Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Lillestrøm SK vs. KFUM-Kameratene Oslo end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf529717ef0fd3d3ae43abd4105fe9df73a05e6572a55ecc523a5a4947b1a0ae1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,171
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,276
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,171 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 33c | 14,868$4,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,906.3 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 67c | 14,640$9,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,831.19 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 11c | 8,853$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 47c | 4,132$1,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,193.81 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 61c | 1,522$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.4 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 33c | 1,515$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed No | 67c | 800$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 147 | 59.9%88 W · 59 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 24c | 525.1$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.81 | 197 | 29.9%59 W · 138 L | -21.8wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa225…b903backed Yes | 39c | 499.13$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.66 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Yes | 22c | 464.53$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.2 | 233 | 46.8%109 W · 124 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 36c | 424.9$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.35 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 42c | 409.52$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5a…1179backed No | 64c | 368.81$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.81 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 77c | 368.07$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.66 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…a351backed Yes | 5c | 325.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 33cpaid | +95.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Yes | 36c | 273$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.68 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 73c | 271.68$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.4 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 22c | 270.44$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.81 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 67c | 225.54$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.43 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 175 | 29.1%51 W · 124 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…dd2dbacked Yes | 15c | 190$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 23c | 152.94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.18 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed No | 67c | 149$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.17 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33ae…658dbacked Yes | 54c | 127.78$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 67c | 117.07$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.63 | 138 | 60.1%83 W · 55 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 73c | 115.05$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.87 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked No | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 16c | 98.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 75c | 96.45$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.01 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 77c | 92.17$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a62…a2a8backed Yes | 19c | 90.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 77c | 89.99$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0182…301cbacked Yes | 57c | 89.65$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8100…1d33backed Yes | 34c | 79.44$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.01 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 67c | 78.43$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.93 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…2aecbacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 75c | 75.35$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Yes | 61c | 75$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.75 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 22c | 71.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Yes | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x920e…6fd2backed Yes | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06b…3353backed Yes | 28c | 56.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 72c | 55.42$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.77 | 186 | 59.7%111 W · 75 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 51c | 50.11$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.31 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked No | 74c | 46.92$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 135 | 73.3%99 W · 36 L | +24.7wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c6…e1e7backed Yes | 41c | 46.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…6c35backed Yes | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 66c | 45.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 188 | 48.4%91 W · 97 L | +13.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed No | 36c | 44.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.52 | 309 | 63.1%195 W · 114 L | +45.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed No | 67c | 43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b22…d377backed Yes | 43c | 33.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a2…7f83backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked No | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed No | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x074c…771cbacked Yes | 35c | 29.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed No | 67c | 29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 61cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0d…bb59backed Yes | 53c | 24.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa92b…a4dcbacked Yes | 58c | 22.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4840…be60backed Yes | 48c | 22.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5437…6e45backed No | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 60cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lillestrøm SK vs. KFUM-Kameratene Oslo end in a draw?this page
- Will KFUM-Kameratene Oslo win on 2026-07-18?No won
- Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-07-18?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.