 71c | 741.46$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.7 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Garrett Johns | 62c | 456$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.02 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Garrett Johns | 61c | 425$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.32 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Garrett Johns | 64c | 373.53$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.81 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9175…bd29backed Valerio Aboian | 48c | 293.93$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.98 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Valerio Aboian | 31c | 270.05$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.53 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x400d…e759backed Valerio Aboian | 51c | 205$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.79 | 608 | 56.6%344 W · 264 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Valerio Aboian | 25c | 200.16$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.53 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Valerio Aboian | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 57 | 5.3%3 W · 54 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Valerio Aboian | 24c | 199.05$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 363 | 33.9%123 W · 240 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…30f7backed Garrett Johns | 77c | 188.22$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.22 | 524 | 57.4%301 W · 223 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Garrett Johns | 63c | 182.26$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.34 | 1,459 | 50.1%731 W · 728 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Valerio Aboian | 37c | 172.97$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Valerio Aboian | 24c | 156.75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.51 | 594 | 40.2%239 W · 355 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Garrett Johns | 51c | 129.74$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.02 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b54…db07backed Garrett Johns | 69c | 116.43$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.82 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76a3…2aa6backed Valerio Aboian | 46c | 111.32$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.76 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Valerio Aboian | 30c | 107.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.23 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Garrett Johns | 67c | 100.43$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.43 | 155 | 60.6%94 W · 61 L | +15.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Valerio Aboian | 35c | 92.87$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.31 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Garrett Johns | 62c | 90$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.57 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x482c…4da1backed Valerio Aboian | 49c | 88.84$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.37 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584d…d358backed Valerio Aboian | 42c | 85.24$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.8 | 341 | 59.5%203 W · 138 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Garrett Johns | 55c | 85$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.31 | 556 | 60.3%335 W · 221 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Garrett Johns | 70c | 81.89$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 653 | 46.4%303 W · 350 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23f5…5ef2backed Garrett Johns | 52c | 69$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Garrett Johns | 51c | 65.3$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 770 | 47.9%369 W · 401 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x726a…196bbacked Garrett Johns | 52c | 65$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 33 | 84.8%28 W · 5 L | +9.8wins | +0.30per pick | 55cpaid | +51%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xabbf…126cbacked Valerio Aboian | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 110 | 50%55 W · 55 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17fb…5d28backed Garrett Johns | 51c | 58.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.67 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56cd…2ddcbacked Valerio Aboian | 45c | 55.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 232 | 49.1%114 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbebf…9baebacked Valerio Aboian | 36c | 55.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 908 | 54.5%495 W · 413 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Garrett Johns | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.08 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Garrett Johns | 51c | 48.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.01 | 228 | 47.4%108 W · 120 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabe0…5adbbacked Garrett Johns | 62c | 48.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.77 | 331 | 63.7%211 W · 120 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde48…accbbacked Valerio Aboian | 50c | 48.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Garrett Johns | 73c | 45.97$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 572 | 52.3%299 W · 273 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Garrett Johns | 51c | 45.63$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Valerio Aboian | 49c | 43.23$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.18 | 1,103 | 52.9%583 W · 520 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Garrett Johns | 49c | 37.51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.13 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67b5…7276backed Garrett Johns | 54c | 37.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 271 | 47.2%128 W · 143 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Garrett Johns | 49c | 36.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 692 | 53.3%369 W · 323 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…51dabacked Valerio Aboian | 50c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -5.3wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6436…aa37backed Valerio Aboian | 45c | 31.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Garrett Johns | 55c | 31.05$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.97 | 1,132 | 50.3%569 W · 563 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Garrett Johns | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 384 | 60.4%232 W · 152 L | +29.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Garrett Johns | 77c | 29.49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Valerio Aboian | 37c | 27.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9f…1661backed Garrett Johns | 52c | 26.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Garrett Johns | 56c | 26.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.62 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Garrett Johns | 71c | 22.82$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 349 | 50.4%176 W · 173 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba0d…9a6ebacked Garrett Johns | 49c | 21.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Garrett Johns | 51c | 21.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 292 | 44.5%130 W · 162 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Garrett Johns | 69c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10a0…e54dbacked Valerio Aboian | 49c | 20.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Garrett Johns | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 468 | 48.5%227 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2917…a884backed Garrett Johns | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x955f…2e25backed Garrett Johns | 57c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed Garrett Johns | 78c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.92 | 652 | 64.1%418 W · 234 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.