TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xde72…e386

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
35
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: AI, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category AI at 54 out of 100; worst NFL at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa Internationallast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT2254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Edu Aguirre attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Alexis Mac Allister: 2+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.47
Cucurella: 2+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.94
Alex Baena: 2+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.18
Alexis Mac Allister: 3+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+48.7%+$19.48
Declan Rice: 2+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.05
Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$133.85
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$15.47
Alexis Mac Allister: 2+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$34.05
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$24.4
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.5
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$33.38
Norway vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.32
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.4
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+90.7%+$31.1
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.23
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.7
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+53.9%+$16.18
Will France win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+26%+$6.6
All 22 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+14.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Soxbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.02
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.42
All 3 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atlas FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$10.4
Will CF América win on 2026-07-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFLlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Titansbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.6
Chiefs vs. Buccaneersbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.83per pick17cpaid+488.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$249
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-07-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$25.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+56.5%+$24.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+33.5%+$10.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KKS Lech Poznań vs. Aarhus GF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.