TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Grand Prix Hassan II: Federico Cina vs Alexandre Muller

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Alexandre Mullerof Federico Cina, Alexandre Muller
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$208,626
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$254,321

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $208,626 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 181 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcb84…08a9backed Alexandre Muller73c25,506$18,653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,852.549855.1%54 W · 44 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Federico Cina26c19,758$5,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,192.472,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x77f6…dbd1backed Alexandre Muller55c9,755$5,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,358.2440748.9%199 W · 208 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5d4…8b32backed Federico Cina4c7,732$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.281,2068%96 W · 1,110 L+17.2wins+0.01per pick7cpaid+80.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Federico Cina30c6,827$2,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,027.1111,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ef1…cea5backed Federico Cina5c3,994$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.835550.9%28 W · 27 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4c1…5177backed Alexandre Muller57c3,780$2,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,636.923855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Federico Cina31c3,673$1,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1272,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Federico Cina36c3,565$1,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,298.697,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Federico Cina18c3,236$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.616,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa82a…a759backed Alexandre Muller54c2,962$1,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,362.3533955.2%187 W · 152 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Federico Cina32c2,928$924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$923.978,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25d8…a71fbacked Federico Cina15c2,439$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.8930857.1%176 W · 132 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed Alexandre Muller51c2,145$1,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,051.0730847.7%147 W · 161 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Alexandre Muller57c2,053$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882.938150.6%41 W · 40 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Federico Cina44c2,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88058232%186 W · 396 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Federico Cina46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92058734.6%203 W · 384 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Federico Cina44c2,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.9972452.6%381 W · 343 L+34.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Federico Cina45c1,999$909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909.519241.1%79 W · 113 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4084…357abacked Federico Cina45c1,894$851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$850.921369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.22per pick47cpaid+47.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Alexandre Muller56c1,735$974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761.581,26756.6%717 W · 550 L-18.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Federico Cina6c1,613$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.829737.9%77 W · 896 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Federico Cina46c1,558$717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.521,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48d…5182backed Alexandre Muller63c1,545$978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.6824558.8%144 W · 101 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xade2…e86dbacked Alexandre Muller53c1,464$777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686.0752661.2%322 W · 204 L+1.8wins0.00per pick61cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Alexandre Muller69c1,446$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.284,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Federico Cina42c1,369$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.894,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x62ae…c975backed Federico Cina50c1,334$671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$670.9521537.2%80 W · 135 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc480…937abacked Federico Cina16c1,187$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.9251933.1%172 W · 347 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Alexandre Muller54c1,146$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.176140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xede0…ff11backed Alexandre Muller48c1,009$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.774247.6%20 W · 22 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x71f9…16fbbacked Alexandre Muller56c988.14$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.788855.7%49 W · 39 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Federico Cina36c951.21$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.151,44438%548 W · 896 L-46.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed19…83babacked Federico Cina11c893.36$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.6484736%305 W · 542 L-35.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x500e…6118backed Alexandre Muller48c813.1$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.1523965.3%156 W · 83 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Federico Cina8c789.93$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.411,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Federico Cina45c721.13$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.5133235.2%117 W · 215 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Alexandre Muller55c716.13$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.2656757.1%324 W · 243 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Federico Cina43c603.66$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.582,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b8…632abacked Alexandre Muller50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30014344.1%63 W · 80 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Alexandre Muller56c594.11$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.4165558.9%386 W · 269 L-32.1wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x95d3…b2aebacked Federico Cina22c574.41$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.683545.7%16 W · 19 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick36cpaid-1.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x482c…4da1backed Federico Cina44c557.06$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.2517447.7%83 W · 91 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Federico Cina18c531.24$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.281,37916.4%226 W · 1,153 L-108.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-49.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Alexandre Muller56c525.41$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.052,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Federico Cina20c519.16$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.1225134.3%86 W · 165 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea87…1ad7backed Federico Cina9c514.72$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.2827040%108 W · 162 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa163…934dbacked Alexandre Muller40c510$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30630715.6%48 W · 259 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick15cpaid+0.