CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs BIG EQUIPA (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9ec778e0dc870a3c1cd683b45ed3176d25103df73bb469d76e9e773ec84af4e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ursaof Ursa, BIG EQUIPA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,186
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,186 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7193…ae51backed Ursa | 75c | 8,451$6,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,123.23 | 298 | 58.4%174 W · 124 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b4…8bf7backed BIG EQUIPA | 38c | 5,334$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.75 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed BIG EQUIPA | 0c | 3,687$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x328f…efe2backed BIG EQUIPA | 12c | 2,500$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.99 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…520abacked Ursa | 55c | 1,347$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.33 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked BIG EQUIPA | 25c | 1,341$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.05 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e07…3545backed Ursa | 57c | 1,123$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.3 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed BIG EQUIPA | 26c | 989.82$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.83 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed BIG EQUIPA | 33c | 843$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.68 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf791…6b8fbacked BIG EQUIPA | 6c | 780$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed BIG EQUIPA | 22c | 676$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…64d1backed BIG EQUIPA | 40c | 670.1$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.2 | 209 | 42.1%88 W · 121 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked BIG EQUIPA | 14c | 600$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0c…7ffabacked BIG EQUIPA | 13c | 473$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c47…1189backed BIG EQUIPA | 37c | 385$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.9 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +79.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed BIG EQUIPA | 20c | 347.13$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.16 | 456 | 39.3%179 W · 277 L | -29.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Ursa | 77c | 346$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.58 | 332 | 37%123 W · 209 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed BIG EQUIPA | 16c | 300$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 540 | 32.4%175 W · 365 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed Ursa | 69c | 287.24$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.3 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa11d…72a8backed BIG EQUIPA | 18c | 280$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x726a…196bbacked BIG EQUIPA | 28c | 274.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.75 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x767c…dc56backed BIG EQUIPA | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…a7b8backed Ursa | 66c | 178.96$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.21 | 76 | 64.5%49 W · 27 L | +9.7wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed BIG EQUIPA | 16c | 170$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 402 | 47.8%192 W · 210 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked BIG EQUIPA | 17c | 154.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.45 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed BIG EQUIPA | 36c | 139.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 387 | 39.5%153 W · 234 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4129…ce4fbacked BIG EQUIPA | 14c | 128.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed Ursa | 59c | 123.73$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.73 | 209 | 52.6%110 W · 99 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74c2…9b1ebacked BIG EQUIPA | 19c | 118$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5a…0cafbacked BIG EQUIPA | 13c | 104$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae13…16c6backed BIG EQUIPA | 18c | 95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9147…a532backed BIG EQUIPA | 18c | 85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5229…2befbacked BIG EQUIPA | 41c | 72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Ursa | 65c | 47.1$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.48 | 180 | 63.9%115 W · 65 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Ursa | 50c | 30.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7196…dde2backed BIG EQUIPA | 50c | 30.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed BIG EQUIPA | 39c | 30.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Ursa vs BIG EQUIPA (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Ursa vs BIG EQUIPA - Map 1 WinnerUrsa won
- Counter-Strike: Ursa vs BIG EQUIPA - Map 2 WinnerUrsa won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.