NBA · resolved market
NBA Summer League: Memphis Grizzlies vs. Houston Rockets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34b1fce5bc8b57eca2fbdb39fec63b551601124402967599b6c528bf0081f3a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Memphis Grizzliesof Memphis Grizzlies, Houston Rockets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,229
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,412
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,229 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Houston Rockets | 0c | 5,800$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Memphis Grizzlies | 71c | 1,109$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.67 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…a66cbacked Houston Rockets | 10c | 1,056$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.38 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Houston Rockets | 6c | 1,030$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.7 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Houston Rockets | 5c | 958.32$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.07 | 360 | 23.1%83 W · 277 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Houston Rockets | 2c | 950.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Houston Rockets | 10c | 502.65$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.09 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…71bdbacked Memphis Grizzlies | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Houston Rockets | 36c | 497.14$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.97 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Houston Rockets | 12c | 417$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +12.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Memphis Grizzlies | 65c | 357.02$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.94 | 259 | 54.4%141 W · 118 L | +34.1wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd207…c366backed Houston Rockets | 8c | 312.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Houston Rockets | 35c | 298.59$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.88 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Houston Rockets | 18c | 295$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.1 | 285 | 37.9%108 W · 177 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Houston Rockets | 31c | 276.2$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.43 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Houston Rockets | 11c | 250$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe6…a99fbacked Houston Rockets | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 125 | 8%10 W · 115 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Memphis Grizzlies | 69c | 218.7$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.99 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…1992backed Houston Rockets | 10c | 191.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 143 | 30.8%44 W · 99 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Houston Rockets | 6c | 181.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Houston Rockets | 15c | 180$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 249 | 48.2%120 W · 129 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c6…e1e7backed Houston Rockets | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Houston Rockets | 32c | 140$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Houston Rockets | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b8…233abacked Houston Rockets | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe011…159fbacked Houston Rockets | 36c | 97.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Memphis Grizzlies | 64c | 72.14$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.17 | 333 | 56.2%187 W · 146 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked Houston Rockets | 36c | 55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f2…68f9backed Houston Rockets | 36c | 54.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +4.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Memphis Grizzlies | 64c | 46.05$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.58 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…a9abbacked Memphis Grizzlies | 68c | 35.87$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 73cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Memphis Grizzlies | 68c | 32.35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 227 | 56.8%129 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Memphis Grizzlies | 68c | 32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe733…f6c9backed Memphis Grizzlies | 67c | 30.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.07 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +74%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf452…4d43backed Memphis Grizzlies | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1298…97b6backed Memphis Grizzlies | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.