Tennis · resolved market
Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Valentina Ryser vs Mai Hontama
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48e08dc64ba6d20971745a8233b124b3c55cb182c7954c793700c965f2b4e050
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mai Hontamaof Valentina Ryser, Mai Hontama
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,653
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,048
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,653 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Valentina Ryser | 13c | 1,710$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.07 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Valentina Ryser | 39c | 1,263$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.32 | 2,521 | 38.4%969 W · 1,552 L | +93.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Valentina Ryser | 18c | 1,190$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.36 | 265 | 35.5%94 W · 171 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c73…6dafbacked Mai Hontama | 78c | 1,147$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.62 | 215 | 67.4%145 W · 70 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Valentina Ryser | 8c | 639.47$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.9 | 4,253 | 45%1,912 W · 2,341 L | +20.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9527…f108backed Valentina Ryser | 26c | 419.99$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.2 | 535 | 39.3%210 W · 325 L | +37.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a593backed Valentina Ryser | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 429 | 30.5%131 W · 298 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Valentina Ryser | 12c | 381.73$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.11 | 1,476 | 43.8%647 W · 829 L | -26.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Mai Hontama | 62c | 365.29$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.87 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42d6…01ccbacked Mai Hontama | 77c | 324.81$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.81 | 1,077 | 62.8%676 W · 401 L | -27.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c6…e1e7backed Valentina Ryser | 13c | 292.31$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.21per pick | 26cpaid | -92.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Mai Hontama | 62c | 250$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.1 | 538 | 47%253 W · 285 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Valentina Ryser | 38c | 248.9$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.58 | 1,542 | 49.2%759 W · 783 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e73…ac97backed Mai Hontama | 62c | 160.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.97 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed Valentina Ryser | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 367 | 40.6%149 W · 218 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Mai Hontama | 62c | 133.92$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.89 | 2,444 | 51.3%1,254 W · 1,190 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Valentina Ryser | 16c | 119.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 1,766 | 45.9%810 W · 956 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Valentina Ryser | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 889 | 35.2%313 W · 576 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d09…7fd6backed Valentina Ryser | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 106 | 27.4%29 W · 77 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f64…2aacbacked Valentina Ryser | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e69…30a0backed Valentina Ryser | 38c | 98.98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.26 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Mai Hontama | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 449 | 52.8%237 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…1435backed Valentina Ryser | 34c | 80.01$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.87 | 390 | 35.9%140 W · 250 L | -61.1wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Valentina Ryser | 34c | 77.1$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.21 | 1,960 | 43.8%858 W · 1,102 L | -20.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Mai Hontama | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…226cbacked Mai Hontama | 80c | 62.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 235 | 81.7%192 W · 43 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 80cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked Valentina Ryser | 40c | 49.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 574 | 49.1%282 W · 292 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Mai Hontama | 61c | 37$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…0306backed Valentina Ryser | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 327 | 26.9%88 W · 239 L | -43.6wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Mai Hontama | 63c | 29.54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 5,009 | 41.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L | -82.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Mai Hontama | 63c | 27.78$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.