MLB · resolved market
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7cb8b9816b21205f27ee390a83313f8ee053c95b9c7e22d07480719ff48006f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Boston Red Soxof Tampa Bay Rays, Boston Red Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,357
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,357 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 2,607$1,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,342.92 | 991 | 49.9%495 W · 496 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd36…6ec9backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 1,682$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.44 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Boston Red Sox | 47c | 1,438$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.14 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Boston Red Sox | 48c | 1,095$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.95 | 474 | 47.3%224 W · 250 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Boston Red Sox | 46c | 1,085$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.95 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.21 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed Boston Red Sox | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…5dfebacked Boston Red Sox | 47c | 632.05$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.05 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Boston Red Sox | 49c | 609.55$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.61 | 408 | 46.1%188 W · 220 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Boston Red Sox | 48c | 513.91$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.64 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 463$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.02 | 199 | 34.2%68 W · 131 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 424.2$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.86 | 1,358 | 50.8%690 W · 668 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 318.68$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.87 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 247$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.17 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Boston Red Sox | 48c | 245$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.77 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe64d…5e09backed Tampa Bay Rays | 16c | 217.45$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.86 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Boston Red Sox | 50c | 201.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.09 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 9c | 200$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 90 | 31.1%28 W · 62 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Boston Red Sox | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Boston Red Sox | 50c | 195.72$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.43 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Boston Red Sox | 61c | 169.34$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.48 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 149.69$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.35 | 1,947 | 53.1%1,033 W · 914 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Boston Red Sox | 47c | 130.58$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.21 | 849 | 49.1%417 W · 432 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Tampa Bay Rays | 12c | 123.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 230 | 36.1%83 W · 147 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 122.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.97 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Boston Red Sox | 37c | 121.17$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.34 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Boston Red Sox | 53c | 106$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.82 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…0f95backed Boston Red Sox | 49c | 103.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.5 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 352 | 45.5%160 W · 192 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked Boston Red Sox | 65c | 85.4$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.27 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 79.28$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.6 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 78.85$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb89…ec39backed Boston Red Sox | 48c | 62.35$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.35 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Boston Red Sox | 51c | 59.71$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 57.93$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.39 | 1,201 | 49.1%590 W · 611 L | +20.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a7f…85c3backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Boston Red Sox | 60c | 51.93$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.77 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Boston Red Sox | 47c | 49.43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.3 | 403 | 51.4%207 W · 196 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Boston Red Sox | 44c | 40.8$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.85 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaa…dd4fbacked Boston Red Sox | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed Boston Red Sox | 48c | 33.53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.43 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 33.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc0…8f18backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…ac58backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 26.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…8d29backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 24.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fb…a7f3backed Boston Red Sox | 47c | 24.87$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7936…78b1backed Boston Red Sox | 46c | 23.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x624a…8b09backed Boston Red Sox | 46c | 23.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 23.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 257 | 48.2%124 W · 133 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…ad71backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 22.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.27 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 236 | 47%111 W · 125 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x726a…196bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 19.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 950 | 41.5%394 W · 556 L | -48.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc184…1b61backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 19.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bae…87f1backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 19.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.