MLB · resolved market
New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd044d30be581b177bd5faaab16a39aefe20008ea6a4f24ea50c60b0c3c1fccd1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Yankeesof New York Yankees, Chicago Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,418
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,418 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Chicago Cubs | 53c | 3,689$1,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,939.74 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked New York Yankees | 48c | 3,198$1,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,666.71 | 465 | 47.1%219 W · 246 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked New York Yankees | 49c | 2,338$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,192.51 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed New York Yankees | 48c | 2,330$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.39 | 408 | 46.1%188 W · 220 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 2,150$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.5 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…6dc8backed New York Yankees | 64c | 1,566$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.34 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Chicago Cubs | 52c | 755.41$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.86 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Chicago Cubs | 51c | 739$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.46 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa51…a910backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 692.58$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.14 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Chicago Cubs | 51c | 583.62$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…2a39backed Chicago Cubs | 28c | 455.61$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.93 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -6.9wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -44%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Chicago Cubs | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 384$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.84 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…11b3backed New York Yankees | 48c | 375$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 111 | 34.2%38 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Chicago Cubs | 34c | 313.79$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.06 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed New York Yankees | 65c | 311.78$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.6 | 447 | 45.6%204 W · 243 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Chicago Cubs | 36c | 263.74$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.63 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed New York Yankees | 48c | 241$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.32 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6757…7ecebacked Chicago Cubs | 52c | 229.02$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.04 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed New York Yankees | 49c | 204.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.88 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked New York Yankees | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x639e…a9d4backed New York Yankees | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x675f…aa0bbacked New York Yankees | 48c | 192.5$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.1 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Chicago Cubs | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed New York Yankees | 47c | 190$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.6 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67f4…87bdbacked New York Yankees | 55c | 182.61$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.61 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 179.11$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.16 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 170$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.7 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Chicago Cubs | 34c | 150.29$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.38 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c06…bbeebacked New York Yankees | 46c | 150$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.5wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5147…f078backed New York Yankees | 58c | 132.13$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked New York Yankees | 48c | 126.67$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.78 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed New York Yankees | 49c | 118.31$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -49%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed New York Yankees | 62c | 116.51$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.59 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked New York Yankees | 64c | 103$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.48 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Chicago Cubs | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Chicago Cubs | 42c | 99.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x829e…2c6dbacked Chicago Cubs | 24c | 99.81$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.67 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked New York Yankees | 48c | 98.7$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.32 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Chicago Cubs | 25c | 97.77$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.07 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked New York Yankees | 48c | 93.3$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed New York Yankees | 68c | 75.2$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.04 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed New York Yankees | 48c | 72.92$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf25…636dbacked Chicago Cubs | 55c | 72.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed New York Yankees | 66c | 67.5$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.99 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Chicago Cubs | 34c | 65.93$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.45 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked New York Yankees | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 59$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.97 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked New York Yankees | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72bc…b24ebacked Chicago Cubs | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x726a…196bbacked New York Yankees | 51c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed New York Yankees | 48c | 44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x680d…98b8backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed New York Yankees | 48c | 31.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0606…1d57backed New York Yankees | 50c | 30.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 114 | 42.1%48 W · 66 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked New York Yankees | 47c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea8…077dbacked Chicago Cubs | 48c | 27.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed New York Yankees | 49c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 162 | 74.1%120 W · 42 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc0…8f18backed New York Yankees | 48c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a3…f319backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 25.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x406c…ec46backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8de4…67a8backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 23.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8390…3773backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 23.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04c…c640backed New York Yankees | 60c | 23.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb1…93b6backed New York Yankees | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2e…d2abbacked New York Yankees | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Chicago Cubs | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed New York Yankees | 58c | 18.68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 393 | 44.3%174 W · 219 L | -22.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.