TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Pozoblanco: Tiago Pereira vs Ilya Ivashka

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Ilya Ivashkaof Tiago Pereira, Ilya Ivashka
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$131,884
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$145,462

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $131,884 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 202 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6729…f17dbacked Tiago Pereira40c7,506$3,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,026.165038%19 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2c9…2c23backed Ilya Ivashka66c6,171$4,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,101.216070%42 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick70cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32d8…4cf8backed Tiago Pereira43c5,550$2,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,386.51540%6 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-34.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Ilya Ivashka60c5,261$3,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,082.752,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Ilya Ivashka78c3,291$2,562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.253,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Tiago Pereira34c2,955$1,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,008.514,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Ilya Ivashka61c2,947$1,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,161.1911,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Tiago Pereira27c2,438$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654.831,36543.3%591 W · 774 L-26.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Ilya Ivashka66c1,876$1,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.684,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Tiago Pereira35c1,733$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.056,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Tiago Pereira30c1,500$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.739,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Tiago Pereira39c1,355$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.261,04236.5%380 W · 662 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed Ilya Ivashka66c1,320$873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.4130847.7%147 W · 161 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73d4…dbd6backed Ilya Ivashka64c1,313$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.533256%186 W · 146 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa225…b903backed Tiago Pereira21c1,311$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.391650%8 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-23%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed Tiago Pereira36c1,210$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.612444.4%55 W · 69 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Ilya Ivashka57c1,025$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.1752152.2%272 W · 249 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Tiago Pereira33c966.95$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.2530131.9%96 W · 205 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x524c…20c0backed Tiago Pereira43c962.89$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4179053.3%48 W · 42 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Ilya Ivashka75c929.6$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.058,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x316f…795abacked Tiago Pereira6c816$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.3330040%120 W · 180 L+12.6wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5965…935fbacked Tiago Pereira25c736.6$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.2317323.7%41 W · 132 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Tiago Pereira21c665.44$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.971,95943.7%857 W · 1,102 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f3f…1086backed Tiago Pereira34c629.19$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.883857.9%22 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad2b…2a8ebacked Ilya Ivashka67c600$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2007847.4%37 W · 41 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x910a…88e5backed Ilya Ivashka67c600$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick38cpaid+77.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2973…ef36backed Ilya Ivashka67c600$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick41cpaid-21.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Tiago Pereira24c546.96$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.481,56640%627 W · 939 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd050…c915backed Tiago Pereira35c543.54$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.2420846.2%96 W · 112 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ce8…4dd6backed Tiago Pereira40c530$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21257950.9%295 W · 284 L+2.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Tiago Pereira37c525.5$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.84,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4419…fcf4backed Ilya Ivashka63c509.42$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.4918261.5%112 W · 70 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Tiago Pereira26c506.87$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.498,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Tiago Pereira19c500.16$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.962,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe804…33cfbacked Tiago Pereira15c500$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752544%11 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x94f1…b9e7backed Tiago Pereira16c500$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805242.3%22 W · 30 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ca3…9613backed Ilya Ivashka70c488.19$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.3620565.4%134 W · 71 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc806…57c6backed Ilya Ivashka64c486.63$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.529640.6%39 W · 57 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e73…ac97backed Tiago Pereira22c463.06$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.5220452.5%107 W · 97 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Tiago Pereira36c459.19$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.046,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Ilya Ivashka54c455.72$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.6310161.4%62 W · 39 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Tiago Pereira33c453.87$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.882,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Ilya Ivashka72c433.77$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.811,42944.2%631 W · 798 L-23.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c79…ddf6backed Tiago Pereira41c426.63$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.9212242.6%52 W · 70 L-18.8wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-27%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xe741…a9d1backed Tiago Pereira39c412.48$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.8525948.6%126 W · 133 L-1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12b8…ff48backed Tiago Pereira22c411.45$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.7510955%60 W · 49 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x701c…b953backed Ilya Ivashka64c410$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.187946.8%37 W · 42 L+7.3wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+18.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Ilya Ivashka79c401.32$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.722,04946.8%958 W · 1,091 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b39…1f68backed Ilya Ivashka65c400$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14212746.5%59 W · 68 L+13.1wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+24.