TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Lionel Messi: 2+ assists

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$40,260
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$41,287

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,260 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7f69…f76dbacked Yes4c5,585$250 inWon+$5,335.455121.6%11 W · 40 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick26cpaid+3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37f4…49afbacked Yes4c3,906$156 inWon+$3,750.4819037.4%71 W · 119 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1501…783fbacked Yes2c1,744$39 inWon+$1,704.894837.5%18 W · 30 L+4.6wins+0.10per pick28cpaid+71.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b20…38ffbacked Yes5c1,500$68 inWon+$1,432.51233.3%4 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick17cpaid+223%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaa6f…1dfebacked Yes5c1,005$46 inWon+$958.778648.8%42 W · 44 L+10.1wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+77.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xef84…6872backed No3c938.87$28 inLost-$28.171375.1%7 W · 130 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick2cpaid+94.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No25c781.5$192 inLost-$192.434,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24ae…4c80backed Yes16c635.35$100 inWon+$534.8814856.8%84 W · 64 L+20.7wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+59.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Yes4c581.4$25 inWon+$556.442332.9%139 W · 284 L-17.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x48ec…8f36backed No29c514.93$150 inLost-$149.8413552.6%71 W · 64 L+25.9wins+0.19per pick33cpaid+129%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x51c7…17e4backed Yes4c500$20 inWon+$4806227.4%17 W · 45 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick19cpaid+93.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes4c495.28$21 inWon+$474.163,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x178d…797bbacked Yes4c323.25$14 inWon+$309.032213.6%3 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick23cpaid+33.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1318…69afbacked Yes4c238.1$10 inWon+$228.118028.3%51 W · 129 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick25cpaid-17.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x70ec…81bebacked No6c215.17$13 inLost-$12.911145.5%5 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick28cpaid+31.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa62b…9fb3backed No9c148.7$14 inLost-$14.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x726a…196bbacked No38c41.82$16 inLost-$15.935060%30 W · 20 L+5.7wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+13.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe50e…45c5backed Yes69c37.03$26 inWon+$11.3232959.6%196 W · 133 L+21.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 93. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.