MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston Astros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33eebe63bb0b2bf35f09f2e75377b80abca7e1808ac7661cf2d74bdac10b523f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Houston Astrosof Los Angeles Angels, Houston Astros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $221,589
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $240,224
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $221,589 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 214 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Los Angeles Angels | 39c | 48,067$18,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,746.32 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Houston Astros | 61c | 20,000$12,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,800 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Houston Astros | 70c | 15,718$11,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,673.34 | 216 | 56.5%122 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Houston Astros | 61c | 9,486$5,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,688.73 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Los Angeles Angels | 48c | 6,156$2,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,960.54 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked Houston Astros | 65c | 5,800$3,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,034.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +215.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Houston Astros | 57c | 5,308$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,307.69 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Houston Astros | 61c | 5,227$3,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,038.53 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c1…5177backed Houston Astros | 56c | 4,294$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,893.71 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Los Angeles Angels | 39c | 4,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4661…f070backed Houston Astros | 61c | 3,915$2,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,526.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Houston Astros | 62c | 3,863$2,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,467.22 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 35c | 3,757$1,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325.56 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Houston Astros | 57c | 3,516$1,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520.36 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Los Angeles Angels | 41c | 3,267$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,332.06 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Los Angeles Angels | 38c | 2,554$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.6 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Houston Astros | 35c | 2,166$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,403.38 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Los Angeles Angels | 8c | 2,160$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Houston Astros | 64c | 2,037$1,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.3 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Los Angeles Angels | 39c | 2,029$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.19 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed Los Angeles Angels | 39c | 2,000$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Los Angeles Angels | 33c | 1,947$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.48 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Houston Astros | 78c | 1,834$1,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.67 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Los Angeles Angels | 32c | 1,756$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.32 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 6c | 1,625$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.82 | 111 | 25.2%28 W · 83 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Los Angeles Angels | 69c | 1,445$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.73 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x714d…6e05backed Los Angeles Angels | 37c | 1,333$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.14 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Los Angeles Angels | 33c | 1,114$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.65 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Los Angeles Angels | 21c | 1,072$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.16 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Los Angeles Angels | 36c | 1,033$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.04 | 286 | 46.2%132 W · 154 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Houston Astros | 61c | 1,015$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.55 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Angels | 32c | 974.78$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.14 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Los Angeles Angels | 39c | 818$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.02 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8b…d6e6backed Los Angeles Angels | 40c | 752.5$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Los Angeles Angels | 7c | 724.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Los Angeles Angels | 35c | 714.29$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 253 | 49.4%125 W · 128 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Los Angeles Angels | 26c | 679.76$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 92 | 19.6%18 W · 74 L | -7.6wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…ab9fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 15c | 679.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Houston Astros | 60c | 658$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.99 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Houston Astros | 61c | 655.74$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.74 | 323 | 50.5%163 W · 160 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Houston Astros | 59c | 640$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.43 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Los Angeles Angels | 39c | 600$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Los Angeles Angels | 21c | 518$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.74 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Houston Astros | 63c | 514.29$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.29 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…0f4ebacked Houston Astros | 56c | 502.07$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.91 | 411 | 52.3%215 W · 196 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Houston Astros | 61c | 481.49$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.78 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Los Angeles Angels | 35c | 478.63$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.36 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Los Angeles Angels | 37c | 427.92$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.96 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Houston Astros | 59c | 408$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.99 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Los Angeles Angels | 23c | 396.8$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.27 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa70…5501backed Houston Astros | 64c | 390.63$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +205.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…7ed7backed Houston Astros | 66c | 380.77$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.77 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1e…63bbbacked Houston Astros | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Houston Astros | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 133 | 61.7%82 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf40e…9addbacked Houston Astros | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Los Angeles Angels | 28c | 321.48$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.97 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…4b6fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 30c | 320$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Houston Astros | 76c | 317.74$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.07 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed Houston Astros | 61c | 316$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.24 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Houston Astros | 69c | 307.26$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.51 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Los Angeles Angels | 66c | 300$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 656 | 51.2%336 W · 320 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Los Angeles Angels | 3c | 300$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Houston Astros | 60c | 295$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.29 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c0…7e68backed Los Angeles Angels | 38c | 292.84$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.28 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Los Angeles Angels | 36c | 291.44$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.08 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Los Angeles Angels | 37c | 280.06$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.11 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed Los Angeles Angels | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Houston Astros | 61c | 253$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.67 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Los Angeles Angels | 39c | 252.95$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.95 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Houston Astros | 61c | 252.46$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.46 | 384 | 55.2%212 W · 172 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69c2…40cfbacked Los Angeles Angels | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 182 | 39.6%72 W · 110 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Houston Astros | 61c | 246$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.94 | 319 | 49.5%158 W · 161 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Houston Astros | 67c | 245.02$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.67 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Houston Astros | 53c | 245.01$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.83 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d56…a287backed Houston Astros | 41c | 245$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…dd7abacked Los Angeles Angels | 26c | 236.86$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.85 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Houston Astros | 69c | 232.27$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.67 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Houston Astros | 61c | 230$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.7 | 185 | 53%98 W · 87 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…f50dbacked Houston Astros | 61c | 227.89$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.88 | 187 | 54%101 W · 86 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…d2e2backed Houston Astros | 62c | 223$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.74 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb996…038cbacked Houston Astros | 62c | 223$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.74 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…5259backed Houston Astros | 62c | 222.58$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.58 | 122 | 57.4%70 W · 52 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Los Angeles Angels | 34c | 214.07$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.93 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Los Angeles Angels | 21c | 209.1$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.04 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Houston Astros | 55c | 197$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.3 | 786 | 49.1%386 W · 400 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Los Angeles Angels | 39c | 179.49$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 569 | 46.9%267 W · 302 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Los Angeles Angels | 23c | 176.64$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.62 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Los Angeles Angels | 23c | 176$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.74 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Houston Astros | 56c | 173$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.74 | 465 | 47.1%219 W · 246 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08a1…10dcbacked Houston Astros | 61c | 165$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.35 | 218 | 51.4%112 W · 106 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Houston Astros | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Houston Astros | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Houston Astros | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d8…c0f2backed Houston Astros | 61c | 160$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d24…9c89backed Houston Astros | 61c | 149$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.11 | 152 | 57.2%87 W · 65 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Los Angeles Angels | 24c | 147$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | -10.5wins | -0.26per pick | 35cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Los Angeles Angels | 40c | 139.35$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.17 | 408 | 46.1%188 W · 220 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Los Angeles Angels | 27c | 136$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.78 | 310 | 38.4%119 W · 191 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…5626backed Los Angeles Angels | 33c | 133.26$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.68 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Los Angeles Angels | 22c | 132$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 99 | 39.4%39 W · 60 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston Astrosthis page
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston Astros: O/U 9.5Over won
- NRFI: Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston AstrosYes won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Houston Astros won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.