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4738…4687backed Federico Cina65c505.79$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.5337351.2%191 W · 182 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e38…1b52backed Federico Cina58c499.87$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.9261924.4%151 W · 468 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b14…5301backed Federico Cina25c459.02$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.611325.7%29 W · 84 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-40.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Alexandre Muller44c439.27$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.991,10743.5%481 W · 626 L-3.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba86…9ab0backed Alexandre Muller57c435.57$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.2967239.1%263 W · 409 L-29.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf83…915dbacked Federico Cina11c430.27$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.3364537.2%240 W · 405 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Federico Cina43c427.12$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.667,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b0e…b4dbbacked Federico Cina46c420.7$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.525236.5%19 W · 33 L-7.2wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-32.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x153a…9d6dbacked Federico Cina44c416.24$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.1428338.9%110 W · 173 L+0.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Federico Cina45c407.57$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.1955241.3%228 W · 324 L-2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Alexandre Muller55c394$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.32,22945%1,002 W · 1,227 L+3.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed Federico Cina19c379.56$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.2534950.4%176 W · 173 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Federico Cina11c377.29$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.222,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed Alexandre Muller53c367.87$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.5362534.4%215 W · 410 L-20.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6b2…f6e2backed Alexandre Muller79c329.18$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.131631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-37.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Alexandre Muller50c303.81$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.274,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf69b…a6ddbacked Federico Cina32c293.92$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.3719250.5%97 W · 95 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Alexandre Muller41c288.72$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.122,76153.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L+73.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x319b…d4d5backed Federico Cina63c275.76$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.046144.3%27 W · 34 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3ac4…a601backed Alexandre Muller55c268.68$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.9450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked Federico Cina51c266.47$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.9355646.4%258 W · 298 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Federico Cina24c263.41$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.111,92355.4%1,066 W · 857 L-44.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Federico Cina43c257.46$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.21,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaffe…7140backed Federico Cina45c250.45$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.743242.4%183 W · 249 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa78e…b6c9backed Alexandre Muller80c248.23$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.4511865.3%77 W · 41 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a8f…5259backed Federico Cina46c241.9$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.2718957.1%108 W · 81 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd73a…0f4ebacked Alexandre Muller58c224.2$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.1715956%89 W · 70 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f63…bf18backed Federico Cina5c218.33$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Alexandre Muller52c217.9$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.4750644.9%227 W · 279 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Federico Cina46c210.35$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.7657349.6%284 W · 289 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5444…bbdabacked Federico Cina47c206.12$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.8233149.2%163 W · 168 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd552…5ebebacked Federico Cina50c197.88$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.9436038.9%140 W · 220 L-0.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Federico Cina29c196.93$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.153,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x9175…bd29backed Federico Cina46c194.93$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.678446.4%39 W · 45 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Federico Cina43c194.62$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.263,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Alexandre Muller51c193.21$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.6798240.1%394 W · 588 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x521c…f4aabacked Alexandre Muller55c179.12$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.636848.4%178 W · 190 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b5f…3397backed Alexandre Muller56c173.86$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.542743.8%187 W · 240 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Federico Cina21c171.89$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7781047.9%388 W · 422 L+30.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Federico Cina44c166.94$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.557,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Alexandre Muller54c164.18$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.521,95548%939 W · 1,016 L+16.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb17…32b2backed Federico Cina36c162.12$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.1820836.5%76 W · 132 L-0.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Federico Cina7c161.78$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1239955.4%221 W · 178 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Federico Cina7c156.33$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9448453.7%260 W · 224 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Federico Cina46c147.08$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.651,41441.1%581 W · 833 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Federico Cina40c146.68$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.166,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Federico Cina40c133$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.296755.3%535 W · 432 L+3.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36cf…d3aebacked Alexandre Muller38c126.68$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5444946.1%207 W · 242 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Federico Cina44c125.83$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.3778152.8%412 W · 369 L+21.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Federico Cina44c125.17$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.371,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Federico Cina40c123.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6569249.6%343 W · 349 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d0d…ca21backed Alexandre Muller39c123.11$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.947948.1%38 W · 41 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-0.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.