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x029e…b19cbacked Ilya Ivashka65c400$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14211644%51 W · 65 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0785…3540backed Ilya Ivashka65c400$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14210742.1%45 W · 62 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Tiago Pereira42c400$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1661,62652.7%857 W · 769 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7049…85a5backed Ilya Ivashka65c400$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14214047.1%66 W · 74 L+13.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+20.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3702…9b19backed Ilya Ivashka65c400$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1428444%37 W · 47 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e82…437abacked Ilya Ivashka65c400$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+129.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x80f9…cd6bbacked Tiago Pereira13c390.83$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.41955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdefb…ea80backed Tiago Pereira22c387.09$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.162157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe95…1a93backed Tiago Pereira37c384.72$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.9411642.2%49 W · 67 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x26bd…1af5backed Ilya Ivashka72c379.98$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.7322647.8%108 W · 118 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35ad…294bbacked Ilya Ivashka71c375.63$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.244560%27 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x94bb…77eebacked Tiago Pereira25c375.06$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9481933.1%271 W · 548 L-30.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2180…df40backed Tiago Pereira18c366.03$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.627048.6%34 W · 36 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Tiago Pereira12c339.65$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.764,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Tiago Pereira36c314.99$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.7785449.6%424 W · 430 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Tiago Pereira28c309.03$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.381,48747.5%706 W · 781 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1a4…9779backed Ilya Ivashka66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.032785.2%23 W · 4 L+4.6wins+0.17per pick68cpaid+25.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5b57…de6bbacked Tiago Pereira41c299.97$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.9931237.8%118 W · 194 L-24.5wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb7bf…b02dbacked Ilya Ivashka69c290.79$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.7959165.3%386 W · 205 L-16.9wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae68…7f0cbacked Tiago Pereira18c282.78$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.8510152.5%53 W · 48 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40f7…1f5ebacked Tiago Pereira43c280$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.474743.6%326 W · 421 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Tiago Pereira28c278.14$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.8599244.7%443 W · 549 L-29.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Ilya Ivashka58c268.12$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.873,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Tiago Pereira33c254.7$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.327,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6d4…1ffcbacked Ilya Ivashka66c239.99$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.48241.5%34 W · 48 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c04…a593backed Tiago Pereira42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10042930.5%131 W · 298 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5c7…5cecbacked Tiago Pereira43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017138.6%66 W · 105 L-9.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Tiago Pereira16c219.05$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.251,37916.4%226 W · 1,153 L-108.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-49.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8100…1d33backed Ilya Ivashka69c217.39$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.3911765%76 W · 41 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+0.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Ilya Ivashka61c213.67$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.331,68845.4%766 W · 922 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9888…e6febacked Tiago Pereira26c209.71$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.522,44745.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x389c…7780backed Tiago Pereira32c204$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.2830%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe839…0a9dbacked Tiago Pereira47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9439157.8%226 W · 165 L+20.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe081…0bf5backed Tiago Pereira23c200$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.68123.5%19 W · 62 L+0.1wins0.00per pick23cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Tiago Pereira28c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f19…474ebacked Ilya Ivashka62c197.76$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.8318038.3%69 W · 111 L+13.5wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+4.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5fe6…a99fbacked Tiago Pereira13c193.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2575312.2%92 W · 661 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-25.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed Tiago Pereira35c191.11$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.4456153.7%301 W · 260 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3f6…07dabacked Tiago Pereira42c190.43$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.98250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc75…af4dbacked Ilya Ivashka64c186.05$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.0618841.5%78 W · 110 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5bd…226cbacked Ilya Ivashka64c186.05$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.0615340.5%62 W · 91 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Tiago Pereira38c185$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.831,15969%800 W · 359 L+56.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2802…347dbacked Ilya Ivashka65c184$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.3215733.1%52 W · 105 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-16.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca1a…8d22backed Ilya Ivashka65c184$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.322133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d9a…d10fbacked Ilya Ivashka65c184$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.3214936.9%55 W · 94 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+1.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe846…252bbacked Ilya Ivashka65c180$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6313438.8%52 W · 82 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick35cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x68e1…b2fabacked Ilya Ivashka78c179$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3952355.6%291 W · 232 L+26.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x02fd…104cbacked Tiago Pereira9c177.78$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1630251.3%155 W · 147 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8806…d9f1backed Tiago Pereira33c172.75$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.7516726.3%44 W · 123 L-18.9wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-31.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe5c6…e1e7backed Tiago Pereira19c168.42$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32214.8%1 W · 20 L-4.4wins-0.21per pick26cpaid-92.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Tiago Pereira26c160.11$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.3136839.1%144 W · 224 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.