Champions League · resolved market
KKS Lech Poznań vs. Aarhus GF: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5676de45627ca56099011c6e66cf8e3b2465936442224e837edffc3023760e5f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,524
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,233
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,524 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 49c | 3,005$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,526.36 | 2,025 | 43.7%884 W · 1,141 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 51c | 1,729$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.13 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 50c | 1,201$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.88 | 1,543 | 40.1%618 W · 925 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b46…8438backed Yes | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…6768backed Yes | 47c | 999.98$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65fa…4c6abacked No | 41c | 731.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.71 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 73c | 725.67$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.65 | 614 | 37.5%230 W · 384 L | -27.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca97…49f6backed Yes | 59c | 510.77$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 29c | 323.86$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.42 | 968 | 37.4%362 W · 606 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 67c | 281.75$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.5 | 449 | 33.6%151 W · 298 L | -12.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Yes | 59c | 256$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.04 | 309 | 49.8%154 W · 155 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Yes | 61c | 247.09$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 114 | 40.4%46 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 57c | 214.19$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.67 | 398 | 49.2%196 W · 202 L | +19.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 59c | 150$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 664 | 46.2%307 W · 357 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 25c | 141.52$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.38 | 252 | 45.2%114 W · 138 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 26c | 126.8$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.97 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 43c | 108.23$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.69 | 316 | 56.6%179 W · 137 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb29…947abacked No | 39c | 106.73$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.1 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 40c | 104.33$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.53 | 676 | 49.4%334 W · 342 L | -15.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 54c | 103.5$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.89 | 369 | 42.5%157 W · 212 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bad…1e9ebacked Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -63%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a36…79d3backed No | 45c | 99.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +4.4wins | +0.26per pick | 50cpaid | +54%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb3…ed90backed Yes | 55c | 96.36$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 41c | 95.01$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.37 | 394 | 42.9%169 W · 225 L | -23.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed No | 53c | 92.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.42 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 59c | 91.89$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.63 | 910 | 32.6%297 W · 613 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 77c | 87.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.14 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked No | 53c | 77.94$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.63 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde72…e386backed Yes | 22c | 69.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 49c | 65.29$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.55 | 177 | 58.2%103 W · 74 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 51c | 63.35$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.21 | 315 | 56.5%178 W · 137 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 38c | 62.39$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 214 | 16.8%36 W · 178 L | -38.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Yes | 59c | 59.8$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 161 | 48.4%78 W · 83 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 43c | 57.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.81 | 611 | 48.3%295 W · 316 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9786…1e9abacked Yes | 49c | 53.2$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 40c | 51.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.19 | 522 | 46.7%244 W · 278 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 39c | 50.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 174 | 51.7%90 W · 84 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 25c | 50.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 186 | 43.5%81 W · 105 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…9435backed No | 44c | 46.84$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.28 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2b…ccedbacked Yes | 59c | 41.19$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked No | 32c | 36.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.15 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Yes | 59c | 35.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x952c…be27backed Yes | 67c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 53c | 28.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 140 | 65.7%92 W · 48 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…8445backed Yes | 76c | 26.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.11 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Yes | 57c | 23.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 46c | 21.95$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.87 | 159 | 54.7%87 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5953…192fbacked Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- KKS Lech Poznań vs. Aarhus GF: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- KKS Lech Poznań vs. Aarhus GF: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- KKS Lech Poznań vs. Aarhus GF: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- KKS Lech Poznań vs. Aarhus GF: KKS Lech Poznań O/U 0.5Under won
- KKS Lech Poznań vs. Aarhus GF: KKS Lech Poznań O/U 1.5Under won
- KKS Lech Poznań vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 0.5Over won
- KKS Lech Poznań vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 1.5Over won
- KKS Lech Poznań vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 2.5Over won
- KKS Lech Poznań vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 3.5Under won
- KKS Lech Poznań vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 4.5Under won
- KKS Lech Poznań vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 5.5Under won
- KKS Lech Poznań vs. Aarhus GF: Team to AdvanceAarhus GF won
- Spread: Aarhus GF (-1.5)Aarhus GF won
- Spread: Aarhus GF (-2.5)Aarhus GF won
- Spread: KKS Lech Poznań (-1.5)Aarhus GF won
- Spread: KKS Lech Poznań (-2.5)Aarhus GF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.