Champions League · resolved market
KKS Lech Poznań vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd74397d106ae3a9f8b91c429c9dd6303ceacdf54279de790d32b2f6424681927
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,048
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $96,194
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,048 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 62c | 10,554$6,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,038.24 | 910 | 32.6%297 W · 613 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 41c | 7,248$2,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,939.03 | 2,025 | 43.7%884 W · 1,141 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 44c | 5,098$2,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,219.04 | 749 | 35.4%265 W · 484 L | -30.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 37c | 4,375$1,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,623.89 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 38c | 4,231$1,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,607.96 | 1,543 | 40.1%618 W · 925 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Under | 1c | 3,687$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.62 | 45 | 6.7%3 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 59c | 3,372$1,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,386.03 | 498 | 40.4%201 W · 297 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7b…6e86backed Under | 2c | 3,353$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Under | 23c | 1,401$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.52 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb6b…f2e5backed Over | 72c | 1,389$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3171…b991backed Over | 74c | 1,236$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.27 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…1ef5backed Over | 76c | 1,228$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.17 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 39c | 1,058$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.26 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 52c | 1,014$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.99 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c35…78abbacked Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under | 52c | 930.42$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.7 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 59c | 903.43$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.31 | 401 | 43.4%174 W · 227 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 47c | 892.93$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.3 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…bf20backed Over | 57c | 875.75$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.75 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Over | 61c | 680.05$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.22 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 39c | 548.98$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.56 | 522 | 46.7%244 W · 278 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8745…4658backed Over | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d47…64eebacked Over | 45c | 450$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.5 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 77c | 450$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.5 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde39…2fa1backed Over | 57c | 427.67$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.14 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 61c | 423$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.59 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc9…7050backed Over | 51c | 407.52$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x114e…dcefbacked Under | 42c | 383.32$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.33 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…e7e0backed Over | 40c | 375$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 40c | 351.51$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.43 | 177 | 58.2%103 W · 74 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 72c | 328.97$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.11 | 128 | 56.3%72 W · 56 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 40c | 328.92$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.17 | 315 | 56.5%178 W · 137 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Over | 61c | 327.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.86 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 61c | 322.32$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.48 | 968 | 37.4%362 W · 606 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8210…1942backed Under | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 39c | 302.03$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.79 | 328 | 47.9%157 W · 171 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced1…280ebacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +88.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Under | 40c | 299.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 38c | 281.39$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.93 | 1,071 | 34.8%373 W · 698 L | -15.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Over | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 114 | 40.4%46 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe065…df75backed Over | 42c | 249.99$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 61c | 238$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.82 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Over | 58c | 232$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.44 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Over | 63c | 229.03$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.98 | 110 | 35.5%39 W · 71 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 39c | 219.44$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.58 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 55c | 207.41$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.87 | 398 | 49.2%196 W · 202 L | +19.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…d35bbacked Under | 37c | 206.5$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.23 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef57…827dbacked Over | 51c | 199.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked Under | 43c | 187.86$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.78 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a6…c03bbacked Under | 40c | 175$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 37c | 161$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.05 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 9c | 158.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 449 | 33.6%151 W · 298 L | -12.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 41c | 157.17$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.22 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5d…df19backed Under | 51c | 147.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 48c | 144.21$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.7 | 159 | 54.7%87 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 58c | 140.99$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.83 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Under | 39c | 133.6$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.36 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 48c | 130.44$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.16 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bf…b8e1backed Over | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +188.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…6768backed Over | 48c | 126$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 43c | 122$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.6 | 247 | 52.2%129 W · 118 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8db…7c68backed Under | 36c | 118.64$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.52 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…6ca8backed Over | 64c | 117.42$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.42 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47d9…54b7backed Over | 64c | 111.64$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.19 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 10c | 110.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed Under | 40c | 105$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd87e…36fabacked Under | 41c | 102.44$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Under | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8c…01c9backed Under | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa560…767dbacked Under | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.1 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.43 | 394 | 42.9%169 W · 225 L | -23.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a36…79d3backed Under | 44c | 99.98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.99 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +4.4wins | +0.26per pick | 50cpaid | +54%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Under | 45c | 93.48$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.63 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…ceecbacked Under | 45c | 87.54$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.39 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked Over | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb4…45d4backed Over | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 45c | 79.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 316 | 56.6%179 W · 137 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 40c | 73.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.62 | 158 | 46.8%74 W · 84 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Over | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1101…dfd5backed Under | 41c | 70$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 44c | 68.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 59c | 66.29$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.18 | 676 | 49.4%334 W · 342 L | -15.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 43c | 58.82$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.55 | 107 | 43.9%47 W · 60 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Under | 26c | 55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 41c | 53.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 140 | 65.7%92 W · 48 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 60c | 51.68$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.81 | 369 | 42.5%157 W · 212 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 38c | 50.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e1…b1aebacked Under | 43c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 126 | 68.3%86 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…1cf3backed Under | 45c | 44.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +3.7wins | +0.33per pick | 58cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Over | 56c | 41.96$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.25 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5b…8abcbacked Over | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed Under | 41c | 37.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 39c | 37.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 222 | 45%100 W · 122 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 41c | 37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 135 | 45.9%62 W · 73 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1497…4414backed Over | 60c | 33.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.21 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39df…976abacked Over | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x653b…685ebacked Over | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- KKS Lech Poznań vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 2.5this page
- KKS Lech Poznań vs. Aarhus GF: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- KKS Lech Poznań vs. Aarhus GF: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- KKS Lech Poznań vs. Aarhus GF: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- KKS Lech Poznań vs. Aarhus GF: KKS Lech Poznań O/U 0.5Under won
- KKS Lech Poznań vs. Aarhus GF: KKS Lech Poznań O/U 1.5Under won
- KKS Lech Poznań vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 0.5Over won
- KKS Lech Poznań vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 1.5Over won
- KKS Lech Poznań vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 3.5Under won
- KKS Lech Poznań vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 4.5Under won
- KKS Lech Poznań vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 5.5Under won
- KKS Lech Poznań vs. Aarhus GF: Team to AdvanceAarhus GF won
- Spread: Aarhus GF (-1.5)Aarhus GF won
- Spread: Aarhus GF (-2.5)Aarhus GF won
- Spread: KKS Lech Poznań (-1.5)Aarhus GF won
- Spread: KKS Lech Poznań (-2.5)Aarhus GF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.