Tennis · resolved market
Miami Open, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Nicolas Jarry
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb338f6c33d67b71017371ed0033623ed64a8f30cd7e93706ec775965356fc17a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mattia Bellucciof Mattia Bellucci, Nicolas Jarry
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,609
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,609 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nicolas Jarry | 17c | 7,908$1,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,341.04 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Mattia Bellucci | 66c | 3,959$2,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,336.79 | 246 | 43.9%108 W · 138 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Mattia Bellucci | 67c | 2,549$1,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.73 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…83b9backed Nicolas Jarry | 40c | 2,470$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9175…bd29backed Nicolas Jarry | 35c | 2,327$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.44 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Nicolas Jarry | 35c | 2,010$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.42 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Nicolas Jarry | 34c | 1,880$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.86 | 203 | 36%73 W · 130 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed Mattia Bellucci | 54c | 1,823$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.62 | 407 | 48.9%199 W · 208 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Nicolas Jarry | 37c | 1,700$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.99 | 469 | 32%150 W · 319 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Mattia Bellucci | 63c | 1,487$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.57 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a73…e1adbacked Nicolas Jarry | 19c | 1,329$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 158 | 26.6%42 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Nicolas Jarry | 35c | 1,297$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.51 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Nicolas Jarry | 33c | 1,140$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.06 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Mattia Bellucci | 65c | 999.99$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 465 | 53.8%250 W · 215 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Nicolas Jarry | 36c | 797.94$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.12 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90d9…56c4backed Mattia Bellucci | 64c | 742.19$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.19 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +47%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Nicolas Jarry | 41c | 724.29$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Nicolas Jarry | 39c | 666.81$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 1,118 | 42.8%479 W · 639 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Nicolas Jarry | 38c | 659.58$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.64 | 239 | 45.6%109 W · 130 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa718…baf1backed Mattia Bellucci | 63c | 562$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.42 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x400d…e759backed Mattia Bellucci | 66c | 550$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187 | 608 | 56.6%344 W · 264 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mattia Bellucci | 62c | 515.33$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.15 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Mattia Bellucci | 65c | 446.99$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.45 | 872 | 51.1%446 W · 426 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Nicolas Jarry | 33c | 400$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 556 | 60.3%335 W · 221 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076b…dbfabacked Nicolas Jarry | 37c | 400$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Nicolas Jarry | 34c | 376$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.84 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa373…b6dcbacked Nicolas Jarry | 27c | 365.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 543 | 48.1%261 W · 282 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7623…220bbacked Mattia Bellucci | 59c | 339.07$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.07 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Mattia Bellucci | 63c | 339$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.9 | 280 | 38.2%107 W · 173 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Mattia Bellucci | 61c | 327.1$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.1 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | +18.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81f3…1f2abacked Mattia Bellucci | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Mattia Bellucci | 63c | 317$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.29 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Nicolas Jarry | 39c | 309$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.72 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Mattia Bellucci | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 1,026 | 50%513 W · 513 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Mattia Bellucci | 62c | 286.09$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.71 | 262 | 54.6%143 W · 119 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Mattia Bellucci | 61c | 283.52$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.57 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…f50dbacked Mattia Bellucci | 62c | 276.73$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.79 | 294 | 61.9%182 W · 112 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6d…fa35backed Mattia Bellucci | 63c | 259.51$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.52 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Nicolas Jarry | 24c | 253.56$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.04 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Nicolas Jarry | 35c | 252.52$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.38 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6158…81bcbacked Mattia Bellucci | 65c | 250$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Nicolas Jarry | 35c | 250$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Nicolas Jarry | 36c | 240.25$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.9 | 254 | 33.5%85 W · 169 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa99…f152backed Mattia Bellucci | 70c | 203.68$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.68 | 734 | 58.6%430 W · 304 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f6…a5eebacked Mattia Bellucci | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 599 | 54.9%329 W · 270 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Nicolas Jarry | 36c | 198.34$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.76 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Mattia Bellucci | 62c | 190$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.02 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4c…dc70backed Nicolas Jarry | 39c | 187.3$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.38 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Mattia Bellucci | 62c | 178.53$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.53 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac9…cf1abacked Mattia Bellucci | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 402 | 64.4%259 W · 143 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Mattia Bellucci | 59c | 159$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.19 | 269 | 41.3%111 W · 158 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…9f40backed Mattia Bellucci | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Mattia Bellucci | 63c | 152.38$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 401 | 61.1%245 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb32…787dbacked Mattia Bellucci | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Mattia Bellucci | 65c | 150$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Mattia Bellucci | 60c | 144.18$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.11 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Nicolas Jarry | 37c | 135.