Fifa International · resolved market
Mehdi Taremi: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad6dfc3e4f19004ae67ac1b2d02af209e7f629a8676e023b21ae7b364b5dc5c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,551
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,595
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,551 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 66c | 4,000$2,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,359.96 | 464 | 64.9%301 W · 163 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30da…a11dbacked Yes | 34c | 1,471$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 278 | 20.1%56 W · 222 L | -17.2wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd08…04fabacked Yes | 35c | 844.37$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.33 | 58 | 20.7%12 W · 46 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 69c | 811.36$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.9 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc5…a303backed Yes | 34c | 764.71$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1050…43afbacked Yes | 34c | 681.42$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.87 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -57%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1695…324cbacked Yes | 34c | 517.65$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 109 | 31.2%34 W · 75 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea7…7fc0backed No | 65c | 415.37$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.38 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked No | 66c | 408.56$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.91 | 327 | 65.7%215 W · 112 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc790…cbd2backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed No | 65c | 260$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 166 | 33.7%56 W · 110 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…ac88backed Yes | 34c | 223.53$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 29c | 203$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.14 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 67c | 179.22$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.1 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed No | 67c | 174.51$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.34 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbf…3eeabacked Yes | 32c | 169.61$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed No | 70c | 156$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.58 | 379 | 71.2%270 W · 109 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd492…7469backed Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8144…8472backed Yes | 31c | 141.9$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.99 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 68c | 112.21$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.72 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3109…4ef4backed Yes | 31c | 103.09$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 120 | 25.8%31 W · 89 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd875…19cfbacked Yes | 34c | 102.94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 228 | 24.6%56 W · 172 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb4…481dbacked Yes | 34c | 96.38$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca4…8bfcbacked Yes | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x786d…b89bbacked Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 522 | 17.4%91 W · 431 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…0a64backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebe…17b9backed No | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Yes | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 667 | 45%300 W · 367 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9429…fd87backed Yes | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes | 34c | 41.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 1,206 | 32.7%394 W · 812 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeba4…69fbbacked No | 65c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +6.7wins | +0.25per pick | 38cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4b…0c34backed Yes | 34c | 32.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…02febacked No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 67c | 18.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mehdi Taremi: 1+ goalsthis page
- Ali Alipour: 3+ goalsNo won
- Alireza Jahanbakhsh: 3+ goalsNo won
- Amirhossein Hosseinzadeh: 3+ goalsNo won
- Chris Wood: 1+ goalsNo won
- Chris Wood: 3+ goalsNo won
- Eli Just: 2+ goalsYes won
- Mehdi Taremi: 3+ goalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.