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe324…9189backed Mattia Bellucci | 68c | 127.94$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.94 | 206 | 64.1%132 W · 74 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b71…80ecbacked Mattia Bellucci | 63c | 126.35$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.35 | 211 | 49.8%105 W · 106 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Mattia Bellucci | 66c | 116.67$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.67 | 656 | 52.1%342 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Nicolas Jarry | 37c | 115.33$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.07 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Mattia Bellucci | 59c | 106.24$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.08 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Nicolas Jarry | 27c | 104.58$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.29 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Mattia Bellucci | 64c | 101$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.36 | 147 | 46.3%68 W · 79 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Nicolas Jarry | 35c | 100.7$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.92 | 432 | 42.4%183 W · 249 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Mattia Bellucci | 63c | 100.01$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 287 | 47.7%137 W · 150 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x351b…4d06backed Mattia Bellucci | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Nicolas Jarry | 40c | 94.42$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.83 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x444a…00bebacked Nicolas Jarry | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nicolas Jarry | 37c | 85.21$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.62 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Nicolas Jarry | 35c | 84.52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Mattia Bellucci | 62c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 255 | 46.3%118 W · 137 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4d…71c6backed Mattia Bellucci | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcc…edc9backed Mattia Bellucci | 65c | 76.77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.77 | 172 | 62.8%108 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x613f…6463backed Nicolas Jarry | 20c | 76.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Mattia Bellucci | 69c | 75$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 893 | 64.4%575 W · 318 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed Mattia Bellucci | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 218 | 47.2%103 W · 115 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3190…93bbbacked Mattia Bellucci | 68c | 73.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba0d…9a6ebacked Mattia Bellucci | 64c | 71.25$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x429e…41bdbacked Mattia Bellucci | 68c | 70.57$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.58 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…6906backed Mattia Bellucci | 63c | 70$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3846…9742backed Mattia Bellucci | 62c | 68.63$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.08 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Nicolas Jarry | 37c | 67.77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.07 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Mattia Bellucci | 60c | 63.78$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.51 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Mattia Bellucci | 64c | 56.03$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.41 | 1,021 | 57.8%590 W · 431 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e72…d0b9backed Nicolas Jarry | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 707 | 29.1%206 W · 501 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Mattia Bellucci | 65c | 53.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.54 | 349 | 50.4%176 W · 173 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Nicolas Jarry | 34c | 52.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb4…692abacked Nicolas Jarry | 39c | 50.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Mattia Bellucci | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 968 | 44.4%430 W · 538 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Nicolas Jarry | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Nicolas Jarry | 34c | 49.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 602 | 40.5%244 W · 358 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Nicolas Jarry | 38c | 49.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 361 | 61.8%223 W · 138 L | +41.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +25%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Mattia Bellucci | 62c | 48.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Mattia Bellucci | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 643 | 58.8%378 W · 265 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x726a…196bbacked Mattia Bellucci | 64c | 45.08$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 33 | 84.8%28 W · 5 L | +9.8wins | +0.30per pick | 55cpaid | +51%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Nicolas Jarry | 37c | 45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 423 | 53.7%227 W · 196 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Nicolas Jarry | 36c | 43.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 474 | 53.2%252 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Mattia Bellucci | 67c | 43.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 382 | 68.1%260 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Nicolas Jarry | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 518 | 49.4%256 W · 262 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Open, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Nicolas Jarrythis page
- Bellucci vs. Jarry: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Mattia Bellucci vs. Nicolas Jarry: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Bellucci vs JarryBellucci won
- Set Handicap: Bellucci (-1.5) vs Jarry (+1.5)Bellucci won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.